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Co-Working Volatility Is Making the Office Market More Precarious


Dec. 15, 2020 8:00 am ET
Empty co-working spaces are helping push office vacancies in big cities to levels not seen in decades, threatening the commercial-property sector’s reputation as a haven for investors.
Office buildings are often considered relatively protected from economic shocks because most tenants are locked into long-term leases of five years and often more. Landlords could count on steady income even at times when corporate profits are down.
The rise of co-working and other forms of flexible, short-term office space is starting to change that dynamic. These spaces make up a growing share of the office market in cities like New York, San Francisco and Los Angeles. Because co-working leases typically last only a few months to a year, vacancies are starting to soar when many companies are working remotely. ....

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Industrial property is one hot asset class right now


Too inflated
But as investors buy a smaller slice of commercial real estate, the inflows are fueling a potential bubble, according to Jonathan Needell, chief investment officer at Kairos Investment Management in Rancho Santa Margarita, California.
You re getting people chasing industrial, in particular, to prices that are unsustainable, said Needell, whose firm oversees $1 billion in commercial real estate. It s not just a US phenomenon. Investments in warehouse and industrial properties comprised 20% of global commercial real estate spending this year, up from 12 per cent in 2015, according to CBRE Group Inc.
One factor driving up prices is the sheer volume of investment in real estate, which is seen as an alternative to volatile stocks and lower-yielding bonds. Private real estate investors are sitting on $196 billion in dry powder as of December 1, Preqin reports. ....

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