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Kennedy nixon. I dont know if we will see element of that, but you will see way over the 80 million four years ago for clinton and trump. The interest is ginormous. Jonathan it is a spectacle. It is golden tv. Does it have consequences . That is the question. Monmouth university come out with a pole that said just 3 they are very likely to hear something that will impact their eventual vote choice. We will all be watching. Will it have consequences . Tom let to get the theater out of the way right now. This is very important. This is case western reserve university, one of our great science and engineering institutions, and the richest , secretary 1800s hayes to roosevelt. This is the history of dow chemical as well. And in the 20th century, it is a city that has been flat on its back for a decade for decades. Joe biden if can speak to these people, and President Trump as well. Jonathan in d. C. , there is still something to talk ....
Fed kicking off its meeting today. For more on what investors are watching, sarah hunt is here from alpine woods capital. What could the fed due tomorrow that would most upset the markets . Give i think they did not a lot of detail about how they were going to make sure when it was time for them to change their inflation standpoint, when was too much over. If they narrow the window and say we are looking for a tiny bit of on the inflation side. I think they are expecting inflation to run hotter if they get there for a longer time. And if they do something to narrow that window, that would make people more nervous. Newsbut in terms of the flow, have we already had it . Central banks have been dominant this year. It seems to me as if politics is beginning to take over as the key narrative, in london with brexit, and weve got all kinds of trouble in the mediterranean, we have got tension with china, and of course we have the u. S. Election coming up. So does this narrative now takeover fr ....
Euroyen shows you the dynamic away from the dollar, translated. It is all about the weaker dollar across the board when i look in yields, i really look at the inflationadjusted yield as a 0. 92. 2012. Reaches the jonathan 2 trillion and 99 days. A 2 trillion spread between democrats and republicans, and 99 days until the election. You have to believe the president steps forward and says it needs to be bigger. Tom no question about it. The president just reads the riot act to his republicans about losing the house, losing the senate, losing the presidency, and getting out. I dont think it is 1. 5 trillion where we are heading with mr. Trump. What i would focus on in a week of Technology Earnings is that equities are so resilient here compared to what else you and i see on the bloomberg terminal. Jonathan a massive week ahead. Lets get to the morning brief. A fed decision coming up later this week. Tech earnings in the mix. Lat ....
Poised potentially for of for the week of losses. In the bond market, the epicenter of the headlines. 170 is the estimate on wall street. Tom we will conflate a lot of economic talk. My major message is that the market still matter. It will be fascinating to see the reaction to the jobs report. Is a good news or bad news later this morning . Tom you know how much i hate that. I get confused by it. Employment is a big deal. 170 is a generous number and the Unemployment Rate matters. Jonathan lisa, adp was bad news. Lisa if you look at the revisions they have revised upwards. Their expectation is that the whisper number is 170,000. At what point is not good news but not too bad that means economic armageddon. They are waiting for something to break the cycle. Even though we have some common markets but they are still at 4. 7 . Jonathan there is a question in a program that was what is nobody asking you about . 2024. How bizarre i ....
Current is performing well are a risk on currencies, dollaryen lower by 4 10 of a percent and the question is why . We will tackle that. And yields in the u. S. On the tenterhooks, pretty much going nowhere. 50 a barrel for crude oil. David and it is the big one, we will get the cpi numbers and they will give us a read on inflation. And then retail sales figures for january. 11 30 a. M. President trump meeting with members from both sides of the isle to talk about the infrastructure plan. Alix and a first take on the top three stories of the morning. Yen making a move in banks trading on volatility. And cpi. David i want to take a look at the cpi story. I want to pull up this chart that shows where we are. It is 8692, there we go. It is up. Gina, we have a projection on core and headline cpi, how the markets prepared for the said this point, because they are really on tenterhooks . Strategist a rate tell me yesterday that it was feeling like barrel friday in the middle the month. Frida ....