first votes. a key poll shows donald trump far ahead in iowa. with just hours before the kickoff to the 2024 primary race. one candidate jumped in with sky high expectations, now he s fighting for his political life. now is our time. will his iowa focus pay off. candidate governor ron desesant joins me next. and tundra on the trail. caucus-goers brave sub-zero temperatures in the coldest iowa contest ever. wear layers. i worry about that. they could throw a blizzard at us and we ll fight. reporter: david axelrod and larry hogan weighs in and our panel of experts is here to discuss into and rough waters. and a key senator is said to press president biden over the u.s. role. is biden s stance widening the left. bernie sanders joins me exclusively. hello, i m jake tapper in washington where the state of the union is frozen. tomorrow is one of the most single consequenceal days. the iowa caucus where donald trump is hoping voters will help imsew up the primary
but it is getting people to the caucus sites even in this frigid cold. and this new poll has haley moving up to second place. desantis in third. what are you seeing on ground there? reporter: you know, with nikki haley, certainly that sort of top line number is a big deal for her. but if you look deeper inside of the poll, jake, then enthusiasm that she has isn t as strong. and that is a concern generally speaking. but even in especially with weather like this. and i will tell you anecdote atly, we were at a desantis event yesterday and we met several voters who said they were nikki haley supporters but they still wanted to come and hear ron desantis just to be sure. nikki haley has spent more than $30 million here in iowa. much more than anybody else. so she s really investing here. but nothing, jake, like ron desantis. he s all in here. he said that he s it is not make or break here.