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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Total bond purchase target to 745 billion. Beforewaiting until 2 30 the governor comments to journalists. We will get more details on exactly what the bank was thinking at that point, but theres obviously speculation swirling that we could see as far as negative rates. Qe byoted 81 to expand 100 billion. It will be interesting to know whether that one is actually for more qe at that point. The data in the moment very weak. We saw the cpi data earlier this and thatedibly weak, negative gdp print for april. Remember, the bank and the asernor more broadly seen more optimistic on the economy in the u. K. , but the bank is ready to take further action is needed to aid the economy. That is what weve got so far. Jonathan the pound filling the gap lower, turning negative by just 0. 1 against the u. S. Dollar. Get me to august for the next big bank of england sit down. We expanded qe by 100 billion. Do they have to go again . Guy the expectation is they probably do have to go again. In many way ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

The yield curve is incrementally flatter. We expect that to continue for the short term. It has been catching a lot of investors off guard. I think it is there for a long haul. At this point in the overall fed cycle, we would anticipate that the curve should steepen somewhat. Youre seeing late market cycle behavior. Part of that behavior is a flatter yield curve. If the fed is on hold and lets be economy run hot, that will keep the short ends, which everyone expects. A market priced for recession, but it is telling you there are no risks whatsoever. That is not really a tenable situation. The launchpad controls are in very much in the hands of politicians right now as opposed to Central Banks. If you start seeing some of these deals go through, you could see a steepener. If it happens, we think you create the conditions for an upside to expectations on inflation and we think it gets manifested in the yield curve steepening. Lisa jo ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

It is incrementally flatter. We expect that to continue for the short term. It has been catching a lot of investors off guard. We are playing the flattening. I think it is there for a long haul. In the overall fed cycle, we would anticipate the fed should steepen somewhat. Youre seeing late market cycle behavior. Part of that is a flatter yield curve. The economy will run hot and it will keep the short and suppressed, which everyone expects. A market priced for recession, but it is telling you there are no risks whatsoever. That is not a tenable situation. The launchpad controls are in the hands of politicians right now as opposed to Central Banks. If you see these deals go through, you could see a steepener. If it happens, we think you create the conditions for an upside to expectations on inflation and we think it gets manifested in the yield curve steepening. Lisa joining us from london is iain stealy from jp morgan, and james a ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

We expect that to continue for the short term. It has been catching a lot of investors off guard. We are playing the flattening. I think it is there for a long haul. In the overall fed cycle, we would anticipate the curve should steepen somewhat. Youre seeing late market cycle behavior. Part of that is a flatter yield curve. The economy will run hot and it will keep the short and suppressed, which everyone expects. A market priced for recession, but it is telling you there are no risks whatsoever. That is not a tenable situation. The launchpad controls are in the hands of politicians right now as opposed to Central Banks. If you see these deals go through, you could see a steepener. If it happens, we think you create the conditions for an upside to expectations on inflation and we think it gets manifested in the yield curve steepening. Lisa joining us from london is iain stealy from jp morgan and james athey from standard investmen ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

It is incrementally flatter. We expect that to continue for the short term. It has been catching a lot of investors off guard. We are playing the flattening. I think it is there for a long haul. In the overall fed cycle, we would anticipate the curve should steepen somewhat. Youre seeing late market cycle behavior. Part of that is a flatter yield curve. The economy will run hot and it will keep the short and suppressed, which everyone expects. A market priced for recession, but it is telling you there are no risks whatsoever. That is not a tenable situation. The launchpad controls are in the hands of politicians right now as opposed to Central Banks. If you see these deals go through, you could see a steepener. If it happens, we think you create the conditions for an upside to expectations on inflation and we think it gets manifested in the yield curve steepening. Lisa joining us from london is iain stealy from jp morgan and james ....

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