The dow eyeing eight Straight Days of gains on growing optimism around u. S. china trade. Weworks rocky road to an initial Public Offering. And the democratic faceoff, warren, biden, sanders dominating the debate stage. Just what their plans could mean for your portfolio stocks are chasing history this morning the dow and the s p each within 1 of hitting record intraday highs. The blue chips in the midst of a sevenday win streak for First Time Since may of last year. You have signs of a health y consumer, Government Data shows retail sales up. 4 in august, double expectations. Core unchanged, looking for. 1 but july even after that upside surprise revised higher. Is this ever putting the pressure on jay . I think jay powell is uniquely faced with a difficult decision. You posted some stuff the other day about you raised rates and the economy is not being hurt so why should we just want to cut them i continue to say he raised rates too much and i want i want to go for the full on 3 on e
Pain it also causes. The background to this is high inflation, we have a sequencing that Around The World, particularly sticky, or at least has been here in the uk. That is why the bank has been increasing Interest Rates to try and curb the spending and get that Inflation Rate down. Should they continue to do that today, on the one hand, we have an Inflation Rate in the uk that has been easing a little, and when you dig into some of the details, to look at Producer Price inflation, thatis look at Producer Price inflation, that is further down the supply chain, that is the price is that manufacturers and factories might be paying, suggestions are it could be coming down quite significantly now. On the other hand, headline inflation, 7. 9 , still four times the Bank Of Englands 2 target. When you strip out energy and food, which can be equally volatile core inflation, they are still not falling by enough, wage growth remains quite high as well, and then there are wage comparisons, and in
Well tenyear yield up about 4. 08 a lot of that gain in the yields in the long end happened with a stronger than expected payrolls report we also had recent indications of higher oil prices, maybe some inflation concerns so a lot of things in the mix, of course, with along with the fitch downgrade of the u. S. Federal debt that all brings us to our talk of the tape, where we ask is this a routine shakeout in stock after the powerful monday bimonth rally, or the sign of a much tougher tape ahead . Here with us is josh brown josh, we can write it any way w like sentiment was frosty, technicals were stretched something will come along to maybe create an air pocket on the other hand we had a lot of bears capitulating, the economy looks strong, everybody agree with his that, so we have the makings of a perfect evenic top. Where along the spectrum would you set yourself wow, as someone who is really good at explaining what just happened, i would say that this is not this is not very much muc
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Welcome to the polls. Life from bloomberg headquarters here in london. It is jobs day in the u. S. Forstors will be searching meaning in the numbers ahead of the september Federal Reserve meeting. It may not be super thursday, but the u. S. Has key Economic Data on friday. The next to last jobs report before the Federal Reserves meets in september. The economist we raised we theeyed, predicts with unappointed rate Holding Steady at 5. 3 . As long as job growth and maintenance trend, with an average growth of 200,000, economists inc. The Federal Reserve will raise rates as early as september. Showed calls it a case of me why i shouldnt. One of the reasons the fed shouldnt is because of wage rates. The average will rise 0. 2 . And 0. 3 yearoveryear. Growth and pay is the one missing factor that would help push inflation up to their 2 target rate. Last week there was a negative sign for wages. The employment cost index which measures hourly pay an annual salary rose in the Second Quarter