First, todays show is brought to you by the letter b thats because bond yields, bullion, big cap tech. Fed chair Jerome Powell gears up for a high stakes speech from jackson hole summit. With bullion up, big tech up, what is up with the market as we gear up for powell, guy . I like to hear you say bullion. I feel like im going to have soup or go back to doing what i used to do back in the day its wonderful you can do an entire show saying that word. Whats up . Risk assets are continuing to go higher based on we talked about this a couple days ago, the fact they said they will be a historic speech for the fed in the way they view inflation, the way they measure inflation and thats why the market took off and i think thats why you saw it probably move today into that speech the things you didnt mention and forget it but they didnt rhyme with b or start with b the russell was down today and the vix closed north of 23 those are two very interesting things to take into consideration along w
To get things started off. The dow is down by 17 points but the s p and the nasdaq is there. Nasdaq is indicated up by 47 points this is after a strong month of july for all three of the averages the dow up by 2. 4 for the month. The s p saw its best july by ten years. It was up by 5. 5 . Thats nothing compared to the nasdaq today is the first trade ding d of august. Thats out at 10 00 a. M. Eastern time today also take a look at treasury yields you did see yields under extreme pressure or ten year closing at its lowest level since all the way back to march 9th. Right now it is a little bit higher 0. 546 stimulus talks in congress. Trump administrations officials and House Speaker nancy pelosi are set to resume negotiations today on their competing visions of a bill. The Sticking Point continues to be a boost set at 600 per week in march that lapsed on friday he and Speaker Pelosi are on the same page about the need of direct Cash Payments of 1,200 to most americans. Andrew. And big co
Dallas . Years ago. Traveling with a big sales whats interesting is it is a connected supply chain so what were actually discovering here with the coronavirus is those factories outside of china, they person a deal . A few of them i was a stock broker. Also are having supply trouble not able to start production in would you like to buy this or many cases because all it takes would this be better for you is one part to come from china alternative choice questions. So our products are electronics, you do. Fairly complex and parts really she doesnt get on a plane come from all over the world and unless there is money to be those parts that come from china made everything you do should be are affected. Okay. Closing. Bernie, thank you for joining us this morning im closing every day appreciate it. Coming up, can a slick we digress. It is up we are green today multimillion dollar ad blitz translate to success on the up 65 points, the s p indicated debate stage thats the question of the nigh
Just three points higher, but that means we are at another record high. Fancy that. Lets dive deep into the action. Abigail, what are you watching . Abigail ive got bonds on my mind. We have stocks higher on the close and on the week, another weekly gain, the fifth in a row for the s p 500, the longest winning streak since early march, so clearly a riskon tone, but confirming it is the problem we are seeing on bonds. A significant back up over the last five days for the fiveyear yield, the most in more than a month, and the 10year yield, the most going back since september, and that was the biggest move up for yields for that 10year yield going all the way back to 1962. A representative from bank of America Merrill lynch reppert recommended shorting fiveyear futures. Hes been bullish and bonds, but recently, there has been a trend break. He has been supportive of the data from the ftc, net positions going back to 2004. He is making the case that in 2019, you have the positioning gettin
Decline. Biggest drop since 2009. A real freeze that has hit the manufacturing economy. Thats right. The lowest ism reading this is a kind of this 340 versus last month survey sometimes market moves are inscrutable. Yesterday, markets were up clearly just challenged this idea that the u. S. Economy was resilient enough we are constandly talking about increasing recession fears. Suddenly this data point comes along. The consumer, in 2019, are we dependent on manufacturing to the extent we used to be no. Not even close it is a great swing factor it doesnt go down that much but it also accelerates that much. You take a look at treasury yields yesterday as soon as this number hit 0 years at 2. 089 . We were above 1. 7 on the 10year yesterday. That shows you the market is saying, okay, the fed is likely to give another cut in october not a sure thing probability right now. The october adp report will be released at 8 15 eastern. Reportedly added 120,000 private sector jobs last month johnso