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Retail and Manufacturing Losses, a Dwindling Housing Supply, and the 10-Year UST Yield Hits 1.67%

By: BCM Investment Team
February’s retail sales losses were more severe than expected with sectors following a familiar pattern but have still managed to grow year-over-year. Manufacturing also felt the effects of last month’s freezing temperatures and underperformed expectations by over 3%. Housing prices meanwhile continue to soar in a trend that looks primed to continue as supply runs worryingly short. A $1,400 stimulus check may not make much of a dent in a down payment, but is it doing much good in a savings account? The 10-year UST yield hit a fresh 13-month high ahead of the Fed decision which Bank of America called “one of the most critical events for the Fed in some time” this week, inching closer to the 2% yield many fund managers believe could spark a 10%+ correction in equities. And what lies ahead on the international stage as commodities, EM exports, and new waves of Covid all climb higher? ....

United States , Beaumont Capital Management Investment Team , Investment Team , Exchange Traded Funds , Mo Ney , Stock Market , Beaumont Capital Management , Etf Strategist Channel , ஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில் , பியூமான்ட் மூலதனம் மேலாண்மை முதலீடு அணி , முதலீடு அணி , பரிமாற்றம் வர்த்தகம் செய்யப்பட்டது நிதி , ஸ்டாக் சந்தை , பியூமான்ட் மூலதனம் மேலாண்மை , எட்டப் மூலோபாயவாதி சேனல் ,

Asset Allocation Weekly (March 12, 2021)

March 16, 2021
Confluence Investment Management offers various asset allocation products which are managed using “top down,” or macro, analysis. We publish asset allocation thoughts on a weekly basis in this report, updating the report every Friday, along with an accompanying podcast and chart book.
March 12, 2021
With the U.S. dollar apparently poised for what could be a long phase of depreciation, investors are naturally looking more closely at foreign stocks for future growth. Japan has been a prime focus, not only because it sports the world’s third-largest economy and the third-largest equity market, but also because Japanese stocks have recently performed well. Over the last six months, for example, the MSCI Japan Index provided a total return of 17.3% (in dollar terms), almost double the return on the U.S. index. But are Japanese stocks set for further gains over the ong term? Have Japanese stocks really overcome their long period of underperformance sin ....

Confluence Investment Management , Have Japanese , Great Depression , Exchange Traded Funds , Mo Ney , Stock Market , Etf Strategist Channel , சங்கமம் முதலீடு மேலாண்மை , வேண்டும் ஜப்பானிய , நன்று மனச்சோர்வு , பரிமாற்றம் வர்த்தகம் செய்யப்பட்டது நிதி , ஸ்டாக் சந்தை , எட்டப் மூலோபாயவாதி சேனல் ,

Why Are Interest Rates Rising…and What Does It Mean for the Stock Market?

Why RiverFront is not yet concerned about recent rise in rates
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Shown for illustrative purposes. Not indicative of RiverFront portfolio performance.
After a prolonged period of hovering near all-time lows, the US 10-year Treasury yield has been on the move lately (see chart). This is not wholly unexpected, nor it is necessarily something for the stock market to be concerned about, in our view. In RiverFront’s 2021 Outlook, both our base case and bull case scenarios for stocks predicted rates rising this year; at the upper end, we predicted a range as high as ~1.80% on the US 10-year Treasury. ....

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Climate and Credit Risks Collide in the Aftermath of Uri

By Bob Smith, Sage President & CIO
According to a recent letter written to the Texas Public Utility Commission (PUC) by Potomac Economics, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) made a $16 billion error in pricing during the week of Winter Storm Uri. This reportedly occurred because the PUC directed the grid operator to set wholesale power prices at $9,000 per megawatt hour for two days during the storm the maximum market price allowed. Retail power providers then bought power from the wholesale market to deliver to consumers, because they were contractually obligated to do so. Because ERCOT failed to bring prices back down on time, those companies had to buy power in the market at extremely inflated prices. ....

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Perspectives on Bitcoin as an Institutional Investment

Should institutional investors consider adding Bitcoin as an asset class within a well-diversified portfolio? ....

State Street Global Advisors , Exchange Traded Funds , Mo Ney , Stock Market , Etf Strategist Channel , State Street , பரிமாற்றம் வர்த்தகம் செய்யப்பட்டது நிதி , ஸ்டாக் சந்தை , எட்டப் மூலோபாயவாதி சேனல் , நிலை தெரு ,