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5 to 7 points popular vote and 100 to 120 electoral vote for mitt romney. bill: you know the polls n sa tt. what is it? do you have a magic ball? do you have ms. clio in the basement? you have got to give me one thing that is making you so confident. well, i think it s reagan/carter all over again. bill: you are basically going on feeling. feeling and the people i know. you know, my friends are all small business and women. i happen to be jewish. i know lots of moderates and liberal democratic jewish voters. i know a lot of my old neighborhood in new york catholic voters and back four years ago they were all willing to give obama a chance. four years later back in this spring when i came out with this prediction, every single person i knew who owned a small business said i can t take another four years of obama. i m voting romney. i just felt it added up to a very big victory. there has been a giant seed change in this country. bill: dr. bickers, you have ....