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Flying X-Wings into the Death Star: Andreessen on Investing and Tech substack.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from substack.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.
Three Months in Monte Carlo bit-player.org - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from bit-player.org Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.
Bayesianism And Non-Ergodicity In Economics econintersect.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from econintersect.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.
By Lars P. SyllCausality in social sciences - and economics - can never solely be a question of statistical inference. Causality entails more than predictability, and requires theory to really explain social phenomena in depth. Analysis of variation - the foundation of all econometrics - can never in itself reveal how these variations are brought about. ....
Small pilot programs often have much larger effects than programs taken to scale. I discuss reasons why, through an example of home visits for early childhood development, and then look at when larger programs may have bigger effects. ....