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Bit. This is what happened here. The 2year treasury yield topping 5 after fed chair jay powell made his first comment after the hotter than expected data. We said its moving sustainably toward 2 before proemtsly easing policy. The recent data have clearly not given us greater confidence and instead indicate that its likely to take longer than expected to achieve that confidence. Powell echoed recent statements by other fed officials indicating the current policy level will likely stay in place until inflation gets closer to its target. And so effectively, andrew, hes saying the data has been coming in increasingly hot. Weve been trending toward it. Now the question for the markets is will we have to establish a new trend and is the bar even higher to start cutting rates. Weve seen banks push out in september, which is 68 at this point. Some have said maybe none in 2024. Maybe its 2025. Can you believe were at 7 . Thats always crazy. I dont think the street should have ever been at 7 or ....
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