Having a free and Fair Election without external intervention, even when both sides were perfectly wellprepared to play by the rules. We now have a situation before the pandemic hit where that is much more problematic, where issues of saying there is voter fraud happening, impersonations, you should not be doing vote by mail. All of the president s all of the measures for a president who is well behind in the polls but has the ability to shape the outcomes of the way the election is put together. In the Worlds Largest economy, the idea that the election will be contested and half of the population will think it is rigged even before the pandemic hit, we thought that was the single largest risk affecting the markets in 2020. Of course, the pandemic makes this a lot worse. Inid it strikes me that 2016 most of us were not thinking about the election being contaminated by social media disinformation, russia trying to intervene in the election. Now we know what happened. We have much better
We welcome you in different localities around a beautiful and recovering new york city. You see that on the stock market this morning, with equities up nicely, and yields higher. Safe havens a little bit in retreat. Jon, what is your observation on a tuesday as we move through the week on how this market is doing . Jonathan the focus quite clearly, reopening. Views are still polarized because the near term are so binary. Either reopening is a success, or it fails and we get a second wave. It is one or the other in a nearterm, at least. Tom one of the things that is so important is when i look at the recovery that we are in, it is predicated on the next round of stimulus. Why do i need a round of john norman at j. P. Morgan is telling me we are in some form of recovery . Lisa a lot of people are expecting the federal government p enhanced Unemployment Benefits. There is expectation baked in that that will continue. My question is, how much pressure will they be on washington to continue
In europe. European stocks hitting a 20 bounce up from the bear market in 2020. A little bit of selling on the bond market as growth questions continue and Oil Takes Another leg lower. Lets get right to the bank numbers. Jp morgan shares up by about 2 . They reported blowout fixed income and trading revenue. With us now is Alison Williams is sonali basak. Sonali provisions for loan losses are really skyrocketing here, more than 8 billion expected. A lot of it is coming from the consumer business, where those provisions are more than 5 billion. On the other end of the loan but, we are expecting lower Net Interest Income this year. Also, as one would expect with lower interest rates, that would come into about 55 billion, lower than the 57 billion dollars initially estimated. On the bright side, we saw Net Interest Income for the quarter come in pretty healthy, and fixed income revenue beat by almost 1 billion. Trading was able to hold up. The question is, wasnt able to hold up well in a
Here as well. Also want to point out some breaking news. Macys says their cfo paula price is going to leave the company. They are looking at an external search currently. Premarket withn the overall market. Exxon mobil also coming out, finally the last of the big majors to cut their capex. They see overall Capital Investments for this year about 23 billion. They saw up to 33 billion. They are also cutting operating expenses by about 15 . They are maintaining their longterm outlook. They say Capital Allocation priorities remain unchanged. The longest chunk of all these cuts are going to be spending in the permian basin. That is interesting. We heard something very similar with chevron, a little easier to shale. Ex within they are dealing with the fallout of the crisis. Watching those stocks as we head into the open. U. S. , as wellthe as the markets, but the collapse of the Small Business optimism i was just talking about. Gauge falling by 8. 18 points in march. Michael mckee joins us w
Weaker as you have no agreement over finance chiefs on what to do over the crisis. Russia doesnt think a 2 million barrel a day cut is enough to get anyone to the table. In the bond market, 17 billion worth of supply coming online at about 1 00 today. It is time for todays market moving news from our london and new york offices. European Union Finance ministers now failing to reach a deal on a unified strategy combat the economic damage of the coronavirus. Germanys finance minister olaf scholz did give a press conference shortly after talks ended. I think it is absolutely clear that the recovery of great will be a very activity. We have to organize together. As anyone knows, i think it is absolute possible to do this within the framework we already have. Alix bloombergs Michael Mckee joins us now. I couldnt believe it, but i could believe it this morning when i woke up and saw they could not agree, and it was north and south. Michael it seems that way to a lot of people. Talk is cheap.