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Are seeing here in most of the polling i ve seen. first of all we have it as a little bit smaller lead than what the fox poll is showing. what the fox poll doesn t get into is the intensity. and what you have with incumbent president doing good or bad things. in this case the numbers for biden have turned decisively negative, is that the intensity there is a gravity that comes with being the incumbent president and bringing down the intensity of your voters, raising the intensity of the opposite party s and that s something that has been playing in virginia very, very big. it is something that will carry over into the general election next year. the intensity advantage the republicans have. we ve always had the race very close in the republican polling that s being done out there but the intensity gap has been substantial for most of the fall. ....
Through. guess what. the composure of this current congress hasn t changed that much. one thing may be shifting, the intensity gap, we can measure in polling what people are concerned about, issues that are ranked the most important. here we are seeing gun control even before what happened with these twin massacres are ranking higher and higher among concerns of democratic voters. now, you re seeing that manifest in language used by the presidential candidates. here s the catch. the presidential candidates can be very strong on this and make a lot of promises. what has to happen for real change, for instance, a ban on semi-automatic weapons and ban on high capacity magazines, there has to be a shift at the senate level. even in the senate today, see senators like pat toomey, co-sponsor of a background check legislation, he would never ....
Dangerous. if democrats have to question the intensity gap then all hope may be lost. there is 30 days, 30 days for these elections which are critical to the history for the future of this country, where i believe american democracy as we know it is on the ballot. yeah. just, tiffany, to look at how people feel about how important the elections are. democrats 82% in october said that is very important. republicans 80% say it is important. republican turnout is fairly consistent. it is democratic turnout, people of color and young people that don t show up. do you see any sign that that is changing this cycle? absolutely. i think it is interesting to me when i hear, will this last? the republicans were pissed off during the obama years. i think they are quite capable of holding a grudge for however long it takes. when i look at races, ....
That s an intensity gap that i don t think the republicans are going to be able to make up. now, will it make a difference in some races? perhaps. on the other hand, you look at the house races, political report just moved another seven seats in the direction of democrats. so the house is practically gone at this point. we ve just had mayor michael bloomberg, former mayor of new york, drop $20 million in the senate republican races. there s a reason for that. he doesn t throw away his money. and that is that those races are all nip and tuck and could win you know, they could go either way frankly about six or seven of them. and karine, you and i have talked about this on this show before. the record number of women who are running for congressional seats this time around. this has got to be a sort of so many of those women are running for some of these very particular reasons. because of the me too movement, because of some of the realizations that this country has come to face ....
Problem. you look in the latest quinnipiac poll. 55% of women strongly disapprove of him. that s compared to 36% of men who strongly approve. that s an intensity gap that i don t think the republicans are going to be able to make up. now, will it make a difference in some races? perhaps. on the other hand, you look at the house races, political report just moved another seven seats in the direction of democrats. so the house is practically gone at this point. we ve just had mayor michael bloomberg, former mayor of new york, drop $20 million in the senate republican races. there s a reason for that. he doesn t throw away his money. and that is that those races are all nip and tuck and could win you know, they could go either way frankly about six or seven of them. and karine, you and i have talked about this on this show before. the record number of women who are running for congressional seats this time around. ....