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Computational modeling of COVID-19 transmission and intervention strategies in South Korea

We present computational modeling of COVID-19 transmission and intervention strategies including vaccination and social-distancing. Furthermore, epidemiological distributions of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), including the intervals from symptom onset to diagnosis, reporting, or death, are important for developing effective disease-control strategies. COVID-19 case data from a national database maintained by the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency (KDCA) and the Central Disease Control Headquarters were analysed.   ....

United States , United Kingdom , South Korea , Carlos Castillo Chavez , University Of British Columbia , Arizona State University , Department Of Mathematics At Soongsil University , Prevention Agency , Korea Disease Control , Central Disease Control Headquarters , Central Disease Control , Soongsil University , British Columbia ,

On Pi Day, Let's Gawk At The Beauty And Controversy Of The Math Constant

Pi is an introduction to the extraordinary mystery of math, say some. Others say pi is not special and needs to be reformed. ....

United States , Carlos Castillo Chavez , John Sims , Georg Cantor , Vi Hart , Arizona State University , Day Anthem ,

Where Is The U.S. COVID-19 Pandemic Headed?


this post authored by Daniel J. Wilson
Consumer spending and business operations across the United States have been highly dependent on local conditions related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Current economic forecasts therefore must incorporate projections for where the pandemic is headed. A new econometric model provides county-level and national forecasts of COVID-19 infections. Estimates from the model indicate that population immunity acquired from prior infections is the primary driver of recent declines in new cases. This factor should continue to exert strong downward pressure on new cases in the weeks ahead.
It has been a little over one year since the COVID-19 pandemic took hold of the U.S. economy, forcing business shutdowns, school closings, and mass transitions to teleworking. Economic activity remains closely linked to the course of the pandemic. As Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated recently, “the COVID-19 pandemic continues to weigh heavily on economic activity ....

New York , United States , San Francisco , Jerome Powell , Carlos Castillo Chavez , Zhilan Feng , Danielj Wilson , Centers For Disease , Federal Reserve Bank , Google Community Mobility , Atmospheric Administration , National Oceanic , A Panel Local Projections Estimator For Understanding , Fed Chair Jerome Powell , Economic Letter , Disease Control , Engagement Index , Google Community Mobility Reports , San Francisco Fed , Economic Research Department , Panel Local Projections Estimator , Forecasting Infectious Disease Spread , Predictive Power , Employment Reports , Asset Price Responses , Economic Review ,