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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Getting out to 2021 and even trying to have our central bank centralbank measure 2022. Jonathan looking forward to that conversation in a couple of hours right here on bloomberg surveillance. Weve also got to talk about the projections. We have not had projections from the Federal Reserve since the summer of last year, and they were looking for 3. 5 unemployment in 2020, and gdp growth in and around 2 . Nobody saw the revisions that would have to be made just half a year later. Absolutely extraordinary. You see it within the economic at a have been talking about. As Olivier Blanchard mentioned in our show open, the challenge forward is on policy. I know you were long amazon and apple yesterday, driving forward the nasdaq. Was. Han i wish i not just yesterday, but through the year as well. Tremendous performance in this equity market. Who would have thought we would have the revisions we are about to get later, and this equity market would be higher versus where it was in december . Spe

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

This nation and worldwide, and on Bloomberg Television as well. Thrilled you are wishes for a good conversation forward to this important statement by jay powell, an update on how the fed can help america. The backdrop this morning is wonderful. Markets up. What is so important is you need to be advised. Robert miller will join us of blackrock any moment, and we are thrilled to bring you Raghuram Rajan at the bottom of the hour for a must listen interview. Jon ferro, against everything i is yesterdayters reaffirmed just in the last 60 minutes this up, up, up for the stock market. Jonathan with a defensive tilt to it. Aroundfutures up by 0. 8 . I didnt think we would see a day like we saw in the last 24 hours, where you could have a down market and still see the likes of apple, amazon and facebook up about 3 . That is the regime we are in. They are the defensive names in 2020. Apple with tom rumors, speculation of product announcements through this year, and one of those signals of corp

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

Markets and across asset analysis, i think a little history is in order. You need to go back to 1933, just before i entered wall street. You need to go back to 1933 to see the 53 day lift that we just saw. Jonathan tom keene in cash since the 1930s, an unbelievable position hes held throughout the last century or so. [laughter] you have not participated in this rally for a long time, tom keene. Jonathan this is tom this is really important. A great strategist at ubs was , and thato hours ago was the distinction he made. This has been a surge without a lot of volatility and without a lot of volume. Volume is missing, and that is something to talk to our esteemed guest about in a moment. Jonathan just a sense of exuberance in the last couple of days. Later this morning, theres a little bit of data we need to look out for. Lisa at 10 00 a. M. , we are getting job openings data from the u. S. Just looking for a sense of how quickly that is coming back online. Also really important, the Sen

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240713

Well. We are in a grimmer america and the trend we are seeing in this pandemic, what do you observe in london on this wednesday . Iancine more than london, wanted to give you context on the rest of the u. S. It is a different market in the u. K. , many more homeowners and people do not live as much as in the u. S. Paychecktopaycheck. In the markets, we do not know what will happen because all of the rent due in the u. S. In the credit markets, regulators are racing to deal with this. They have more than 1. 5 trillion in outstanding debt, something we need to keep an eye on. Tom emerging markets front and center. Right now, our first word news. Viviana President Donald Trump is largely giving up his optimistic tome and warns tone and warns the u. S. To brace for one of the toughest wretches ever. The corona stretches ever. The coronavirus could kill 240,000 people. Overw york, the death toll 1000, new york state reporting over 75,000 confirmed infections. That exceeds the place where th

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240713

These are your markets. A bit of a move sideways for the europe stoxx 600. Mix the data across the world and mixed corporate earnings. If you look at the banking sector, it is one of the biggest gainers. We have a german manufacturing orders and Euro Area Services pmi for the month of october. Better than expected. Anything above 50 means expansion and we were expecting 51. 8. So look out for any movement on eurodollar and the u. S. 10 year yield. Coming up, we speak to the president of south africa. Come alk about s escom at a possible ratings downgrade. But first, lets get to bloomberg first word news. We begin with the impeachment inquiry for President Trump. The actions of Rudy Giuliani deeply unsettled to ukraine, outlining a quid quo pro. This is in exchange for investigating joe bidens son. Julienior ambassador said Rudy Giulianis role started as perplexing but quote became more insidious. The world has gone mad with free money according to ray dalio. He decried the current poli

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