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The Race for the House, Part Two

Rating changes in 7 districts a mixed bag for each party; previewing the NY-3 special.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE We are making 7 House rating changes this week, with 4 benefiting Democrats and 3 benefiting Republicans. Republicans continue to be closer to the magic number of 218 in our ratings than Democrats, but there are enough Toss-up races that we broadly consider the race for the House to be a Toss-up overall. The NY-3 special remains highly competitive less than a week before the election.
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The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting

In vintage Louisiana fashion, Democrats gain a second Louisiana seat.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE Earlier this week, Gov. Jeff Landry (R-LA) signed a new House map that creates a second Black-majority seat in the state. The new district, stretching from Baton Rouge to Shreveport, would have favored Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020 and is Safe Democratic. Former Rep. Cleo Fields (D) seems to be a frontrunner for the new seat, and, if elected, would return to Congress after a nearly 30 year absence. Aside from its partisan implications, the new map could be interpreted as Landry’s attempt at punishing Rep. Garret Graves (R, LA-6).
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The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting

The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting
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Notes on the State of Politics: Dec. 7, 2023

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE The pending resignation of former Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R, CA-20) and Rep. Patrick McHenry’s (R, NC-10) retirement announcement are notable developments, but they do not precipitate rating changes. With New York’s George Santos (R, NY-3) expelled from Congress, a special election in his district will be held in February. A recent special election in Utah’s 2nd District stood out as something of an exception: a special election where Republicans overperformed. Though Georgia Republicans were ordered to draw a new congressional map, the plan that they produced maintains the state’s existing 9-5 Republican split.
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Election 2023 Live Results: Virginia Is for Voters! And So Are MS, KY, OH, and more

Come on, folks — we couldn’t go a full two years without some elections to watch, could we? At least not in a handful of states that hold off-year legislative and gubernatorial elections,. ....

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