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5 to 7 points popular vote and 100 to 120 electoral vote for mitt romney. bill: you know the polls n sa tt. what is it? do you have a magic ball? do you have ms. clio in the basement? you have got to give me one thing that is making you so confident. well, i think it s reagan/carter all over again. bill: you are basically going on feeling. feeling and the people i know. you know, my friends are all small business and women. i happen to be jewish. i know lots of moderates and liberal democratic jewish voters. i know a lot of my old neighborhood in new york catholic voters and back four years ago they were all willing to give obama a chance. four years later back in this spring when i came out with this prediction, every single person i knew who owned a small business said i can t take another four years of obama. i m voting romney. i just felt it added up to a very big victory. there has been a giant seed change in this country. bill: dr. bickers, you have ....
Person i knew who owned a small business said i can t take another four years of obama. i m voting romney. i just felt it added up to a very big victory. there has been a giant seed change in this country. bill: dr. bickers, you have a little bit more of an analytical, you being a professor at the university of colorado, a little more analytical approach. who do you think is going to win and why? well, we agree that governor romney is going to win. we think it s going to be around 330 electoral college votes he will win. it s not based on any gut instinct and it s certainly not based on talking to other people in bolder. the only gamble i have made is that they will still talk to me if i m associated with this kind of a prediction model. this is based on looking back at elections all the way back to 1980. and what my colleague and i have done is to model the electoral college contests as 51 separate contests, the 50 states, plus the district of columbia. so based on the past voting ....
Person i knew who owned a small business said i can t take another four years of obama. i m voting romney. i just felt it added up to a very big victory. there has been a giant seed change in this country. bill: dr. bickers, you have a little bit more of an analytical, you being a professor at the university of colorado, a little more analytical approach. who do you think is going to win and why? well, we agree that governor romney is going to win. we think it s going to be around 330 electoral college votes he will win. it s not based on any gut instinct and it s certainly not based on talking to other people in bolder. the only gamble i have made is that they will still talk to me if i m associated with this kind of a prediction model. this is based on looking back at elections all the way back to 1980. and what my colleague and i have done is to model the electoral college contests as 51 separate contests, the 50 states, plus the district of columbia. so based on the past voting ....