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Addressing the virus. Cases are on the rise nationwide and were nearing 240,000 deaths due to covid. And our hearts go out to each and every family thats lost a loved one to this terrible disease. In america, the vote is sacred. Its how people of this nation express their will and it is the will of the voters, no one, not anything else chooses the president of the United States of america. All right. Former Vice President biden urging people to stay calm and be patient and he says he has no doubt that when this is all said and done, that he will now we have yet to hear from President Trump. He is on social media. His last tweet was three words, stop the fraud in all cap, by the way, without evidence of any fraud, but with that we want to bring in our first guest, we enjoyed his conversation so much on midday that we invi ....
For you. Mark, can we back up to the slides on the reproduction number. One second. Oh no, its okay. Give me just one second to back up to that. Those are very concerning numbers. We see if we reduce the reproductive number by a third, we hold steady at the same number of hospitalizations, but wed still see as many as four times of deaths here in San Francisco. But if we continue on this same scale, we could see deaths up to 800, and number of hospitalizations, 1,000 to over 3,000. That could clearly overwhelm our Hospital Systems. I know weve seen footage of people gathering in dolores park this weekend, and the possible impact that could have. Could you just speak to what kind of effect that behavior could have, not just on our people, but our ability to serve the health care needs. Yes [inaudible] i thi. Dr. Colfax i think its really important that we stay vigilant and do ....
They can maintain operations as best possible while also people going to the command center to do this operation. Well, very clearly, it is a really challenging, and as other commissioners have indicated, really grateful that people like yourself have really stepped up and continue to do, as you say, the work that has to be done, along with the very key work, and congratulations on being head of this program. One question which is more technical has to do with the testing strategies. And your chart was great and sexu certainly keynoted on some of the areas that were concerned. On the other hand, you also pointed out that you were interested in reaching other vulnerable populations which are kind of a potential tinderbox, and im glad that you mentioned chinatown right now. Its a very low number, and some other asian populations out in the sunset which arent being tested, but we dont know that. What is your testing strategy to figure out a priority, and that came from one of the question ....
And promotions staff within Population Health, and those folks are under this yellow block under operations, but that means that theyre also overseeing the Human Services, which is doing housing and feeding. [inaudible] within Population Health, and that modelling that theyre doing is both our normal work of taking in public results of Infectious Disease tests, but its also new work that i think is really an advancement of what we normally do in the department, working with outside assistance for modelling and making sure that we are able to project into the future. And that is led by jim marks, who is an anesthesiologist and many others in that structure. Go forward. Ill let you know that all of the guidance that comes out is part of the information and < ....
A serious but manageable wave of infections in california is a prediction we brought you last month. And i do think that we will be able to limit the spread. I just dont know where it will stop. Reporter four week pass and couple of steepiest social distances guidelines again, dr. Bonnie maldonado told us disaster was preventable. And we really did think if you kept people apart and did it properly, that would prevent this from spreading. Reporter if you started thinking about the other side of the curve and what an exit strategy might look like for california, now that we know what sort of time frame we seem to be working on . Absolutely. I mean, i think we kind of have that in the back of our minds from the beginning, but we just wanted to see if this would work, and we always thought, well, then how do you peel it back . What if we do that and then the virus reintroduced from somewhere else. Reporter so while we may have accomplished our first goal, we are still a a ways off from wh ....