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ow. in a moment we ll be joined by two former obama campaign insiders with the scoop on what s really going down with obama himself hitting the campaign trail. here are the numbers. 14 million people have already turned out to cast early ballots. that outpaces the same turnout in 2018 by over-1 million votes. it s easy to forget because a lot happened become you 2018 was the first election after trump became president that was a huge, huge resistance mobilization, but we are above that. meanwhile, voters today also very concern about rising prices and inflation. the economy did grow last quarter, ending what was a nix month documented slump. is that what people are feeling? not yet. meanwhile, the candidates are out trying to make their closing arguments. by january i m going to be feeling even better. [ cheers and applause ] but he will still be a fraud. i just want to save as many live as possible. i think that s the goal of a pro life policy. you re saying you ....
Technical sense. historically speaking in the first election, after a new president has moved into the white house, that president s party gets slacked in the midterm elections. and you know, don t ask me why. it s what american voters like to do. they like a candidate and a party enough to put them in the white house and immediately next chance they get two years later they change the preference to the other parties controlling congress. i don t know why it goes this way, but it always goes this way. if you look historically since world war ii, the party that is not the president s party has picked up an average of 26 seats in the house. in the mid term elects. the average since world war ii is 26 seats. and recently, it s been worst. in president s trump midterm democrats picked up 40 seats and president obama s first midterm republicans picked up ....
Including the obama campaign. david, you will not be directly supervising chai in this segment, but you outranking him is established. welcome to both of you. we love it when we have the alumni together. david, the first question, the most straight forward. turnout way up. i mentioned that s beating the first trump midterm, which is something. but what to you make of it? is it possible to glean anything from the mobilization? i think it s a little early. if you re a democrat it s good news, but a lot more people are going to vote early now than did in 2018. probably going to have more democrats voting early than 2018. all things being equal, we re probably in a moment in american history when turnouts are going to be higher than we ve seen. 2018 wasn t just high, it was the highest in a century. certainly i never thought we d see numbers like that. i don t know whether we re going to approach that in 2022 but clearly we re going to have very ....