Quite extraordinary polarization and division and in the book you advance this this quite controversial claim that the us is closer to civil war. Then many of us would like to think or believe and what i thought it would make sense to do is we get launched is to give you a chance to simply lay out what your argument is in broad terms and and then we can we can dig into bits and pieces of it as we as we go along. Yeah, so my argument comes from studying civil wars for the last 30 years. Ive looked at all regions all countries that have experienced civil wars since the end of world war ii and there have been over 200 of them and one of the things that weve learned is that they tend to they tend to break out in similar ways and and the same factors emerge in the in the lead up to these wars no matter where they happen. And then in 2017 i was invited to serve on the us Governments Task force. They have a task force called the Political Instability Task force and i served on that task force
Quite extraordinary polarization and division and in the book you advance this this quite controversial claim that the us is closer to civil war. Then many of us would like to think or believe and what i thought it would make sense to do is we get launched is to give you a chance to simply lay out what your argument is in broad terms and and then we can we can dig into bits and pieces of it as we as we go along. Yeah, so my argument comes from studying civil wars for the last 30 years. Ive looked at all regions all countries that have experienced civil wars since the end of world war ii and there have been over 200 of them and one of the things that weve learned is that they tend to they tend to break out in similar ways and and the same factors emerge in the in the lead up to these wars no matter where they happen. And then in 2017 i was invited to serve on the us Governments Task force. They have a task force called the Political Instability Task force and i served on that task force
Quite extraordinary polarization and division and in the book you advance this this quite controversial claim that the us is closer to civil war. Then many of us would like to think or believe and what i thought it would make sense to do is we get launched is to give you a chance to simply lay out what your argument is in broad terms and and then we can we can dig into bits and pieces of it as we as we go along. Yeah, so my argument comes from studying civil wars for the last 30 years. Ive looked at all regions all countries that have experienced civil wars since the end of world war ii and there have been over 200 of them and one of the things that weve learned is that they tend to they tend to break out in similar ways and and the same factors emerge in the in the lead up to these wars no matter where they happen. And then in 2017 i was invited to serve on the us Governments Task force. They have a task force called the Political Instability Task force and i served on that task force
Quite extraordinary polarization and division and in the book you advance this this quite controversial claim that the us is closer to civil war. Then many of us would like to think or believe and what i thought it would make sense to do is we get launched is to give you a chance to simply lay out what your argument is in broad terms and and then we can we can dig into bits and pieces of it as we as we go along. Yeah, so my argument comes from studying civil wars for the last 30 years. Ive looked at all regions all countries that have experienced civil wars since the end of world war ii and there have been over 200 of them and one of the things that weve learned is that they tend to they tend to break out in similar ways and and the same factors emerge in the in the lead up to these wars no matter where they happen. And then in 2017 i was invited to serve on the us Governments Task force. They have a task force called the Political Instability Task force and i served on that task force
Question is the word we. How is this counter messaging going to be organized . To what extent is it going to be spontaneous . Does it represent the youth of the region . My friends from the arab world keep insisting to me that as powerful and intimidating as is i. S. Messaging is, what is dominant in arabic is what i call the freedom spirit, the square statement i am connected and i am not going to take it anymore, and i wont take it from an authoritarian leader and i am going to live in my own world. Somehow that message that spirit of connectiveness, i think, of free citizens, which is still there and we get too depressed about the arab winter sometimes, and its still there and that has to become more of the dominant narrative. It probably needs help from governments, but i worry in the post snowden age about swallowing the poison pill. I worry about steps that seem sensible in terms of messaging that end up limiting the message, or undercutting it. I think this is an area where its