Message in the market that we need to Pay Attention to i think its interesting because last weeks the markets were so weak and everyone felt so despondent that this week was going to be just a replay of last week. I think that as the election is here today, people are settled, i think, into the fact that we will have a result i thisnk the market thinks we will have a result in the next 24 hours i think we all have fatigue from this election and i this i just havi i think just having a decision is what the market is pricing in now and after the decision, well go from there. I think the market is positive for clarity. It may not be clear but well see tomorrow what actually happens. Unless the market is getting ahead of itself. If you go by our cnbc states of play poll, only one in five think youre going to have an answer tonight on election night. The market seems to be acting over the next couple of days like were going to go to bed knowing who the next president will be or donald trump
153 points, nasdaq advanced 0. 19 . Well, then look no further than the stock of tesla this is an amazing market, but its always been an amazing Challenging Market individual investors, though, are back they now make up north of 20 , some say 25 of the action and theyve weathered everything from frightened, screaming billionaires to the nastiest president ial race in living memory to a horrifying Global Pandemic theyve steeled their hearts against the lack of Covid Vaccine or even a therapeutic. They arent oblivious to the incredibly high unemployment rate, yet they havent let it change their minds about trying to make money in the stock market whats the perfect symbol of that attitude . Tesla. Not the man, not the car, not even the company but the concept. A time our country feels it doesnt have much to root for and a world that hates us. I dont remember if no, i cannot remember a time in my life when we were this hated, and i lived through the Nixon Administration now, tesla reported
I see london, i see france, i see you in your underpants i always hated that diddy when i was a kid but you know what . It perfectly describes todays actions. Sellers caught with their pants down tipping just. 15 . Yep, this morning investors saw london and they saw france, not to mention milan and madrid. Specifically the europeans getting hammered as covid back on the continent they figured wed import those losses from europe so they furiously sold their stocks to get out ahead of the weakness. Many of these jokers probably trading in their pajamas the feet with the dr. Dentons. Panic pretenders here dumped shares at a 10 1 ratio, meaning there were 10 shares for sale or down for every 1 share someone was trying to buy. Now the late, great mark haines, one of cnbcs finest, always used that 10 1 ratio to call bottoms, including the generational bottom that he nailed in march of 2009. When the ratio sellers to buyers is 10 1 hed say you have to hold your nose and buy because that kind
Swapping out pfizer for amgen. Raytheon youll hear later today. The largest oil and gas company with one software play dropping a respected drug company for a descent biotech . Kicking a defense contractor to the curb for an industrial if it makes you scratch your head, youre not alone these changes had enormous impact the dow dipping 60 points and the s p dipped and nasdaq gained 6. 7 in all honesty, these moves made a lot of sense they bring the dow closer to the reality of the new cone economyt the memory of the old. Before i delve into each trade, there is an aspect of the dow like the king to the s p 500 Prime Minister same t simultaneously more prestigious. Only included the dow because i had old investors regarded as the most important benchmark we live in the efts of trillions of dollars and whatever name gets swapped in, there is a gigantic wave of buying and selling. The dow has little money invested in etfs its a big deal if you work for them because this is an exclusive clu
Ed, welcome back. Thank you very much youve been bullish for a while and now youre acting on it why was now the time i had concerns that the market would have some concerns about the pandemic, that we did obviously see somes increase in the outbreaks down in the sunbelt, but the market the tenyear has been below 1 you know, there is no alternative, probably never been more relevant than it has been since the fed adopted what i call qeforever on march 23rd. You have what you call a meltup in the market, but you say as you have more of this melt up, you increase the risk of a meltdown. How does that factor into your broader view well, you know, its one thing to be bullish, but at the same time you have to be aware of where the down side risks are. To the extent that the market has a melt up, it puts more air between stock prices and earnings in other words, the valuation multiple has been on fire. We had a p. E. Led meltup from 4. 9 on a forward p. E. Basis on march 23rd now were over 22