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Why the cubic model was so bad for projecting COVID

Slate has relationships with various online retailers. If you buy something through our links, Slate may earn an affiliate commission. We update links when possible, but note that deals can expire and all prices are subject to change. All prices were up to date at the time of publication.  by Jordan Ellenberg. © Penguin Press 2021. On May 5, 2020, the White House Council of Economic Advis­ers posted a chart showing deaths from COVID‑19 in the U.S. up to that time, together with several potential “curves” that roughly fit the data so far. To better visualize observed data, we also continually update a curve-fitting exercise to summarize COVID-19 s observed trajectory. Particularly with irregular data, curve fitting can improve data visualization. As shown, IHME s mortality curves have matched the data fairly well. pic.twitter.com/NtJcOdA98R CEA45 Archived (@WhiteHouseCEA45) May 5, 2020

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