Ken i think treasuries have run as far as they are going to run at this point. If we see improvement in growth, we are looking for improvement in growth in europe, and the message will be that the market will adjust. Are we going to go dramatically higher . No. But i think we are at the low end. Jonathan it is like chinese water torture, drip, drip, drip. Ok data from the u. S. Chinese data doing ok. That chinese data to close out the week was really terrific compared to what we had 12 months ago. Here we are, yields are up by a basis point. Does that make sense . Ken i would argue it should have moved more, but there is this tremendous damper on the system that is the fed. That is what you are seeing. Greg their version of qe is still supporting with 20 billion euros on one end. It seems like the market consensus is the fed is out for 2020. That leaves you with the 10year at 1. 80. Breakeven is 1. 75. I dont see anything breaking us out of here. Jonathan we have to talk about the trea
That is putting the fed in a bit of a bind. It creates the risk of a policy mistake. The fed will not make a policy mistake if everything is fine. If the data does not get worse. Which people are forecasting. You could have a second half where the economy is bouncing back. The second half we should see that fade. The fed is actually going to surprise to the downside on the Balance Sheet. They should not continue that Balance Sheet expansion. Is the market going to see that as the end of qe, quantitative tightening . The fed playbook is to cut big and fast and signal qe if there is weakness. Thats a big risk for the market. Jonathan joining me around the table is greg staples, lisa hornby, and ken monahan. Lets talk about it, ken. Your thoughts on that, is it or isnt it qe . Ken i know mr. Kashkari is trying to throw cold water on the idea that it is not, but even being in minneapolis, he doesnt have enough water to throw on it to convince the market it is not. I think the market call i
On cspan, online at cspan. Org, or listened with the cspan radio app. Next, president ial candidate cory booker participates in a forum on a forum on Civil Liberties. Hosted by the university of New Hampshires law school. Good afternoon, everybody. Good afternoon and welcome. Good afternoon and welcome. I direct thehn and center. The Center Provides curricular, Financial Support for law students who are interested in Public Interest careers. It serves as a phase of the university here by preventing public programming like todays event. We are happy to be able to partner with the aclu of New Hampshire on this series of Civil Liberties and the presidency. It serves as the face of the university here in concord by presenting public programming such as todays event. We are happy to be able to partner with the aclu of New Hampshire with an ongoing series of Civil Liberties and the presidency. We are happy to welcome to the law school senator cory booker from the state of new jersey. Not New
That kind of liquidity will be hard to fight. That is putting the fed in a bit of a bind. It creates the risk of a policy mistake. The fed will not make a policy mistake if everything is fine. If the data does not get worse. Which people are forecasting. You could have an economy where the second half is bouncing back. The second half we should see that fade. The fed is actually going to surprise to the downside on the Balance Sheet. They should not continue that Balance Sheet expansion. Is the market going to see that as the end of qe, quantitative tightening . The fed playbook is to cut big and fast and signal qe if there is weakness. Thats a big risk for the market. Jonathan joining me around the table is greg staples, lisa hornby, and ken monahan. Your thoughts on that, ken . Is it or isnt it qe . Ken i know mr. Kashkari is trying to throw cold water on the idea that it is not, but even being in minneapolis, he doesnt have enough water to throw it to convince the market it is not.
That is putting the fed in a bit of a bind. It creates the risk of a policy mistake. The fed will not make a policy mistake if everything is fine. If the data does not get worse. Which people are forecasting. You could have a second half where the economy is bouncing back. The second half we should see that fade. The fed is actually going to surprise to the downside on the Balance Sheet. They should not continue that Balance Sheet expansion. Is the market going to see that as the end of qe, quantitative tightening . The fed playbook is to cut big and fast and signal qe if there is weakness. Thats a big risk for the market. Jonathan joining me around the table is greg staples, lisa hornby, and ken monahan. Lets talk about it, ken. Your thoughts on that, is it or isnt it qe . Ken i know mr. Kashkari is trying to throw cold water on the idea that it is not, but even being in minneapolis, he doesnt have enough water to throw on it to convince the market it is not. I think the market call i