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It means taking over the country s infrastructure and controlling ukraine, which is what vladimir putin wants. right. well, i ve been here in kyiv, and in ukraine for the last month with the terror asymmetrics project, analyzing the russian order of battle and driving down the routes we think would be the main invasion routes through the country to see what is the possibility, the viability of the russians actually invading, one, and two, taking the capital of kyiv. some of the key findings that we ve found is despite the fact that russia has 70% of its actually nation s bttalion task groups, the combat elements, around this country, they could get to what we call their phase line one, which would be an axis just northeast of kyiv, south central and down, they could ....
Command s main army forces to come down to the city to the east. they can get to kyiv and the assessment was that they could do it in 72 hours if they dedicate a lot of combat power, but they re not going to take the city. it s the size of chicago and the people here are ready to fight. so russia can get here, but within the first phase line, it will be a tough slog, they will lose a lot of people. but they are reported to have as many as 180 or 190,000 troops ready to do this. as matt bradley was saying, it will be land, sea, and air. that s unheard of. i mean, since world war ii we have not seen that massing of troops. the ukrainians may have a military but it can t stand up to that. well, it just depends on what the factors are. i ve taken part in two invasions with over 150,000 men and women, a lot of people aren t the front ....
They re going to have to attack on three different fronts. and western, front central front and eight eastern front. but the ukrainians have an army. this army appears ready to fight. it appears that they have the ability to slow this down. the russians want to establish a piecemeal swath of the entire country that goes from the northern city to the eastern city of sue me, down to kharkiv, and connect that with luhansk. and carve a new area south to crimea. and that would be one large phase line. the next phase line has to make them fights differently, going all the way up the river. and whether they can get around kyiv is one thing. but getting that next 100 miles, if they think they are going to be able to do this in the small flights, they are not going to. this country will, if anything, have the baghdad effect. ....
Country that goes from the northern city to the eastern city of , down to kharkiv, and connect that with luhansk. and maybe carve a new area south to crimea. and that would be one large phase line. the next phase line has to make them fight stiffly, going all the way up the river. and whether they can get around kyiv is one thing. but getting that next 100 miles, if they think they are going to be able to do this in the small flights, they are not going to. this country will, if anything, have the baghdad effect. where the army may disappear in certain sectors, while main forces are fighting. and then return planting ieds, using anti tank missile ambushes and degrading the fact that russia has to occupy every crossroads. has to occupy every village. this is where the molotov cocktail could become very ....