Away. Knife edge. Brexit talks near a compromise on fishing, leaving the level Playing Field the biggest obstacle. Can the side to get a deal through today . Sanctions hit sentiment. Stocks and futures flip as the u. S. Is said to add more chinese officials to a blacklist and the rollout begins. Coronavirus vaccines start in the u. K. Tomorrow. The u. S. May follow suit by the end of the week if the fda gives emergency and approval emergency approval. I have been away for six weeks on paternity leave. It has been fantastic. Not much seems to have changed in terms of markets. We are still in crunch time. We are still looking at covid infections rising to alltime highs. We are still looking at u. S. Stocks rising as well. I guess the vaccines is the hopeful sign. Maybe this week, the good change we have all been waiting for in 2020. On return, everything has changed and yet nothing has changed. Certainly new information. That has been a real game changer. But we are still as you say at c
Over the next couple of days and weeks. Am my first calculation of fivestate differential this of 143 was 150 3000 out 153,000 out of 143 million votes. You wonder if we would have a five state recount. Im kidding. That wouldnt occur. Battle was in hawaii. The differential between john f. 1960 between john f. Kennedy and Richard Nixon was all of 115 votes. There was a recount in hawaii, and there was a swing from nixon to kennedy in 1960. You really wonder, is that what we have in store as we stagger to december . On georgia, just to add a bit of color, i was very focused on georgia over the last , becausenth and a half it is an important state. I believe it is a state that has only voted three times for a democratic president. If those times before it does go to a democratic president , two of those were when jimmyn 1990s carter was on the ballot, and in President Trump won the state by a 5 difference. Anwould even be symbolically important point if it is a razor thin majority. We nee
Razor thin margins in places like georgia. Tom i do want to note, very importantly, the japanese out to new strength moments ago. Joe biden out to new strengths, and theres no question the key gone bidenrgia has ever so slightly. Ahead for mr. Es biden in georgia. Jonathan everyone doing the math and saying the passed for the president just gets narrower and narrower. The president overnight continuing to push back in a uniform manner from the whole campaign. Tom really extraordinary to see that. I know we will have some images of that press conference last night. , wethose of you worldwide will have our experts on that. What is so important to me is the idea that this is just not the president. He has galvanized trump nation to send a message out that this is fraud. Georgia, pennsylvania, nevada, arizona, the counting continues. That is the focus through this morning. Toa we are waiting to hear see whether we can pencil in joe biden as the next president. That does seem to be what is
Within the perfect Indian Summer of new york, we see a nation counting every vote. Is 2. 5 . Within the counting of votes is the new slow bouncing off of this political moment. Ive got eight ways to go in this opening, and i am going to go jon ferro where you have been, which is the renminbi just moving to new strengths moments ago. Jonathan dollar weakness has got to be the story. We talked about this through the morning. The counting continues. This race is too close to call. This market, the event they are anticipating is a Joe Biden White house, and what that means for the economy and these currencies. They are assuming it will mean a weaker dollar, and that is what youve got on the screen, not just against the chinese currency. It is broadbased through the whole of g10. Tom the emotion in the United Kingdom, i saw the five letter word march and my heart skipped a beat. What are the ramifications of extending a locked three additional months . Jonathan i know very few people who th
Amazon billion offer to goes from rivals to partners as jeff bezos is willing to take a 40 stake in his indian retail revolution. At thelets take a look set up for the session of trading in asia. We saw that resumption of the loss in the u. S. How are we setting up in this part of the world . Sophie a pickup in volatility once again. In asia, futures are mixed, but we are seeing s p eminis. Chicago adding. 3 . The yen is stuck in the range with brexit risk also a consideration. We are watching tiktok reaction to trumps extension of that tiktok watching reaction to trumps extension of that tiktok sale. Jupiter Asset Management is cutting its exposure to debt of Chinese State linked borrowers so that is something to consider as well. Ahead of the u. S. Election, you are seeing one vol bets can yuan vol bets. Keeping an eye on korean bonds with potentially 6. 3 billion of supply coming through. The government may submit its proposal to parliament this friday. The global rush of Corporate