university and harry enten of 538 and we will viciously attack seth and the book he has produced. seth will get the opportunity to defend the supplemental will take questions from the audience and follow the same procedure. seth, do you want to go first? thanks dan for the introduction and for inviting me to this panel and this is a book , everybody lies about five years of research i have been doing. i will describe what it is and for the last 80 years if you want to know what people want, why people did the things they did, what people are going to do you have basically one main approach. you ask them. you conduct a randomized survey said gallup or peel or quinnipiac will go out and ask people questions and there is a main problem with this approach which is that people tend to lie and surveys to make themselves look good. if you ask people immediately before an election are you planning to vote the overwhelming majority of americans in the survey will say sure i want t
538 and we will viciously attack seth and the book he has produced. seth will get the opportunity to defend the supplemental will take questions from the audience and follow the same procedure. seth, do you want to go first? thanks dan for the introduction and for inviting me to this panel and this is a book , everybody lies about five years of research i have been doing. i will describe what it is and for the last 80 years if you want to know what people want, why people did the things they did, what people are going to do you have basically one main approach. you ask them. you conduct a randomized survey said gallup or peel or quinnipiac will go out and ask people questions and there is a main problem with this approach which is that people tend to lie and surveys to make themselves look good. if you ask people immediately before an election are you planning to vote the overwhelming majority of americans in the survey will say sure i want to vote in the election. they d
[inaudible conversations] welcome everybody. welcome to the american enterprise institute. thank you for joining us today. we are going to dive right in. seth stephens-davidowitz is going to talk about his book everybody lies for 15 to 20 minutes and after that seth is going to sit down and they re going to have a conversation with andrew gelman of columbia universi
i m michael smerconish, live from philadelphia, the city of brotherly love. we welcome our viewers at home and around the world on this, our first broadcast on the watch of president elect donald j. trump. after his kinder, gentler victory speech and a long meeting with president obama, trump is assembling his swamp draining team, who is in? who is out? sean spicer is here. chris christie was the first of trump s presidential opponents to jump on board, but is he about to be shunned due to bridgegate or a loyalty issue? and continued protests about the election results last night in cities around the nation under the banner not my president, one reason clinton actually won the popular vote but lost the electoral college, so some are lobbying the electors to switch their vote before december 19. and others want to do away with the system entirely. can either happen? plus, you ll meet david urban, the man who finally delivered my home state pennsylvania to a gop president
after his kinder speech and a long meeting with president obama. assembling his swamp draining team. rnc s sean price e sean spicer . is he about to be shunned due to bridgegate or a loyalty issue? and continued protests about the election results last night in cities around the nation under the banner, not my president. one reason, clinton actually won the popular vote, but lost the electoral college. so some are lobbying the electors to switch the vote before december 19 and others want to do away with the system entirely. can either happen? plus, you ll meet david urban, the man who finally delivered my home state of pennsylvania to a gop presidential candidate. and i ll be joined by card-carrying liberal thomas frank to begin the democratic autopsy. and finally, while a lot of pollsters had to eat crow after the election, expert sam long promised he d eat a bug if trump got more than 240 electoral votes. he s here and i hope he s hungry. but first, he didn t get my vote.