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Spike of just two degrees on average could increase the likelihood of civil wars by 50%. can you break that down? right, and, alex, the study wasn t necessarily saying that that would lead to that. it s saying that if trends continue as they have been in the past that that kind of a warming could cause that kind of an increase in violence. okay. it also talks about, though, droughts and floods and tying that to human conflict. is that a fair assessment, robin? right, and i think coral hit the nail on the head when she was talking about that kind of being that final spark. when you already have climate affecting things like farming, agriculture, crops, kind of the economics and that starts brewing, then when you have that rise in temperature on top of that that s when we really have that stronger spike, especially in intergroup violence. for instance, in the research they looked at 27 different modern societies and found that in all 27 cases, there was a positive correlation betwe ....