Its been more than fifty years since the state of New South Wales in australia has seen a drought like this farmers Pray For Rain as their crops and livestock die some are forced to shoot starving cattle well others face the prospect of having to simply abandon their land on the other side of the world a similar story the french of those mountains are simply too dry about half of this Farmers Corn Crop has already died in the us record temperatures are fueling the worst wildfire in california history the twin blazes dubbed the mendo seen a complex have exploded to cover an area the size of la they call the trend hothouse earth i said. Its when the climate is much warmer than it is today three to four degrees. Four to five degrees warmer than in the preindustrial
climate. International Climate Targets aim to limit the earths warming to two degrees celsius but scientists now think even that is too high setting in Motion Processes which could create a Domino Effect such as Glacial Melting
two hurricane majors in very good spots for intensification. whether you talk about the above average sea temperatures, two degrees above celsius but when you have idalia, work through the yucatan channel where these temperatures are in the upper 80s and then you have franklin somewhere over here on the gulf stream so in a year where the whole basin is very warm, these two storms, jane, somehow manage to find the warmest spots. jane: yeah, and you take a look at this category four and five landfalls along the atlantic coast, and notice most strikingly where we don t have the next landfall in the big bend and that s exactly where we expect to see idalia. ian: yeah is these are category four and category five storms. we re showing this because we re expect can idalia to be a four when it makes landfall in the big bend and we ve also been
let s bring in my panel, which is chief landfalls man and intelligence analyst. we also have a journalist, and washington post columnist max. great to have you here. as someone who for decades has dealt with evidence in just the fact, it must be so frustrating to you to do all this reporting and then see all these strange, twisted, warped theories crop up online from people with millions of followers. so let s just keep on some of them tonight. i know that you have all the latest information. paul pelosi and the attacker did not know each other. correct? they both agree on that. very good. was their third person in th e
good understanding of them, but we don t know if, you know, if there s an increase in the number of hurricanes globally. we ve seen no evidence of that whatsoever. we re not saying climate change is giving us more hurricanes. there s no evidence that it s making them larger in size, and no link as to whether there will be more landfalls or storms harmlessly out to sea. we know there s more rapid intensification, stronger storms, wetter hurricanes, about 10% on average, and also the storm surge will be higher with future storms. not because maybe the storm is that much stronger, but because of sea level rise on its own. if we raise the sea levels by a foot in fort myers in 100 years from now, instead of a 15-foot storm surge, that s 16 feet. which is an enormous difference. it seems as though we had a more destructive period of hurricanes in the last six years.
have we had such a destructive period? is this unusual? this has been a crazy six years. we had seven major hurricanes make landfall. the only other time in the history this has happened where we had seven landfalls in six years was 1945 to 1951. it s happened before, but if we have another major hurricane next year, this will be unprecedented. you ve been amazing throughout. thank you very much for the deeper dive today. we appreciate it. that does it for this edition. follow us online, on facebook and on twitter. chris jansing starts right after this. er this (dock worker) right on time. (vo) make it even smarter. we call this enterprise intelligence. what will you do? will you make something better?