Is two parts to that last night i focused on the major averages are not representative of the broader economy. Something held true today with the dow and s p losing 4. 4 and nasdaq sinking 5. 7 after the dollar skyrocketed something we warned about because the fed made it confusing how much they will keep helping the economy. The stronger dollar isnt great but the incredible v shape rally in the stock market doesnt jive with reality in a world where we still have double digit unemployment tonight, though, we need to talk about the other part of the sentence the stock market doesnt reflect Current Conditions emphasis on the word current why . The market is a forecast machine across the ball and supposed to be appearing six to nine months in the future. Maybe the economy is in rough shape. Let say they reflect next february so what are the odds the economy will be in much better condition by then because some people would say stocks are saying. Thats the key question. Tonight, i want to
Shortly. What do you observe this morning, nejra . Nejra im observing headlines coming through right now from andrew bailey, in the core with journalists he is having right now, that it is clearly a commitment to take action, saying the qe program is highly aggressive and appropriately is so. Also saying there is no evidence the boe is targeting any part of the yield curve, but what is really interesting is we did see a little bit of differing views in terms of the decision today. There were policymakers that wanted to extend qe today, but the reaction to the fact we have had no change in policy today is coming. Analysts say we will get more qe in june or august or both, and the pound catching a bid off the back of the boe forecasting the vshaped recovery. That is what i find staggering. A 15 rebound in 2021. Tom i think you are dead on in that, nejra. There is no question what six out within all the excel spreadsheets and the heroic language at this moment, really with depressionera e
And President Trump does not want to talk to president xi. The highestcords number of deaths in a week. And we have the gdp data from germany. Welcome to daybreak europe and welcome to friday after a rocky week in the market. On thee bit of green screen coming through from asia. Yesterday there was a rally on wall street. Initially, u. S. Stocks dropped after jobless claims again but we got a rally. Making a comeback. The gap between tech stocks and banks getting to an extreme level. Utures, a mix for europe, right on the screen yesterday. European futures up 1 ahead of the german gdp data looking to post the worst contraction for germany since 2009. 10 year yield dropping about eight basis points through the week. The dollar heads for a weekly aim speaking to risk off as well and oil heading for a third weekly gain as well. Some science the markets are slowly rebalancing. Kick off the latest development of the coronavirus with the global death toll exceeding 300,000. Cases fueled alar
When the stock moves on it and it did so tim, whats your take on the action of wells fargo and whats your take on a possible m and a deal. Well, this kind of news, first of all, this rumor was out a couple of days ago in the market and the Market Participants didnt do anything with the move because we talked about the down move. This deal makes a lot of sense when we talk about the environment over the last couple of years for both of these players. I think this deal would be a ridiculously difficult deal even if were going hypotheticals to get through on the regulatory side i dont think either one of these have a lot of friends in washington i do think and again, this is not me saying that this is just my sense of where this would be, but look, i dont think this deal is going to happen i do think goldman has continued to build out their retail platform in markets. I think wells fargo has a lot of issues that im not sure goldman would want and the move weve seen and this snapback today
Up more than 21 points to exit the bear cave is now up 15. But whats going on here . Could it be oil . In the last couple of minutes, oil suddenly, this is the aftermarket, started to tank. Its now down 7. 5 on apparent news that the United States government will start to add Strategic Petroleum reserves with all of the glut there is of oil. So while im looking, i just quickly checked exxonmobil and chevron, they are still up but they are at session lows as well. We are figuring it might have something to do with the oil news. In the meantime, the Small Business stimulus loans continue to flow as the treasury secretary asks for 250 billion in additional funds. We are expecting President Trump any moment now to give us an update on how that Small Business Program Lending situation is going. Its known as the Paycheck Protection Program. But the latest tally shows that the Small Business administration has processed 225,000 loans worth more than 60 billion. Thats just since friday. No wor