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System will be overwhelmed. We dont act now, well continue to see a death rate climb more lives lost. With that Governor Newsom said hes pulling the emergency brake issuing a stayathome order for three weeks with any region with icu capacity falling below 15 . Its all part of a regional strategy well defined within the hospital and Health Care Delivery system. Weve defined these five regions, northern california, greater sacramento, bay area, San Joaquin Valley and the larger region in southern california. For the bay area, the stay at home coorder could come soon to late december. Hair salons, gyms, nail salons could shut down again. They are asking californians not to gather with anyone outside the household. The governor made the case with californias surging covid19 numbers. With spikes in the sevenday pos ....
For you. Mark, can we back up to the slides on the reproduction number. One second. Oh no, its okay. Give me just one second to back up to that. Those are very concerning numbers. We see if we reduce the reproductive number by a third, we hold steady at the same number of hospitalizations, but wed still see as many as four times of deaths here in San Francisco. But if we continue on this same scale, we could see deaths up to 800, and number of hospitalizations, 1,000 to over 3,000. That could clearly overwhelm our Hospital Systems. I know weve seen footage of people gathering in dolores park this weekend, and the possible impact that could have. Could you just speak to what kind of effect that behavior could have, not just on our people, but our ability to serve the health care needs. Yes [inaudible] i thi. Dr. Colfax i think its really important that we stay vigilant and do ....
They can maintain operations as best possible while also people going to the command center to do this operation. Well, very clearly, it is a really challenging, and as other commissioners have indicated, really grateful that people like yourself have really stepped up and continue to do, as you say, the work that has to be done, along with the very key work, and congratulations on being head of this program. One question which is more technical has to do with the testing strategies. And your chart was great and sexu certainly keynoted on some of the areas that were concerned. On the other hand, you also pointed out that you were interested in reaching other vulnerable populations which are kind of a potential tinderbox, and im glad that you mentioned chinatown right now. Its a very low number, and some other asian populations out in the sunset which arent being tested, but we dont know that. What is your testing strategy to figure out a priority, and that came from one of the question ....
And promotions staff within Population Health, and those folks are under this yellow block under operations, but that means that theyre also overseeing the Human Services, which is doing housing and feeding. [inaudible] within Population Health, and that modelling that theyre doing is both our normal work of taking in public results of Infectious Disease tests, but its also new work that i think is really an advancement of what we normally do in the department, working with outside assistance for modelling and making sure that we are able to project into the future. And that is led by jim marks, who is an anesthesiologist and many others in that structure. Go forward. Ill let you know that all of the guidance that comes out is part of the information and < ....
Or on the line every day. Last week, we talked about how important testing is to our desire to reopen the economy while taking every appropriate measure to protect the lives and health of customers, staff, business owners, visitors and residents in every corner of our state. Today, we are very pleased to announce a partnership with idx it employs 3000 people in our state, and worldwide leader in the production of diagnostics is partnering with us to provide covid19 test material sufficient to more than triple our current Testing Capacity. While this a deal was and that works, we boarded for the fda and washington to give final emergency use approval to idexx new approval. That approval arrived this morning. This changes everything. For weeks, my administration has been in discussions with idexx to make sure people of wade would be the beneficiary of their new test kits should fda approve them. And now we have that approval. As a ....