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Smashing it. Mike mckee is here to break it down. Brian it may be michael it may be too late to influence the president ial election, but certainly influencing the way the markets are going to trade because this is a big number. In october. We thought it would be 56, but this blows that away. New orders, 67 point nine from 60. 2. Production, 63 from 61. For the First Time Since july 2019, we are seeing employment well for with augurs this fridays numbers. Maybe we get some positive manufacturing. Prices paid still rising. Hard to know exactly what that means in terms of long red inflation since we do have the confusions of the covid case. Is it a shortage of materials, a pipeline problem, or are we actually see in prices going up . Likets for the year, looks the new export orders goes up to 55. 7 from 54. 3. That will take a hit from the lockdowns in europe. Overall, this is a very good number for the economy going forward. Alix ....
The u. S. Enters a new week with the highest number of coronavirus doubts in the world. Administration is still trying to ease lockdown restrictions by may. The Top White House virus eight says infection levels are stabilizing. Some of the u. S. Could be open in the next month. The imf and world bank held meetings this week using digital remote software. The global lenders will facing new reality of mounting unemployment. Thecials have already said Global Economy is suffering its worst recession since the 1930s. India is set to extend its current 21 date lockdown to the end of the months to allow more time to evaluate the spread of the infection. The Prime Minister said the government has adequate supplies of medicine and protective gear for frontline workers, adding that the next four weeks will be critical. The virus ....
Few parts, part one is an assessment of current recession risks. And i would argue that they are considerable, high and rising and will go through the logic as to why. Or two, most recessions or all recessions have a proximate cause generally lots of things going on that are behind the downturn but you can put your finger on the thing that is the approximate reason for the downturn. All do that and ill talk about what could take us down, trade war would be a topic. We can talk about that in some detail. Then well talk about the roadmap to recession, a lot of different indicators, you want to be focused on to gauge how things are playing out whether hes right or wrong. Then well talk about policy. Monetary policy and the response to recession and because Interest Rates are already very low, the federal funds rate target is at 2 today, i think next week itll be a one and three quarters. Thus on a whole lot of room between that and 0 ....
The talk is broken down into a few parts, part one is an assessment of current recession risks. And i would argue that they are considerable, high and rising and will go through the logic as to why. Or two, most recessions or all recessions have a proximate cause generally lots of things going on that are behind the downturn but you can put your finger on the thing that is the approximate reason for the downturn. All do that and ill talk about what could take us down, trade war would be a topic. We can talk about that in some detail. Then well talk about the roadmap to recession, a lot of different indicators, you want to be focused on to gauge how things are playing out whether hes right or wrong. Then well talk about policy. Monetary policy and the response to recession and because Interest Rates are already very low, the federal funds rate target is at 2 today, i think next week itll be a one and three quarters. Thus on a whole ....
Downturn but you can put your finger on the thing that is the approximate reason for the downturn. All do that and ill talk about what could take us down, trade war would be a topic. We can talk about that in some detail. Then well talk about the roadmap to recession, a lot of different indicators, you want to be focused on to gauge how things are playing out whether hes right or wrong. Then well talk about policy. Monetary policy and the response to recession and because Interest Rates are already very low, the federal funds rate target is at 2 today, i think next week itll be a one and three quarters. Thus on a whole lot of room between that and 0. That is we need fiscal policy to play a key role in the response and not talk about that and put into the context of experience that we had ten years ago now with the recovery act and other policy responses. Does that sound okay . Okay. Part one recession risks, as they said their hei ....