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Opinion | Wonking Out: A Jobs Survey Full of Good News

There are reasons for optimism about inflation. ....

Pankaj Mishra , Daniel Leigh , Olivier Blanchard , Alex Domash , Labor Turnover , Bureau Of Labor Statistics , Federal Reserve , Labor Statistics , Job Offerings , Labor Turnover Survey , Laurence Ball , Larry Summers , International Trade , Internal Sub Only Nl , Us Economy ,

Weekly Forecast, September 30, 2022: Market Rate Expectations Step Up

A rational extraction of market expectations from the US Treasury yield history since 1962 shows an upward shift this week. Read more here. ....

New York , United States , David Heath , Robert Jarrow , Andrew Morton , Alex Domash , Federal Reserve Bank , Us Department Of The Treasury , Institute Inc , Negative Rates , Secured Overnight Financing Rate , Treasury Yields , Inverted Now , Treasury Bill Yields , Seeking Alpha , Yield Data , Treasury Simulation , Kamakura Risk , Corporate Bond Investor Friday , Modeling Fixed Income Securities , Interest Rate Options ,

Weekly Forecast, Sept. 16: Peak In 1-Month Forward Treasury Rates Falls 0.09% To 4.89%

The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 53 trading days, widening significantly this week to a negative 45 basis points from negative 23 basis points last week. ....

New York , United States , Robert Jarrow , Alex Domash , Federal Reserve Bank , Institute Inc , Negative Rates , Secured Overnight Financing Rate , Treasury Yields , Inverted Now , Treasury Bill Yields , Seeking Alpha ,

The August inflation numbers are a head fake

On Tuesday, the government reported that the headline consumer price inflation rate for August was near zero, 0.1%, on a month-on-month basis. But don’t be fooled into believing that the inflation fight is nearing its end. ....

United States , Jerome Powell , Jason Furman , Alex Domash , Federal Reserve Bank , Democratic Party , Federal Reserve , Dallas Fed , Larry Summers , Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell , Jackson Hole , Blog Contributors , Beltway Confidential ,

Weekly Forecast, Sept. 9, 2022: Peak In 1-Month Forward Treasury Rates Steadies At 4.98%

The forward 1-month U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 4.98%, up 3 basis points from last week. Click here to read more about the weekly forecast. ....

New York , United States , David Heath , Robert Jarrow , Andrew Morton , Alex Domash , Federal Reserve Bank , Us Department Of The Treasury , Institute Inc , Negative Rates , Secured Overnight Financing Rate , Treasury Yields , Inverted Now , Treasury Bill Yields , Seeking Alpha , Yield Data , Treasury Simulation , Kamakura Risk Manager , Corporate Bond Investor Friday , Modeling Fixed Income Securities , Interest Rate Options ,