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The Race for the House, Part Two

Rating changes in 7 districts a mixed bag for each party; previewing the NY-3 special.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE We are making 7 House rating changes this week, with 4 benefiting Democrats and 3 benefiting Republicans. Republicans continue to be closer to the magic number of 218 in our ratings than Democrats, but there are enough Toss-up races that we broadly consider the race for the House to be a Toss-up overall. The NY-3 special remains highly competitive less than a week before the election.
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The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting

In vintage Louisiana fashion, Democrats gain a second Louisiana seat.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE Earlier this week, Gov. Jeff Landry (R-LA) signed a new House map that creates a second Black-majority seat in the state. The new district, stretching from Baton Rouge to Shreveport, would have favored Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020 and is Safe Democratic. Former Rep. Cleo Fields (D) seems to be a frontrunner for the new seat, and, if elected, would return to Congress after a nearly 30 year absence. Aside from its partisan implications, the new map could be interpreted as Landry’s attempt at punishing Rep. Garret Graves (R, LA-6).
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The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting

The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting
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Pumping the Brakes Post-Milligan

Pumping the Brakes Post-Milligan
rasmussenreports.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from rasmussenreports.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up

CA/NY vital for Democratic comeback; new maps in NC/OH could give Republicans a buffer.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE The overall battle for House control in 2024 starts as a Toss-up. Relatively similar numbers of Democratic and Republican seats start in the most competitive Toss-up and Leans categories, although Republicans start with a few more targets in large part because of the likelihood that they will benefit from redistricting in North Carolina and Ohio. Big blue states California and New York, where Republicans have made key gains over the past couple of cycles, loom large as Democrats plot a path back to the House majority.
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