Consumer confidence relatively judge the michigan consumers intimate data is a good guide. Lets break it down a different way. Current conditions, 85. 9. That is above expectations at 84. 9. This is what i was really looking for, expectations also ,oming in ahead of expectations but they are still below current conditions, 79. 2. They are not going down, which ethic is the really important thing, as we see the virus picking up. Alix and we didnt get stimulus, counterintuitive to what many thought would happen. Big tex stocks are lower on a stocks big tech are lower on a flurry of data. Now with us, mark st oeckle. Are you buying the dip . Tok i think people need keep it in perspective. The reports were good. I think what we are seeing today is skimming a little but of the froth out of the valuation adjustment. I think they are all very wellpositioned and very well performing companies, but lets also not forget weve had a big run up into these numbers. The interesting part is you look a
Out of congress as opposed to just these executive orders from the president that are taking quite a bit of heat over the weekend. Yeah, look, david, i think that there is a sense initially that it was a white house grab and it kind of went through the weekend, there was a recognition that, wait a second, maybe it is a grab if youre going to give 400, 100 has to come from the states and many of the states including red states are in trouble. The thing that is most compounding people is that 12 of the people who make 80 to 100,000 get this bizarre payroll tax cut when the problem is not the people employed but the people who are unemployed. I think that its arer so counterintuitive our old friend larry kudlow always believed in that. We have secretary mnuchin right now, which is terrific lets do it lets do it. Go ahead, jim. Mr. Secretary, always good to see you on squawk on the street. We get a little bargaining done on the show. How have you been . Good morning. How are you . Im doing
After the adp report, employment is still a bad number. From 43. 1, so42. 1 that feeds into the narrative that even if the economy opened up a little bit in july, we are going to see fewer people working, and we will probably see adjustments to peoples payroll forecasts for friday. Alix is that the one take away from today, the slower rate of job hiring . Michael that is the important thing. You can open up the economy and get a yield sitting in the middle of the street or a restaurant, but the people who serve you are not coming back as quickly as they would hope. That will slow the economy overall. Alix you mean in new york you literally have tables in the street. I appreciate that take them. One other sign of hope in the race for a vaccine you have shares surging to their highest in five years. I two shot experimental covid19 vaccine generated antibody responses in healthy adults that were four times higher than in people who have already recovered from the virus. I am joined by the
India may miss growth targets as the virus cripples the outlook. Intel plunged after its new chip reduction process was delayed again. The company is under pressure as customers increasingly turn to rivals for chips. We are just getting pmi data out of australia crossing the bloomberg. The pmi actually rising to a record high in july. This is a preliminary number for services coming in at 58. 5. Manufacturing pmi also higher, 53. 4 from 51. 2. Composite at 57. 9. A big jump from the 52. 7 in the previous reading. That returnecting to some semblance of normality as part of australia exit the stricter lockdown. Going forward will be key given we are seeing a fresh sixweek lockdown from victoria. Lets take a look at how we are setting up this friday session. U. S. Stocks falling to the lowest in about a week after unexpectedly high jobless claims rekindling worries of the economic recovery stalling. We are seeing more recovery when it comes to trading in futures contracts come up about. 2
And twitter adds a fact check donaldor u. S. President trump for the first time. He accuses the media giant of stifling free speech. Manus just on 6 00 a. M. In london. I dont have a big enough following for a fact check. Good morning. Economic risk, Political Risk, and earnings risk. Right now, the markets are ignoring Political Risk, whether they are right or wrong, but they are certainly focused on economic risk. Jamie dimon embolden us with his comments of a fairly rapid economic recovery. He and bullard have come down towards 10 unemployment. I want to remind you 10 unemployment was the top of the Global Financial crisis. I know the stimulus is different, but these are very bullish economic record pieces that inflame the mood this morning. Good morning. Nejra good morning. Yes, it is really interesting with jamie dimons focus, versus what we saw in 20082009. That leads people to question at this point when we do see the rally continuing in risk assets, particularly equities, with