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CSPAN Washington This Week November 10, 2014

Would recognize them. The counties, you never would. Gardner ran behind romney. It was a rural issue, not an acrosstheboard issue. The same thing is true in other places as well. Iowa, its less obvious but the same distinction prevails. Then the question is, what does this mean for 2016 if what were seeing is not a uniform swing but a localized swing . And is this a turnout question . Well, ive done two states, colorado and iowa, and colorado keeps moving up. But the differential, if you compare 2014 turnout to the 2012 turnout, is not very great. Its slightly higher as far as the percentage of people voting in rural areas versus urban areas, in 2014 versus 2012, but not enough to explain the difference. The reason joni ernst won is not because republicans were an unusual share of the electorate. The reason why cory gardner is the new senator from colorado is because he won persuadables and a few of them within the denver metro area, not because of massive turnout differentials. If tha ....

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