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The Transformation of the American Electorate

Race, education, and partisanship from Reagan to Biden.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE The American electorate has changed dramatically over the past 40 years, and a pair of factors race and education have driven the changes. The electorate has become more diverse and more highly educated. Democrats rely heavily on nonwhite voters and have improved with white college-educated voters, while Republicans have cut deeply into Democratic support with non-college whites. Racial and cultural issues, rather than economic ones, have fueled Republican gains with the non-college white electorate.
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Both White and Nonwhite Democrats are Moving Left

Race, party, and ideological congruence in the American electorate.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE One of the big stories of American politics over the past half-century has been a growing ideological divide between Democrats and Republicans. This has also led to more ideological cohesion within parties, including a dramatic increase among Democrats between 2012 and 2020. Democrats are now as ideologically cohesive as Republicans, which is a big change from a decade ago, when Republicans were significantly more cohesive than Democrats. While white Democrats have moved more to the left than nonwhite Democrats have on some issues, both groups have become more liberal since 2012.
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A New Paradigm for Global Journalism: Press Freedom and Public Interest

A New Paradigm for Global Journalism: Press Freedom and Public Interest
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Nevada is Expected to Matter Mightily in the Midterms

Nevadans went to the polls on Tuesday night for the state's primary, which included arguably one of the most important races of the upcoming November midterm elections. While Decision Desk ....

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The Outlook for the 2022 Senate Elections: A State-by-State Analysis

What a predictive model tells us about the last decade of results, as well as 2022KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE Senate elections have become firmly yoked to their state’s presidential leanings. Democrats now hold a tiny Senate majority in large part because of their superior performance in otherwise Republican-leaning states, a performance they may find difficult to sustain because of deepening partisan polarization. Based on the fundamentals of state partisanship, incumbency, and the national political environment, Republicans have a good chance to pick up at least a seat and take back control of the upper chamber. But poor candidates could hurt their chances, as they have in some other recent Senate races.
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