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It is never easy to find a good stock. Not for any other reason, but the fact of “ good stock” is an open ended term. For some consideration of calling something a “good stock” is largely how the price of the stock behaves in different market conditions. Like does it fall less in bearish markets and moves up faster in bullish markets. For some a stock which is available at cheaper valuations, could be a good stock. So, each to its own. But when it comes to business and management , there is only one thing “good business” and “ good management” which has no open ended interpretation. A business which generates good cash flows and has large market size to grow and for management a clean balance sheet and good corporate governance. ....
Small caps have an inherent risk which is technical in nature but it still can be a big headache, if one is caught on the wrong foot. A number of these small caps stocks have limited floating stock, which means a bout of demand can lead to a sharp rise in prices, which is good in bullish times, but at the same time if there is a small bout of selling at a time when valuations are high, there is hardly any buyer. So, the risk of these stocks moving downward circuit to circuit. If in doubt, just look at what happened in March this year. That is the risk which probably made the market regulator give advice to mutual funds to put some restraint on collecting money in their small cap schemes. But by April, some of them are making a comeback. For all those die hard small and micro cap fans, one basic principle should be remembered. Investing is about taking stake in a business and that business should have growth prospects and management should be transparent. ....
After a short corrective phase due to global development, both the index and the market breadth have turned positive. But because valuations are high, there are couple of things which one needs to keep an eye upon. First is how the street is reacting to the Q4 result. If the street reacts positively then it should be taken as a sign of strength. Second, it would be better to still be cautious both the amount of exposure one is taking and more importantly the stocks which one is buying should have good fundamentals and the score should have seen some improvement. These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame. ....
After the last few days of correction due to the crisis in the Middle east , the broader market indices like nifty and sensex once again rebounded. The way the market behaved it was clear that it is largely due to international reasons and market breadth was clearly showing signs that bears will have to wait before they can make any serious attempt to control the street. But because valuations are high, it would be better to still be cautious both the amount of exposure one is taking and more importantly the stocks which one is buying should have good fundamentals and the score should have seen some improvement. These selected stocks depict a strong upward trajectory in their overall average score. This implies that there has been a significant improvement in their market outlook in the given time frame. ....
Last Thursday, when everything appeared fine, there was a sudden decline in the Nifty, a drop of more than 200 points in less than 5 mins. There was never and never will be, dearth of explanation of every move of the markets. So, the blame this time was put on basket selling and possible attack by Israel on Iran. Explanations aside, volatility is part of the market and will remain. The only two things one should do, look at how the market breadth has panned out during the volatile phase. Second, stocks, which may be volatile in the short term but the companies are good when it comes to fundamentals. During this volatile phase, it was large cap and more particularly index stocks which led the down move. The fact is that the first phase of volatility is always led by large caps as they have high institutional holdings. But over the long term, they tend to outperform and the drawdown is lower as compared to mid and small caps. So, at times large caps might optically appear to be hammere ....