should the biden team be in panic mode? they re playing it cool. we just saw karine jean-pierre in there. look at the numbers. more tough numbers and a major slip among a key really the essential voting group for winning elections. independents. the current president is now 14 points lower than he was with these voters just in july. and a stunning turn-around we ll talk to experts to explain this one. young voters in a 2024 hypothetical now lean trump. they overwhelmingly voted for biden in 2020. a lot of factors here that we ll dig in to to what going on here. how long can the president to this and say you re looking at the wrong polls? you listen to the biden white house and you listen to the campaign and you listen to spokespeople. they say don t worry, be happy. oh, we have time. martha: hogan gidley who worked in the trump administration and philippe ryan are here. good to have both of you with us today. we re going to bring in first fox news correspondent peter do
continue to follow breaking news and an extraordinary request by special counsel jack smith at the supreme court decide to whether the former president have immunity from prosecution for alleged crimes he committed while in office, this will be the first time the high court could weigh in on the historic prosecution of the former president. joining us now is a senior supreme court analyst job is cubic and paula reid. so, paula, this is a pretty aggressive move from the special counsel. what is the play? that is exactly right, this is the first time the special counsel jack smith has gone to the supreme court, he is asking it to decide if the former president is immune from criminal prosecution. that is a constitutional question that has never been decided, but really what is at stake is the timing of trump s first criminal trial. trump has been litigating this issue of immunity, he lost at the district court level and signaled he would appeal, the next stop would usually be
tomorrow. it s forecast to show about 650,000 jobs added back in the month. jobless rate of 5.9%. we ll see for sure in 24 hours. we re still down about 8 million jobs in the pandemic. it feels as though we re turning this corner where the hiring is ahead of us. still hearing about worker shortages. a lot of hopes that s going to ease as we go into the fall when kids are getting back into school. jobless benefits expire and their lives get more normalized and they can start looking for jobs again. a big surprise on the downward end. tomorrow we re excited to see what those number shows. you ll be back for that. i will. thank you very much. just 50 days now until the summer olympics set to open in tokyo. there s been pressure to cancel the games. tokyo is in a state of emergency as covid spreads and thousands of olympic volunteers we learned this morning have quit. joining us now is former nba champion chris bosh, also a former olympic gold medalist in the 2008 summer olympics a
they know unless they get 35% minimum or so of the hispanic vote, they can t win the election. they re going to hope and pray that that 70% doesn t turn out because hispanic turnout is traditionally lower than the numbers indicate. if that percentage holds up, it makes it very, very difficult. in states like this one, in states like colorado, a swing state we re in, or nevada, or even north carolina and ohio, for the republicans to win. they are a minority of a minority demographically. that s what that number shows. we have nate silver s estimates today. he points out some fascinating thing. a very smart guy who writes for the new york times. he points out what s going on. he analyzed the polls coming in and going out of debates since 1969. he doesn t look at who won the debate. he looks at the polls before and after to see what happened in those debates. he found usually a small bounce coming out of the first debate for the challenger, not the