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UBS forecasts Paytm's EBITDA breakeven in FY25, initiates coverage with 'buy' call

Paytm s continued monetisation, improved profitability dynamics and discounted valuations as compared to global and Indian peers makes UBS bullish over the online payments aggregator. ....

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unsecured loans: Loan growth should still be faster than nominal GDP growth over a 5-10-year period:Vishal Goyal

“A steady ROA expansion has happened in the last four-five years due to the factors which you just mentioned. We feel that we are probably closer to that expansion, like the peak of expansion and now we should start seeing some contraction due to NIMs stagnating or declining and credit cost already bottoming. Now, we would only see some increases in credit cost towards the average.” ....

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Broad-based capex spending to drive growth next fiscal, consumption to taper: UBS

“The pick-up in capex spending will likely become more broad-based. While public capex will likely stabilise on stretched government finances, we expect private corporate capex and residential housing demand to continue to improve,” said Tanvee Gupta Jain, chief India economist, UBS Securities. ....

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UBS Securities red flags retail loans, sees credit cost soaring by up to 200 bps

According to Swiss brokerage UBS Securities, increasing default risks in retail unsecured loans of banks is likely to push up their credit losses by 50-200 bps. ....

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