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In equity markets, whatever precaution one might take, the probability of a mistake of getting stuck with a wrong stock cannot be ruled out. The only difference is that the probability of that goes higher, when stocks are being bought at a time when even bulls don t know why they are so bullish, which was the case till very recently when there was a mad rush to buy mid and small caps. So, mistakes are an integral part of the learning curve of the stock market. But then there are mistakes and silly mistakes, just try to avoid silly mistakes. How ? Stay away from stocks where there is a narrative that this sector will do well because of XYZ reasons or the company will get such and such orders worth this much. There is enough evidence in history to show that more than anything else, checks and balances are most important at a point of time when valuations are high and yes despite the recent correction they are high. ....
Probably the debate on valuations is over or even if it is taking place, the majority has accepted that yes valuations are high but at the same time liquidity is also high which is ensuring that the street is under the control of bulls. Now there is enough historical evidence to show that valuations matter and justifications don t stand the test of time. Now to take care of the valuation factor, investors looking to invest in midcap space should just push the filter levels a bit higher and should look more closely at business and financial parameters before investing. Right from whether the trend in promoters shareholding to dividend track record to what is the debt situation. Some hard work will ensure that when the street gets into a mode of correction, probability and yes only probability of relatively less drawdown in portfolio value. ....
Unlike last quarter of 2023, when nifty and sensex used to witness correction and mid-cap index was able move higher. Since the start of 2024, the mid-cap index is also participating in the correction, clearly indicating that some profit booking is taking place in this segment of the market. Having said that, if one looks at the flow of money to the mutual funds, a good amount of it is still coming in funds which are focussed on mid or small cap. There is no way one can fight with liquidity, if it is going to mid caps and they are moving up irrespective of valuations or quality of stocks one cannot argue. But the only thing which as an investor one can do is to be careful when taking exposure to this segment of the market. Stay away from stocks where there is a narrative that this sector will do well because of ABCD reasons or the company will get such and such orders worth this much. There is enough evidence in history to show that more than anything else, checks and balances are most ....
Unlike the past, where the correction was led by large cap stocks, this time it has been midcap which has the correction. It is not the first time this correction has taken place and a similar trend is visible in the past also. In such times it would be better to select stocks where analysts are bullish. ET screener powered by Refinitiv’s Stock Report Plus lists down quality stocks with high upside potential over the next 12 months, having an average recommendation rating of “buy” or "strong buy". This predefined screener is only available to ET Prime users. ....