districts that biden lost or won, lost or controlled by democrats, that gets us to 12. now you re starting to get in a double digit gain. lotte let s look at the districts that biden won. there are nine districts biden won by less than five, that gets you to over 20 seats. look at this, the districts that biden won by less than ten, that s 26 seats. you add that to the 12, you re talking about nearly a 40-seat net gain. we re talking about districts that we are saying are competitive. these are districts where republicans are potentially in striking distance and that includes a lot of districts that biden actually won by over five points. let s zoom in on new york, though. this is a place where i think a lot of democrats are experiencing some heartburn as we go into this midterm season. what is happening in new york? look, the reason we want to zone in on new york is if you look historically in sort of wave years you can see though we think of new york as this dark blue state, righ
counting votes. and the biggest thing when you say, hey, what happened last night? and i just tell people, don t look at virginia look at new jersey. 1:00 p.m., the day after the election night, it s still too close to call in new jersey that in itself is a headline. biden won that state by 16 points last year, just a year ago. where democrat phil murphy won by 14 points in 2017, hillary clinton won the state by 14 points in 2016. you get my drift. this wasn t just a blue state. this was kind of a dark blue state. democrats expected virginia would be potentially very close but not new jersey. the vote count there so far means democrats can t explain away what happened in new jersey, as a result of any one problem. about this candidate trying to nitpick and deflect blame away from themselves. the big take away from last night, democrats have problems they have to face everywhere and it s all over the ideological
lead-in to my next chart. that s why sometimes you should allow questions. it s like we planned it. the idea of giving the states some more flexibility over how they use medicaid dollars is not a bad idea. this say wholesale cutting of funding for expansion of medicaid f you look here, you ll see who are the winners and losers. dark blue state also lose the most money. by the time you get to the end, new york would lose $1,000 per person, california would lose $700 a person. not coincidentally, these states are in blue and they are blue. they expanded medicaid. who are the winners? the states that didn t expand medicaid like texas, missouri, alabama. and they actually would get $300, $400, $500 more per person. technically that s mississippi. i m sorry, i meant to say mississippi. alabama, arizona, maine, they
reporter: trump also came as you mentioned he came to scranton, he spoke very passionately as he does to the large crowd gathered there. i do want to mention you might not know where i m standing. it s dark and late but i m standing right in front of the rocky steps. i knew that. i m doing that for a reason. this is a ballots. this couldn t be a bigger battle between those two candidates. we thought it was apropos to stand here and show folks how much they have been through over the last couple of years. i do want to mention, this has been a dark blue state for a long time. now it s sort of light blue, full, and donald trump has a real chance. i mean if you look at the margin of error, he has a chance in this state. he is pushing hard, spending melania trump here. he has been here several times in the last 28 48 hours.
here s pennsylvania. similar charts as they get a lot more narrow as we come into the close. but, folks, some out there, would say, you know, that it is a desperate plea to get to 270. that it is scattershot. they re hoping one of these states will come through and help to push them over the edge. you re not getting 270 by winning any of these states. you will get to 270 by the basics. if you don t win ohio you will not win pennsylvania or michigan or minnesota. but you could easily within these states within the margin of error, in essence what you are in these polls, why not at this point in time? you may help other candidates running for congressional or senate races. pennsylvania is perfect example. you have a great governor there. got elected two years ago. you have a very conservative senator got elected two years ago. both houses of legislature. it is not a democrat dark blue state. it is a state where you have to make some appeal and you can do that through television. martha