Cyclical recovery here. I guess thats something for the day. Based on the Technical Levels like the 200 day moving average, there are bullish signals out of the small and midcap space. Caroline what is the number one risk on your mind . Please ask that again . Caroline what is your number one risk . U. S. China . Deteriorating earnings . Coronavirus and a lack of a vexing . Vaccine . There are always risks that keep you up at night. Longerterm, ive never seen the monetary stimulation i have seen in the last six months were money growth is rowing at 80 annualized. I think ive been wrong that inflation has not surfaced but i do believe it will so longerterm i worry about inflation because it erodes the real return of the tone of stocks. I worry that post qqq earnings season as they move into the number that we have democratic sweep and what it does to the Corporate Tax rate, that is a risk as well. Caroline great to get your expertise. Breaking news. Microsoft out with earnings. The clou
Speak in some form of the w. H. O. Conference. Theidea of recovery in united states, all of Global Finance transfixed the chairmans comments last night on 60 minutes. Francine 100 . The chairman is talking about the virus, so we will have a look at this second wave of infection and what it will look like. Lets get to first reduce with ritika gupta. Ritika good morning, francine, tom. Jerome powell says the u. S. Recovery could drag through 2021. Powell told the cbs news program 60 minutes the economy will recover steadily through the second half of this year, but he said a full recovery depends on people being confident, and that may not happen until a vaccine is available. It is the first meeting of the World Health Organizations governing body since the coronavirus outbreak began. China will be challenged on two of its most sensitive issues, how beijing first handled the taiwanse status of participation, the e. U. And australia expecting to push for an investigation into the viru ori
Off. We reported wednesday, marcus, adp, which handles a lot of Companies Payroll and gives insight into whats going on, estimated 20 million. And honestly, you look around, you know all the places that are closed and arent employing people, and we knew it was going to be a tremendous number. Wall street also expected it to be a tremendous number. To the big board in new york city, you might ask yourself why is the dow up after weve heard about the worst job losses in decades upon decades. And the answer is, well, that was already baked in. Investors were expecting that and they are things will get better from here. After all, the job losses are why many but not all of our leaders are eager to get america back to work. Some of them debating the cost and whether opening the doors too soon could cost more jobs, more lives, and actually weaken the economy further with a second wave. It is a gamble that the u. S. Seems to be ready to take. Either way, clearly a majority of americans suppor
Equities not totally convinced. They were higher, then rolled over. Part of that is the u. S. U. S. Futures were a little higher three hours ago. Now weve rolled over yet again. Intocalvasina sees a dip 1700 possible for the s p. Part of the reason we are seeing this is a spike in the dollar index. Causing a lot of pain across the board, whether in the commodity market, emerging markets, europe. The eurodollar having an unbelievable slide. The cable rate at its lowest level at one point since 1988. Time now for global exchange. We are going to bring you todays market moving news from around the world. From brussels to london to lawson can to washington, our bloomberg voices are on the ground with todays top stories. The ecb announced it would do whatever it takes and an emergency Bond Buying Program. Joining us is maria tadeo. Walk us through what we know about the program. Maria first of all, it was unexpected. It took a lot of people by surprise. You have to take a look at the amount
Anything worth buying or selling off of this new cycle. So maybe we should open that were at a peculiar point in the calendar a couple ofweeks where historically nothing has happened, yet we get great volatility then the stocks rally as they did this afternoon ive got to tell you, i know why. No apparent reason why am i certain were trading on nothing i thought a lot about these periods and learned there is random movement periodically, and it always gets ascribed to something. The market is not always logical and the action doesnt always have to have a concrete cause. Thats why we might as well be adescribed the action to the eclipse. Its about as dark as these glasses. This morning, starting with f. A. N. G. , which is facebook, apple, netflix and google, they were up and down and people scrambled to find any reasons whatsoever there was a lot of instant analysis about what was wrong. Everything then within minutes, we start to see the usual obituaries being written about f. A. N. G.