Transcripts For MSNBC Morning Joe 20131004

Oh, man. That could be the daily show. That could be snl. But its actually real. Who is it . Yes, it is congress. Good morning, everyone. Time to wake up, sleepyhead. Its friday, october 4th. Welcome to morning joe. With us on set is, Pulitzer Prize winning columnist and associate editor of the Washington Post Eugene Robinson here with us in new york. Thats nice. Msnbc political analyst and visiting professor at nyu, haired ford junior and in washington its time to have your corn flakes. Senior Political Editor and White House Correspondent for the huffington post, sam stein. And John Heilemann is in a gutter somewhere, but hell be here in a moment. Get directv. Knows what hes doing. Well get to the latest on the Government Shutdown in a moment. First, that dramatic scene on capitol hill streets yesterday where a woman who is suspected of trying to run down a white house barricade was eventually shot and killed on the streets near the senate. It all began yesterday afternoon with reports of shots fired near the hart Center Building on constitution avenue. The capital went on lockdown. Legislators and staffs were told to take shelter. When the dust settled, Law Enforcement say a woman by the name of miriam carey tried to ram her car through an outer white house barricade and then took off at speeds reaching 80 miles per hour. Her car came to a stop as secret service and uss Capitol Police surrounded her. She backed up and took off again hitting an officer and later killed in a hail of gunfire, unarmed despite earlier reports she may have fired a gun. The police found an 18monthold girl believed to be her daughter in the car. Thankfully, the girl was unharmed. The question now turns toian carey act add the way she did. Heres what we know so far. She was a dental hygienist living in stamford, connecticut, but recently let go by her former employer, a dentist who says she suffered a fall in january of 2012. He says when she came back, she was pregnant and never the same. She was fired last fall after complaints from patients she was being too long rough with them. Police searched her home in stamford, connecticut, even deploying bomb robots. Its not clear what she was doing in washington. Nbc news capitol hill correspondent who is in his office during the incident and heard shots fired, luke russert, talk about the scene and what you saw. Well, joe, yesterday around 2 20 p. M. , i was in my office and heard four loud pops and banks. It caused me to stand up. I looked outside and i saw policemen with guns drawn running towards the noise they heard as well as a few dozen tourists down on tear stomachs on the ground, and then after a few minutes, the cops told them to run towards independence avenue. I caught part of the car chase, saw the Capital Police mobilize trying to follow the car. The dramatic video you guys have seen. A few minutes later something ive never seen in my entire life, an actual helicopter from the park police landed on the mall and medevacd the Police Officer injured in this melee. Yesterday around 2 30 p. M. , the business of the house representatives came to a grinding halt. We were all told to shelter in place within the building. So folks like nancy pelosi, members of congress sheltered in place on the house floor and did not get out of recess till 3 30 p. M. So this incident, which was certainly scary to say the least, that and a lot of tension stopped the mechanisms of government for occurring for about an hour in the house of representatives. One of the most interesting tidbits of all of this, that Capitol Hill Policeman medevacd for doing his job which the chief said in a heroic manner, he will not be paid until the shutdown is over. So you literally had Capitol Hill Policemen yesterday putting their lives on the line, putting themselves and defending the tourists and us inside the building and they will not get paid till after the shutdown. Quite an amazing thing. God, that is really shameful. Luke, stand by. Well be talking about that now. You might want to chime in. Each passing day, congress is unable to fund the federal government, makes it more likely the final compromise will also include a solution on the debt ceiling. John boehner has reportedly told lawmakers he will not allow the government to default even if it means relying on democratic votes. Meanwhile, the president has canceled his trip to Southeast Asia to focus on the shutdown. Yesterday, he upped the pressure on boehner during an event in rockville, maryland. The president argued that ending the shutdown is within reach. And in the speakers hands. There are enough republicans and democrats in the house of representatives today that if the speaker of the house, john boehner, simply let the bill get on the floor for an up or down vote, every congressman could vote their conscience, the shutdown would end today. The only thing thats preventing all that from happening right now today in the next five minutes, is that Speaker John Boehner wont even let the bill get a yes or no vote because he doesnt want to anger the extremists in his party. The president later tweeted Tea Party Extremists caused this boehner shutdown. It quickly drew the ire of conservatives including congressman justin i mash who retweeted the note saying way to uphold the dignity of the office. That is interesting timing when john boehner, my so tweet yesterday was way to go john, when he said i am not going to let the country default. And basically told all the extremists thattent waed to let the country default, no. And then the president its weird that the president decided to target john boehner yesterday after boehner did what i thought was. Pretty courageous. Hes keeping the pressure on. Yeah, it was. That was odd. I actually was talking to Senior Administration officials yesterday, and it was a somewhat different tone in that they said they were standing firm, but the vibe i was getting was lets find a way for john baner to get out of this. I think thats still beak the way. That tweet first of all, a president tweeting. Secondly, saying you know, talking about extremists, calling it the boehner shutdown. Do you think the president was on his phone tweeting . Its not the bane irshutdown. He doesnt want the shutdown. But anyway i think thats but i think if you take that all together yesterday, it was not great news for federal employees because its going to last an highway, but better news for the full faith and credit of the country. I this i so the. Because it sounds like, if you put it all together, you can probably find a facesaving way for the republicans to get out. The obviously, a lot of the Business Leaders of the country were relieved that boehner turned to, you know, his people and said, listen, you guys are not going to screw with the full faith and credit of the United States of america. It showed a profile in courage moment for the speaker. And it was just odd. I think the president , what he was trying to say, given the benefit of the doubt, but it doesnt help boehner to have the president claim that hes being held hostage by Tea Party Extremists even if it is probably partially true and at the same time, have the speaker saying look, im mature enough to know theres certain things we cannot do. You would hope bigger mature smarter heads could come together. The thing is but the things he was saying during the speech are just if youre dealing with another side thats that it is. Unstable at times. Unstable at times, has unstable element. When they show stability. When you have a stable moment there i dont thing you want to zing him in public. You dont want to push him down. Do we have to have our high elected officials go through hostage negotiations training . Basically. Im not i agree with the concept of, you know, try not to poke someone when theyre finally showing some signs of intelligence, but at the same time, you know, the speaker like imitated the president the other day. That was incredibly disrespectful. We could go on about that. But why dont we just move on. As one side waits for the other to blink its nice to see heilemann here, isnt it . Im sorry. I gave the car people the wrong address. Thanks. Thats way too much information. There was a lot of they thought you meant it the other opium den. Theres a lot of them in brooklyn. They get confused where to pick me up in the mornings. Sorry about that. Wow. Okay. He overslept. As one side waits for the other to blink in the shutdown, the entire Senate Delegation from kentucky was caught with live mics discussing strategy. Do you have a second . Im all wired up here. I just didnt see an end. I just go over and over again, were willing to compromise and negotiate. I dont think they poll tested we wont negotiate. I think its all of for them to say that over and over again. I do, too. I just came back from a twohour meeting from him and that was basically the same view privately. If we keep saying we wanted to defund, it we fought for that, and now were willing to compromise, i think i know we dont want to be here, but were going to win this i think. What do you think about that . I think its kind of awesome im wired up here but lets have the conversation anyway. And rand paul says. Its kind of excellent. Mike barnicle offers a course on this whenever he wants to talk about anybody, he takes his mic off and huts it in his pocket. I learned that a long time ago. You have the conversation once your mics in the pocket. Every microphone is always live. Exactly. Near your mouth, its live. Just ask the live prime minister. Reporter the were all wired up here, guys. Were going to win this. Whos winning and losing here in the republicans are saying were going to win this. It certainly doesnt look that way to most people observing. We havent heard from you. The republicans are losing. Why . Because the countrys against them. They are the countrys against them and all of the its weird that they dont seem to get the calendar, right . I mean, when they fought this battle the last time. 2011, they were fighting against a president who was in the position of vulnerability. He had to run for reelection in 2012. So the threats they were able to bring against him put him in a position where if he pushed them to the limit and they crashed the economy it would hurt him in his reelection in 2012. The president s not running for reelection and theres an intervening election, a Congressional Election in 2014. The Public Opinion polls are clear about whos winning the battle right now. Show that first one about people i supporting the shutdown, how many people support the shutdown. Dee dee myers yesterday gave a fantastic litany about why did the republicans do this . They lost one president ial race, they lost another president ial race. They lost senate races. All the polls are against them. Here is and by the way. Hard call. Lets keep that up for a second. This is not i said this from the very beginning as the wall street journal and the litany of conservatives ive been talking about that agree with me. Weve been saying this for several weeks. This many isnt about ideology. None of us, none of us conservatives like obama care. Okay, were with you. Were with you. I also i dont, you know, like cancer. Right . But me going up and banging my head against the wall is not going to end cancer. Its irrational. Forget about all the histrionics, theyre playing a losing hand and playing it badly. Its just a neutral fact. Theyre playing it horribly. Nothing to do with ideology. The impact may be to ensure that rand paul and Mitch Mcconnell if he gets reelected remain in the minority in the senate because the House Republicans are in their safe seats. Theyre not in that much danger. A few of them might be, but by and large, theyre okay. But you know, the Republican Party could have taken the senate next year. Lets now get some other perspective on this. Sam stein and then luke chime in. Think about the open mic moment you heard, the arguing over the tweets. The Bigger Picture is the Capitol Hill Police working for no money putting lives on the line and the many others dealing with the shutdown in a very real way. Sam, you first. Yeah, i think its taking a toll right now. You see republicans going to this piecemeal approach. They recognize the cuts have a human cost. So theyre trying to change the Politics Around this discussion saying well willinging to fund nih, reopen the world war ii memorial, do this for the Capitol Hill Police, and the president saying no, we need a full approach. We cant just piecemeal fund the government. I think the republicans recognize there is damage being done here. And that they need to change the topic away from obama care and say we are for opening parts of the government. And the president is not. I think thats actually pretty interesting change in the tone of this debate. I dont know how much effect its going to having because the president is adamant hes not going to sign a bill unless it funds the full government. I think that moment indicated. Luke . This whole shutdown was over the president S Health Care law. Thats the last thing anyones talking about now. Theres a lot of members who are very apprehensive about that saying we had a gift handed to us with the website crashing but no one was talking about that because the focus was on the shutdown. One member said look, what these guys wanted, these 95 or so was a big picketts charge before the health care became law so they went back to their districts and said we did Everything Possible to try and stop it. When you do everything to try and stop it, you amass a lot of human cost. Youre starting to see that play out. At the end of the day, what do they get in return for this strategy . John boehner said yesterday to the New York Times theyre going to raise the debt limit. They lost their best negotiating position. Its difficult to see what they get out of all of this. Is it a repeal of the medical device tax . I dont think theyre going to get chain cpi because democrats are holding firm. We usually expect democrats to cave. This is not 2011. Theyre not going to give 2 trillion away with no revenue. Fascinating see how this all plays out and how boehner emerges from it. Lets just call it what it is, this is the ted cruz strategy. Im kind of tired of people in the Mainstream Media telling me that ted cruz, it may be bad for the party but its great for ted. No, its not. No, its not. This guy is isolated on capitol hill. May i remind americans that think this is great because theres a flash, theres a flash, yeah, oh, look at the flash. Look at that shiny flash. Lets run to the shiny flash. It must be great and that shiny flash is going to be sustainable. I remind everybody michelle bok mab won the iowa straw poll. I remind everybody here that sarah palin was in first place for a very long time and then was herman cain in first place and then donald trump was in first place for several weeks. You can going down the list. Newt gingrich won south carolina. What is your point, joe . I mean, donald trump is our new president. Hes doing exactly. My point is that this sort of activity is a great starter. It is a great starter. It is a terrible finisher. Mike lee, mike lee is going to have influence in the United States senate i think for a very long time because people respect mike lee and tenth think that this is all about mike lee running for president. But all this stuff about listen, republicans as luke just said, they gave up their best negotiating position with the debt limit because of this terrible strategy that everybody warned republicans against. Except for ted cruz, marco rubio, mike lee, and 30 or so people in the house. And what youre saying is paying off or not paying off for republicans as you warn because increasingly Republican Fund raidsers are feeling pressure from most of their loyal donors to really stop because of the politics behind the shutdown. The daily beast article quotes major donor who have deep reservations or who have stopped giving all together because of the growing tea party influence and what they see is the groups impact on handling the shutdown. One donor from houston said republicans misread the mood of the country going into the shutdown, adding, we are finding a marvelous way to grab defeat from the jaws of victory. Another donor who hosted fundraisers for Paul Ryan Tom cotton and eric cantor says she is done giving money to the National Republican Congressional Committee saying when you have a small segment who dictate to the rest of the country, the result is what weve seen in the last two days. Harold ford, this is about winning. These people are angry for the same reason ive been angry, not because of ideology but because of stupidity. Its about winning. They want to win. This is not helping our chances. Two conversations. Youre having a conversation about National Electoral success. This obviously imperils that. Watching mcconnell and rand paul talk about local parochial races, rand paul is as important to anyone who ensure mcconnell is able to succeed. That opponent he has, if rand paul suggests he finds that opponent appealing, it hurts mcconnell. Youve been spot on now for several months. The question is, when does that seep into the other part of the party for the other conversation . The way these districts are drawn are important. Think about that, reflect on that and perhaps offer a national solution. Were not going to get beyond the silly is, petty, smallminded conversation in Congress Till the Republican Party is able to embrace the bigger conversation about National Electoral success. Winning the white house back. In the strategic sense as you alluded earlier, obama care, you know, i happen to think obama care is great. But a lot of people dont and people can have principled reasons for that. But here was an opportunity for republicans to portray obama care as a total failure. And you know, because the website doesnt work, which is kind of silly. The website doesnt work on the first day. Therefore its a total failure. But that would have been the narrative. First impressions are important. They missed that whole opportunity. Completely missed. Because the websites are going to be functioning fine by the time we get this thing solved. Meanwhile, people are flooding to the site because guess what, they need health insurance. Its going to be cheaper than anything theyve had an opportunity to have. Okay. Luke thank you, by the way, for standing by. Thanks for being on this morning. Thank you. Thank you, always a pleasure. For the first time this hurricane season, the gulf coast is on alert because Tropical Storm karen is churning in the gulf and could strengthen into a hurricane before making landfall. Preps are now under way from louisiana through the florida panhandle. Lets go to bill karins tracking the storm. Bill . Good morning, mika. Over the warm waters of the gulf, this is a spot where we could get a strong storm. Weve had a lot up towards the pensacola, mobile area. Ivan is probably one of the stronger ones that hit. But this one is dealing with dry air and wind shear. Thankfully overnight it actually weakened. Its still going to be possibly high end Tropical Storm or a low end category 18 hurricane at landfall. It doesnt look impressive. Its being sheered apart right now. Thats great news. Not showing any signs of intensification anytime soon. Heres the forecast path. Does take it up towards the gulf coast saturday night into sunday morning. As far as the winter storm goes, this is a crazy forecast. I got a Tropical Storm to talk about, a blizzard and tornado possible outbreak later this evening. Snow is falling from casper, wyominging to rapid city. Possibly one to two feet of snow in the beginning of october. Late today, watch out in iowa, especially the northern half. Could get isolated tornadoes and back down to kansas city. For mika and joe, you have your interests along the gold coast. The panama city, pensacola area, this will not be a devastating storm but a lot of heavy rain and gusty winds. Bill, thank you very much. Coming up on morning joe, David Axelrod and chuck todd will be here. And twitter reveals a billion dollar ipo plan. But can it avoid a facebooklike fl flop. The politico playbook is ahead and the baseball playoffs are in full swing now. Boy, last night, the dodgers. The great peter gamons will join us. Youre watching morning joe. Well be right back. Mine was earned in djibouti, africa. 2004. Vietnam in 1972. [ all ] fort benning, georgia in 1999. [ male announcer ] usaa Auto Insurance is often handed down from generation to generation. Because it offers a superior level of protection and because usaas commitment to serve military members, veterans, and their families is without equal. Begin your legacy, get an Auto Insurance quote. Usaa. We know what it means to serve. Time now to take a look at the morning papers. From our parade of papers, the Washington Post, a small ship packed with up to 500 migrants traveling from africa caught fire, capsized and sachk off the coast of italy, killing at least 114 people. Rescuers managed to save 150 of the migrants but over 100 are still unaccounted for. And the oregonian, Portland Police released a video of a deadly traffic shootout from the august. The stopped driver walked over to the police car and just started firing away. The military veteran then sped away with his three children inside. Van allen was later found dead in his car, shot in the chest. The officer was also wounded but has since recovered. Usa today twitters ipo filing ipo filing revealed the company is growing quick but also spending a lot of money. Last year the company spent nearly 80 million. Twitter is expected to start trading by november and plans on raising 1 billion. My goodness. To do that. And the Seattle Times microsoft ceo Steve Ballmer only received 79 of his offense for the fiscal year, a sign of the companys falling profits. The Company Reported weak sales for its windows 8 software and the surface tablet. Other top microsoft executives received 100 or more of target bonuses. Microsoft right now is searching for its next ceo after ballmerer announced plans to retire. Instagram will soon begin to feature advertisements. The Company Announced plans to ease into the roll out. Eventually users will see video content from brands they dont follow. Users will be able to close the ads and why they did not like it. From the sacramento bee, jerry brown signed a law allowed undocumented citizens to get drivers license ten years after former governor Arnold Schwarzenegger repealed the measure before it took effect. Its expected as many as 1. 4 million undocumented immigrants will seek their drivers licenses over the next three years. In this weekends parade, an exclusive excerpt from Malala Yousufzai hes auto boof grae in which she tells her story of recovery from the day she was shot by the taliban, an incredible story and incredible girl. With us now, lets go with the politico playbook. Editorinchief john harris. Texas state senator wendy davis has finally made it official. She announced shes running for governor in 2014. Davis gained instant fame for her nearly 11hour filibuster against new Abortion Clinic restrictions in texas but yesterday she focused her campaign on bringing the Lone Star State together. Texans do not want to sit back and watch austin turned into washington, d. C. But state leaders that are currently in power are forcing people to opposite corners to prepare for a fight instead of coming together to get things done. Im asking you to dream of all that we can accomplish together. Im asking you to believe that the best of texas is yet to come. A recent poll shows davis trialing the Presumptive Republican nominee greg abbott by eight points. What kind of chance does she have, do you think . You know, her message was bringing texas together but in order to have viability, i think at least nationally what shes going to do is Something Like what Elizabeth Warren did in massachusetts is make herself a symbol for the willingness of liberals to be tough and to stand up and fight for their values. You know, always going to be somebody i think given the general ideological drift of texas thats changing a little bit with the hispanic vote, very conservative state. This is a really tough uphill climb for her not just in terms of polls but also financially. The way shes going to compete is running a National Race to get money from around the country in to help her candidacy. A lot of people inspired by her filibuster against abortion restrictions, made her almost overnight a national figure. John, she talked about the divisions of washington. Right now, theres a lot of bad blood on capitol hill between party leader over the shutdown. Talk about how bad it is. Well, its terrible. John bresnahan has a great story, if you like bitterness, family bickering, bresnahans story is catnip. This is not just an ideological fight anymore. Not a policy fight. Its not a fiscal fight but his story makes clear up on capitol hill, its a personal fight. Boehner and reid cant stand each other. Their staffs cannot stand each other. Speaking of the democratic colleagues at a closeddoor session yesterday, reid said look, boehner is a coward. Hes a coward virtually shouting. The reids boehners staff in bresnahans story uses a barnyard epithet. We wrote it in politico. I dont think i can say it on the air in morning joe but used choice words to say what they think of reid for leaking private emails they say. Wow. Wow, that is thats tough. John harris, have a good weekend. He could use a barnyard epithet here. Perhaps. Thank you so much. Coming up next, Peter Gammons is here. That means its time to talk playoff baseball. Hes with us next when morning joe comes back. Got a lot to talk about. Thank you orville and wilbur. Amelia. Neil and buzz for teaching us that you cant create the future. By clinging to the past. And with that youre history. Instead of looking behind. Delta is looking beyond. 80 thousand of us investing billions. In everything from the best experiences below. To the finest comforts above. Were not simply saluting history. Were making it. Waiting for your wrinkle cream to work . Clinically proven neutrogena® rapid wrinkle repair. It targets fine lines and wrinkles with the fastest retinol formula available. Youll see younger looking skin in just one week. One week . Thats just my speed. Rapid wrinkle repair. And for dark spots rapid tone repair. From neutrogena®. And for dark spots rapid tone repair. At a ford dealer with a little q and a for fiona. Tell me fiona, whos having a big tire event . Your ford dealer. Who has 11 major brands to choose from . Your ford dealer. Whos offering a rebate . Your ford dealer. Who has the low price tire guarantee, affording peace of mind to anyone who might be in the market for a new set of tires . Your ford dealer. Im beginning to sense a pattern. Get up to 140 in mailin rebates when you buy four select tires with the Ford Service Credit card. Whered you get that sweater vest . Your ford dealer. Heres the 21. And a fly ball hit down the rightfield line. Close to the foul pole. And this ball is gone its a home run in the air to center field. Pretty well hit. Heyward back to the track, and that ball is gone mike, where was that guy last year . Come on. Well, he never hits home runs when the club is behind or when you meed him to tie the game. A go ahead home run. He is who he is. When hes up 141, hell take it to deep center. He will take it out. Ask Peter Gammons. This guys like elvis. Hes secluded in the gates of his own version of graceland. You know, big musician. He play, you know. I know he plays. You dont have to tell me he plays. There he is, look. We got him. Hes right him. I wonder if its him or like cy and the wolf blitzer holograms. Are you real peter, this morning . Or like prin sis layia. So a lot of people looking forward last night to the braves game. Braves and dodgers. But dodgers blew them out. Well, you start with clayton kershaw. He is the best pitcher in baseball and has been for three years. I mean, you also have to understand, the dodgers are very good even though theyve got kemp and ethier out. But the braves havent won a postseason series since 2001. Theyve lost seven straight series. And 35 or 40 of their payroll has either been taken off the roster, sitting on the bengie or is injured. Its a hard matchup for them. And the dodgers are as our columnist chuck todd will tell us, really good. Talk about don mattingly. Does he win the world series ever as a player for the yankees. In a huge trade last year, took on a quarter billion dollars and then they had a horrible start. How close was this guy from getting fired . Well, stan caston, the dodger president has maintained it wasnt that close but it was speculated a lot about. It was really disappointing to me because the thing about don matting is he is so trusted by players. Managing a Baseball Team is not, you know, playing computer games. Its about dealing with people. And mattingly is tremendous at it. There were a lot of personalities on that dodger team that, you know, he has to work around at different times. I think that the way the team played in the second half is not only a reflekds of having kershaw and greinke and rule less here, top three pitchers but a reflection of how much the Players Trust mattingly and knew in the end it would work out, and it has. Peter, talk about an incredible october organization that because they dont play in the limelight of los angeles, new york, chicago, or boston, the st. Louis cardinals. I mean, that organization, the young pitchers they throw out there, the way theyve maintained the excellence of their lineup through the years, what an incredible job that guy has done. It is tremendous. But this is this organization is so steeped in history. It goes all the way back to Branch Rickey originating the farm systems. They have people that worked and developed there. Their scouts have been there for years. Its just they keep right now, they may have the best bull pen in baseball with three kids, all of whom are making the minimum. Three of their five starters in the playoffs are probably guys making the minimum. I mean, its remarkable what theyve done to keep the development going. And its such a great baseball city. I mean, st. Louis has had some downtown problems. We all understand that in the rust belt, but those cardinal fans come from all around the country into st. Louis. And theyre probably the team that could beat the dodgers in the national league. Yeah. I think that that would be a great playoff series. Yeah. Sam stein. Enough of this nl stuff. Lets talk about the al, okay . Lets talk about the red sox and the rays. As a red sox fan, i am petrified that we drew the rays. Their pitching seems pretty solid. A bigger question for you, the existential question of baseball, do you throw money to build a team or do you build it up from the roots . This seems like one of those case studies of the rays build up through the roots. The red sox have a lot of money. How do you feel that will question is being played out in the post money ball era you could call it . I think what youre seeing is that the changing is teams are going to that model of okay, develop an organization, go from the top all the way down to the bottom. I mean, i think the indians have started to do it. Thats why they were successful. The rays have done it brilliantly. The red sox in the last couple years have completely gone over to being an Organizational Development franchise. They have one of the five highest payrolls in baseball. I understand that, but theyve gone in that direction, too. But i mean, the red sox have been the best team in the American League during the season. And theyre very difficult to play in the postseason because theyre so patient. 750 more pitches than any team in baseball during the season. But tampa has been the thorn in their side beginning with beating the red sox in the alcs in 2008, knocking them out in 2011, which sent Terry Francona to cleveland and theo epstein to chicago. Matt morris starts tonight. Starts this afternoon. I mean, he shut them out in july and theyre 142 with him pitching on the road. Then you go david price and alex cobb. There is no given when youre playing tampa bay. Most people have no idea who more than Evan Longoria and david price really are on that team. Its heilemann here. Im not going to ask you the question like sam stein. Im not that deep. I just like to hear your picks on all four series i will go boston, detroit, because i think detroits power pitching will really play out in october. Dodgers, cardinals, and i actually think in the end, detroits pitching gets them to the world series. And i think that in the end, the dodgers great pitching gets them to the world series. Mike, what do you think . I dont disagree with peter. Detroit comes at you with scherzer, verlander and Anna Bell Sanchez who has flown under the radar but he might be the best of the three this year. But my big thing is i have to get 206 people into the ball game this many afternoon with no tickets. Thats a problem. Pirates have any chance to beat the cards . No. They might. Im not one of them. I know. I got my own ticket. Pete is always helpful in that regard. Mlb networks Peter Gammons, thank you. They will exclusively air game two between the cardinals and pirates today at 1 00 p. M. Coming up next, josh green joins us to explain why he says the Republican Party is no longer the party of business. The must read opinion pages are next. Hey lady noooo no [ tires screech ] nooo nooo nooo hey lady, thats diesel i know. Save your coffee from the artificial stuff. Switch to truvia. Great tasting, zerocalorie sweetness. From the stevia leaf. So i can reach ally bank 24 7, but there ar24 7. Branches . Im sorry, im just really reluctant to try new things. Really . Whats wrong with trying new things . Look mommys new vacuum cat screech you feel that in your muscles . I do. Drink water. Its a long story. Well, not having branches lets us give you great rates and service. Id like that. A new way to bank. A better way to save. Ally bank. Your money needs an ally. All right, time now for the must read opinion pages. Hold on. What do you mean old . How old is he . Like 62. Yes, in his 60s. Im going to go to the google. Thats what i hear the kids do. Hes old. I go how old is he . He goes well, hes older than you. Like im grandpa walton or something. Come on. All right. Guys thats a name out of the past. Is Bryan Cranston like the greatest actor of all time . Wilford brimly, thats who you think of as the old guy. I have two must reads. Here with us now from washington, from Bloomberg Business week josh green who writes in the latest issue of the magazine, be the shutdown is costing the u. S. Economy 300 million a day. According to ihs, a Global Market Research Firm and its only the latest sign suggesting that the old adage republicans are the party of business no longer holds true. From the austerity imposed by the sequestration to the refusal to reform immigration laws to the shutdown and now as appears likely another debt ceiling showdown, when the u. S. Borrowing authority expires on october 17th, the gops actions have put a strain on one of its most valuable partners, the Business Community. Josh, good to have you on. You make a pretty good point. Harold, do you agree . I do. You know, the Republican Party over the last two cycles have seen not only a Democratic Party that is on the ascend answer in the Business Community for the reasons that josh laid out in the piece, but really the wounds that republicans have suffered have been selfinflicted as the democrats have been offering a kind of plan and a way for the Business Community to embrace them. Whatever you want to say about obama, his posture and tone has been unarguably tough towards the Business Community but his policies i remember at the beginning of the his term, card check was the biggest concern. That didnt materialize. So i think you have a Democratic Party that finds itself in greater favor with the Business Community. Josh, the Business Community, they had several ceos came to the white house a couple days ago, met with the president and other Administration Officials. You get the sense in talking to some ceos that while they view whats going on on capitol hill as deeply troubling as most americans do, theres not the fear about it right now as there was a couple of years ago because i dont know, they think these guys are such clowns that they will not take it over the edge . Whats your view . I think there is a dangerous complacency among some people, more on wall street than the Business Community generally. Because their view of washington is congress is a bunch of idiots but at the end of the day theyll do the safe thing and figure it out. There is a real danger time though that you have so much pressure from kind of the Ted Cruz Tea Party wing of the party that im not sure that are we will escape disaster this time around. If you look at some of the market indicators, not just the dow jones average but also the cost of insurance against a default on u. S. Bonds, it skyrocketed over the last couple days. Even wall street is waking up to the possibility this could be really damaging. Joe, listen to the Washington Post editorial, essential workers deserve more. Secret service personnel, Capital Police and probably many others rushed toward and not away from danger like hundreds of thousands of other federal employees, these are men and women whose contributions have been demeaned by the federal shutdown who are being asked to work without at least for the moment being paid and who are doing their jobs with considerably more dignity than the house of representatives has mustered. We all owe the Capital Police a debt of grat youd for their work every day. No finer examples of professionalism and bravery tweeted house Speaker John Boehner. Thats true. But mr. Boehner owes them and the rest of the federal workers more than 1 40b character message of thanks. He owes them a paycheck. He owes them a budget. He owes them an apology. I think thats why some of us believe that they should make progress wherever they can make progress even while this bigger fights going on and probably dag on a couple weeks till we figure out exactly what to do with the debt ceiling but whether its funding d. C. Which has passed the house, whether its funding the va which passed the house or whether its funding the National Institutes of health which has passed the house, whether its funding the Park Services to keep the Park Services open, thats already passed the house. These things have passed the house. Its not perfect. I know theres still a minority in the Republican Party thats Holding Everything else back. But get what you can get done. Joe, do we know if the members of congress are being paid during this time . Yes. Its interesting. Theyre getting paid and just to point out almost half of the 535 members of congress, according to the New York Times are millionaires. I dont begrudge them on that. Theyre out of touch. But theyre being paid during this time and people entrusting them are not. If you want to talk about salaries, we can do that about around the table. Josh green, lets talk about people suffering right now and in so doing, im wondering whying this republican effort to pass these separate bills, it doesnt seem to be taking hold at all. Is the white house betting on that, that the republicans are not going to gain traction because they just pass that clean cr. I think so. Any bill that passed undermines the larger democratic strategy of just saying we are not going to negotiate with a gun to her head. Were going to force this clean cr, clean debt ceiling raise. I write about that this week. Theres real damage being done to the Republican Party, among a pillar of the party that so far hasnt been alienated. Weve talked since the election how republicans are putting off immigrants, young people, minorities, suburban women. Now you have kind of pillar of the Community Small business types who look at washington, who see the shutdown, who see the fact that its causing 300 million a day, killing consumer confidence, and hurting the bottom line. I had one furnituremaker ceo in hair rolleds home state of tennessee. In chattanooga. Chattanooga saying he was done with the Republican Party. He considered House Republicans to be suicide bombers with the american economy. So i think theres a real danger here thats really not getting a lot of attention in kind of the daytoday coverage of the shutdown so far and something the gop feeds to worry about. Josh green, thank you very much. Thank you, josh. Coming up, the white house says the obama care glitches are nothing to worry about and that the rollout was still a success. A top advisor will join us to explain why. More on morning joe when we come back. Lyrics take on me. take me home. ill be gone. in a day or. man twooooooooooooooooo is that me, was i singing . Vo not paying for scheduled maintenance feels pretty good. Nocharge scheduled maintenance now on every new volkswagen. Thats the power of german engineering make my mark i wawith pride. Ork. Create moments of value. Build character through quality. And earn the right to be called a classic. The lands end no iron dress shirt. Starting at 49 dollars. Okay, who helps you focus on your recovery . Yo, yo, yo. Aflac. Wow. [ under his breath ] that was horrible. Pays you cash when youre sick or hurt . [ japanese accent ] aflac. Love it. [ under his breath ] hate it. Helps you focus on getting back to normal . [ as a Southern Belle ] aflac. [ as a cowboy ] aflac. [ sassily ] aflac. Uh huh. [ under his breath ] i am so fired. Youre on in 5, duck. [ male announcer ] when youre sick or hurt, aflac pays you cash. Find out more at aflac. Com. Coming up, former senior white house advisor David Axelrod joins the conversation. Also, nbc political director chuck todd, much more morning joe straight ahead. But they didnt fit. Customers not happy, im not happy. Sales go down, im not happy. Merch comes back, im not happy. Use ups. They make returns easy. Unhappy customer becomes happy customer. Then, repeat customer. Easy returns, im happy. Repeat customers, im happy. Sales go up, im happy. I ordered another pair. Im happy. both im happy. Im happy. Happy. Happy. Happy. Happy. Happy happy. I love logistics. Great. This is the last thing i need. seriously . The last thing you need is some guy giving you a new catalytic converter when all you got is a loose gas cap. What . It is that simple sometimes. Thanks. Now lets take this puppy over to midas and get you some of the good ol midas touch. Hey you know what . Ill drive and i have no feet. I really didnt think this through. Trust the midas touch. For brakes, tires, oil, everything. whistling your husband left his cell phone on. And youre not necessarily proud of that. But tonight, he made the pizza. With johnsonville italian sausage. The premium cuts of pork and Perfect Blend of herbs and spices gave every bite even more flavor. And everyone loved it. And youre definitely proud of that. Johnsonville. Served with pride since 1945. So youre saying the Government Shutdown should end before obama refuses to shut it down. . You say he should refuse to end it before it ends. No, he shouldnt refuse it. He should just end it before it ends. Do you think its right that president obama refuses to end the Government Shutdown until the government shut down ends. Hell, i think its wrong man. So youre saying it should end before obama refuses to shut it down. It should end it quick. Do you think it should end before he ends it. Ends before it ends. As long as it ends before he ends it youre good . Yes. Welcome back to morning joeing day four. That was so impressive. Thats some lucas. Thats called television coverage. John heilemann, Eugene Robinson, and harold ford junior are still with us, along with sam stein in washington. And joining us now from south bend, indiana, former Senior Advisor to president obama and director of the university of chicagos institute of politics, and msnbc contributor David Axelrod. Good to have you on board this morning, david. Good to be here. David, lets really quickly break it down. Where do we stand here . Im asking you as a political analyst, not as a friend and longtime advisor to barack obama. What are the dangerous of both sides . Obviously the dangers republicans face much greater than the dangers democrats face. No false equivalency here. But what would you be warning the white house about if you were on the inside this morning . Well, heres the dilemma, joe. Both sides have in certain ways painted themselves into a corner. I think the president has by necessity. But you know, youve established the principle, no negotiations at the point of a gun. And the shutdown, no threat of a debt ceiling fight. And then lets talk. The republicans need a poll to slide down to get out of this predicament theyve put themselves in. You and others said if you make the Affordable Care act the target, this is only going to end badly. And its ended badly for them. Now theyre looking for a way out. So for the president is how do you give them a way out without sacrificing the principle that youve established, which is were pot going to negotiate at the point of a gun. Its very, very tricky to navigate through that. What do you tell the president as an advisor, under no circumstances can you back down because if you negotiate, your presidency in effect is over . Would you tell him that . I believe strongly that he should hang firm on then principle. I think its really important. And as i he said, its not just for him but for the future. If you back down now, the signal it sends is that every time we come to these junctures that its a legitimate tactic and productive one to hold the president and the country and the economy hostage. I dont think you can allow that to happen. You cant let that happen. You just cant. Let me ask you this, david. Youre in the town where notre dame obviously is. You decide this morning to take a walk around the famous football stadium. You trip on some of the fabled steps. You hit your head and youre suddenly a republican. What advice do you give to republicans in the house today . How do they get out of this without completely. Saving some face. Saving some face and not looking like it was a completely botched operation . Id say a few things. First of all, they miss add opportunity because they actually won a victory when the democrats in the house and senate agreed to a shortterm continuing resolution spending bill at the levels that the republicans demanded. That was a victory. And they breezed right past it, and they never claimed it. I still think that thats a victory for them, but obviously, they believe that they need more than that. I see them suddenly trying to shift the discussion away from the Affordable Care act to a larger discussion about budget, and of course, if youre going to have a fight over the budget, over the debt ceiling, it should be about the budget, right . Not about your extraneous ideological fetishes. So theyre trying they shifted the discussioning this doesnt have to get personal, david. Wow. Talking about me that way. Whats going on. Its just weird. Lets open it up to the table. Fetishes, John Heilemann. Even when david has amnesia, he still comes back to being a democrat. He cant do it. Gentlemen, heres what Charles Krauthammer writes in the Washington Post. Who shot down yellowstone . I dont agree with current republican tactics. I thought the defunding demand impossible and therefore, foolish. Tactics are one thing. But substance is another. Its the democrat who have mocked the very notion of settled law. Its the democrats who voted down the reopening of substantial parts of the government. Its the democrats who gave live to a spontaneous authentic small government opposition, aka the tea party with their unilateral imposition of a transform nation it will agenda during the brief interval when they held the monopoly of power. That interval is over. The current unrest is the residue of that hubris. Jean robinson, im going to ask you to talk about Charles Krauthammer. We dont talk about people we work with. Lets do that with the post. What do you think about his column . Charles is a great columnist. And like great columnists, he can he chooses what to emphasize. And he chooses what is he right. And a version of history for example he notes, democrats have refused to open. Does he talk like that . You know how he talks. You know charles. I know him. I actually like him a lot. Hes like a hero of mine. I never heard him talk like that. Well, i paraphrase. But you know, he talks about, open the government. You know, those bills were brought up in a way that required a twothirds majority to pass. So that the House Democrats couldnt attach a clean resolution which would pass. So they were passing a way to avoid the vote that would have opened the whole government. Look, his basic point, i mean, if you trace the derivation of the tea party, the moment of its birth, it was actually born before obama care. Obviously it got bigger because of the fight over obama care. Right. This is something democrats, obama care or universal health care, democrats have wanted it for decades. And they got it. Yeah. Okay. So speaking of different point of view and everyone kind of emphasizes what they want to emphasize, heres what you write in the Washington Post. Sam stein, take it from here. John boehners turn to give in. Republicans in congress are like a dog that chases cars and finally catches one. Theres a fleeting sense of accomplishment followed by sheer panic. God bless representative Marlon Stutzman for at least being honest. Were not going to be disrespected he told the washington examiner. We have to get something out of this. And i dont even know what that is. Nobody knows what the House Republicans goal might be at this point. So far they have managed to shut down the government and maintain enough unity in their ranks to prevent an open revolt by moderates and they also succeeded in getting democrats to fund the government at harply refused sequester lesks but for some reason they renounced this victory. Gene robinson says the dog that does he talk liking that . That sounded like Charles Krauthammer. They are kind of like. Elocution school together, by the way. You and krauthammer talk a lot alike when other people are talking about you. They are kind of like the dog that catches the car. Michele bachmann gleefully said this is exactly what we wanted. This is what theyve been talking about, and yet, they were warned over and over and over and over again that would end in disaster. What do they do now . Thats a really good question. What are they telling you on the hill. What does Michele Bachmann tell me on the hill. I suspect you talk to more than just Michele Bachmann. What do republicans on the hill tell you . It depends who you talk to. Some of the republicans i talked to on monday night were very enthusiastic about having this fight. Others were cautious and upset they were put into the situation. And i think david got to the an important point, which is what do you do now . Do you give them an outclause . Does the president say have this concession and then we can not fund the you can refund the government. And my question for david is, who do you engage in the House Republican caucus . Obviously john boehner and barack obama, president obama are having a difficult time talking. If you were there, would you advise the Administration Officials and advise the president to reach out to the 20 and 30 moderate members . Do you engage the house conservatives holding this up . How do you go about creating the conversation that might facilitate an end to this . Well, those discussions im sure are going on within the congress, the moderate republican members and democratic members. Heres the problem. The problem is you have a civil war within the Republican Party and within the republican caucus. And boehner is trying to navigate his way through that. I dont know that the president and thats Holding Everything up. I dont know that the president can be that useful in terms of resolving that issue. I think boehner has to resolve to work with those members in his caucus who are willing to work with him to bring this to an end. At some point, you have to turn to those 20, 30, 40, 80 Tea Party Members and say listen, we got responsibilities here. This is killing the Republican Party. I got to believe that their congressional ballot numbers in polling have shifted dramatically in the last couple of weeks. While many of those members dont have to worry about reelection, those moderates you mentioned do. And boehner is conscious of that. At some point, he has to take the quhip to these guys and say weve got to bringing this to an end and this is how. I dont know that the president can do that for him. Dont you hate it when you get talking on a live mic . It happened. Yeah. Yeah, its bad. It happened with the kentucky Senate Delegation. Take a look. Do you have a second. Im all wired up here. I just didnt see an end. I just go over and over again were willing to compromise, were willing to negotiate. I dont think they poll tested we wont negotiate. I think its all of for them to say that over and over again. I do, too. I just came back from a twohour meeting with him and that was beak the same view privately. If we keep saying we wanted to defund it, we fought for that and now were willing to compromise on this, i think i know we dont want to be here but were going to win this i think. That was strategy. They think theyre going to win. There are still some people on capitol hill who think the republicans are going to win this. There are also children who believe the Great Pumpkin is going to rise. I love the Great Pumpkin. On october 31st. Hold it, hold it. The Great Pumpkin, what are you saying about the Great Pumpkin . He wore his Great Pumpkin pants, see . Arent they nice . Theyre pumpkin. Those are his nantucket pants. The key line in rand paul said to me was, i know we dont want to be here. You know, they dont want to be in the situation. And so. But rand paul thinks theyve got a shot of winning this thing and ill tell you, some republicans still do. But not the ones that have been in washington when one of these things went down. Not so much. I think the thing thats going to be so fascinating to watch over the course of this month and it goes back to something that david was talking about a second ago is the fate of john boehner and what will happen now. Because i think there are a lot of republicans who republican really good republican journalists and writers watching this and saying boehners got one with big move left to make. And probably the move that he makes when he has to do the thing that David Axelrod was talking about which is say okay, we now have to make this deal whether its in the context of the government shuttup and the debt limit or one or both together or separately, when he makes that move, its quite likely to cost him his speakership. The moment where he has to do the responsible thing could end up being his down fall within the caucus and that would be a moment i think of great drama in washington. I think hes in trouble no matter what. I would hope that he would want to go out like walter white on his own terms. And he could do some very strong things. Chuck todd, lets bring in chuck at the white house right now. I think boehner could do some things that actually showed real strength, might cost him the speakership. But you know what . Politics is a funny thing. I actually found out over the course of my career, when you actually do what you think is the right thing to do and go 90 miles an hour, you usually win. My quote to young politicians always was they never stop you when youre going 90 miles an hour. I think boehner showed strength here, some interesting things could happen. Well, the reason hes kept the moderates from splintering so far is that hes promised them this on the debt ceiling he isnt going to push the envelope, that he isnt going to let the smaller Tea Party Conference dictate the strategy on debt ceilinging and thats how hes gotten them to sort of stick the moderates to stick with them on the shutdown strategy. Well see. It feels like hes juggling chain saws here, to be honest. I dont i dont know how he pulls this off and survives the speakership or saves the republican brand. Its all in his hands. Its all in his lap, whats best for the republican brand is bad for his politics in that conference. And so how do you how do you deal with both of them . Lets see what happens. They have that meeting today, the conference. You wonder, i do think, joe, that theres a lot of republicans that feel the way rand paul does, which is you know what . They have a shot at winning some of the spin war or at least they think theyre winning the spin war now because i think theyre just watching and listening to their supporters tell them, hey, youre winning. Great job, great argument. I this i theyre in a bubble a little bit right now. Well see. Next week is a whole different story. Next week is when the next round of paychecks that are skipped, the first big paycheck that is skipped. I think thats when things could change a little bit. Chuck, i can tell you going back to 95, 969 shutdowns back then, things got really ugly after a couple of weeks. Thats when suddenly conservatives started calling your office screaming because youre right. There was a Ripple Effect that was impacting Small Business owners in pensacola because some federal employees that work at the bases there is a rippling effect. The longer it goes, the more it hurts. I would like to ask though, harold ford, what republican on capitol hill really bleebds when you worry about the thing that im worrying about right now and that is winning the white house again, making sure Hillary Clinton is not president for eight years after Barack Obamas president for eight years, look at this poll. What republican believes this Government Shutdown is good for the party . 72 of americans disapprove of this federal shutdown. 25 approve. Which makes it harder to understand or comprehend what the strategy might be right now, the republicans believing they still have a chance to win this. The question for david, playing devils advocate for one moment, would you have advised the president yesterday some of the comments that suggested i dont think the president was actually on twitter but they suggested he did a twitter message saying something negative towards john boehner. The question i would have, if boehner moves on to some of the comments that John Heilemann just raised to be forced out or whatever, whos next . Is it easier to governor with boehner or find a partner with perhaps i think we might both agree that someone may come behind him that would be really bad. Sounds like were talking about the middle east here. I dont know. You know, i have to say, again, i dont know that the president can effect that. Were in an instance here where he has to keep the pressure on. But i was interested in what rand paul had to say. He thinks that because the president is saying we dont negotiate at the point of a gun, that somehow they can win that fight. Once you put that gun down, the president is willing to talk about a whole range of things. I dont think what the American People are hearing is that the president doesnt want to talk at all. I think theyre hearing he doesnt want to talk at the point of a gun, put the down down. As long as he keeps that in balance, i dont think the rand paul scenario will come into play here into David Axelrod, thank you very much. Chuck todd, thank you, as well. Chuck the dodgers man. Last night they looked great, didnt they . Kershaw didnt even have his best stuff and he had 12 strikeouts. Those brave hitters apparently you only have to swing for the fences. Thank god. And texas, iowa state, im sure you caught the ending. That bad ending. The cyclones got ripped off at the end there. I watched both games. I like mike brown. Im happy for him. I watched the braves game twice. It was awesome. Well see you at 9 00. You could spend the whole day just watching come on, mika. With a beer on your belly. Up next, cnbcs michelle carusocabrerra joins us with her thoughts on the looming debt ceiling showdown. Shes going to tell us how she really feels. Shes just getting started. Also, the congressman many say was behind the house plan to tie defunding obama care to the shortterm spending bill, republican congressman tom graves will join us. Youre watching morning joe. Well be right back. [ male announcer ] the new twin turbo xts from cadillac. 410 available horses. Room for four. Twice the fun. [ male announcer ] over time, youve come to realize. [ starter ] ready [ starting gun goes off ] [ male announcer ] its less of a race. Yeah [ male announcer ] and more of a journey. Keep going strong. And as you look for a Medicare Supplement insurance plan. Expect the same kind of commitment you demand of yourself. Aarp Medicare Supplement insurance plans insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. Go long. To some of us, doing the right thing in congress is not about helping a political party. Its about trying to help the people that elected us. Its about trying to do whats right for the whole country. And if your heart doesnt break when you read these stories and when you take the phone calls and if your heart doesnt break. Time to wake up. Its 25 past the hour. Here with us now from capitol hill, everyones exhausted, republican representative from georgia, congressman tom graves. Good to have you on board. Here on set, cnbcs michelle carusocabrerra who is going to talk about fear mongering in just a moment. First, congressman graves, obviously you led the gop charge against obama care. Could you possibly be satisfied with where this fight is now . This isnt one person. We are unified as a republican conference. Around a lot of things. Number one keeping the government open. Weve been passing a lot of legislation that keeps the government open but also protecting constituents from the harmful effects of obama care. What weve been doing in the house is taking components here of late even after the shutdown and passing to the senate. What im disappointed in right now the is harry reids reactions as one of the negotiators assigned from the house, he wont let any democrat come meet with us to have a conversation about where there are area of disagreement. In fact, there are many, many areas we do agree. Unfortunately, harry reid is just digging in right now. Are you good with the strategy of ted cruz . Weve got a strategy in the house. Im not sure what you mean, but what were doing is passing components of the federal government and trying to open it back up. We took care of the veterans last night, the national guard, the reserves, National Parks but yet again, harry reid stands in the way of taking care of our veterans or even. Youre talking about harry reid. Could i ask you about ted cruz and the strategy that he has imposed upon members of his party, and there even was a meeting the other day where he was asked by other senators, whats the end game and he did not have one. Are you comfortable with the strategy that members of your party and the senate have taken since youre not comfortable with harry reids response . The end game for all of us is that the democrats at some point have to recognize an important ingredient in a negotiation is they show you. For whatever reason, theyre very uncomfortable in having a conversation with us about the areas we disagree. This is an issue going on for a long time. Its really about fairness if you want to get to the crux of what this is all about. The president has provided delays for his friends for big business, for members of congress and insurance companies. We just believe it should be applicable to all of america. All right. Congress graves, harold ford. Shutting down or stopping the obama care act has been a central part of what you all have said. Are you now saying you just harry reid to take up the various single shot pieces of legislation you guys are bringing forth . If youre pursuing this strategy, i would hope you would bring up something to fund the Capitol Hill Police. Are you now dropped obama care as the central plank. Were talking about opening up the various items of the federal government. Stopping the defunding obama care, are you all still, thats what her question is all about. Is that where House Republicans are all about . You cant criticize a democratic senator and not be critical of the republicans. Are you still where you were from the outset of this conversation. Its interesting to watch the process evolve a little bit is that we put forth mainstream ideas and solutions. Weve gone from a full delay. Now were saying can we not provide americans with a delay of the individual mandate. Give them one year to work out all the problems we have. I would say thats what weve been discussing here of recent. The president still refuses to remove that mandate, that compulsion of the American People to buy insurance or otherwise be punish pd when in fact he has removed that requirement from businesses or from members of congress and you no he, we hear a lot about well, its the law and the president won. The court upheld. There are many components of the law the president is refusing to recognize or delay. Were just saying hey, if youre going to do that for big business, lets give all of america a break too. Congressman tom graves, thank you very much. What am i missing here . I can talk to you about treasuries. Am i missing here . In terms of you want to talk about the strategy, about the shutdown . You know all politics is local. So the reason republicans are doing this because at the local level, they think this is going to, senator cruz is playing a long game. He thinks obama care will not go well. If he problems to be right, he can say hey, i stood up and tried to fight it. The rest of you guys went along with it. If it goes well, he loses. Right. Thats well said. In the process, what do you make of the shutdown and then bring us to the debt ceiling debate. Okay. So look, ive got a major thought. One major thought which is we keep hearing talk about default. The u. S. Treasury put out a report about us defaulting on our debts, very alarmist. Default is a very did i have fintive thing. If we do not pay interest on the u. S. Government debt. If you pay things late, thats not a default. The chances of default happening are slim to none. We see that in the bond market because if the market thoughts bonds werent going to get paid, they would be selling them and theyre not. Heres where the problem is. Fear. Uncertainty. These are cliches on wall street. They impact the economy. If investors dont want uncertainty and need an excuse to sell. If they sell or if the cost of bow rowing goes up, people will constrict borrowing. Theres a snowball effect. You may be right. Right. But that doesnt mean it could not sti have a drawingic impact on the economy. Heres where the impact comes. Every time the treasury talks about something being so catastrophic, they put it in terms of lehman failure, that bad. Chances of that are very, very low. Instead theyve sold off. You dont know. You pretty much know. Heres why. You didnt know what was on the other side of the press piece. And people dont know. Heres what you do know. In the history of the world, there have been many, many times where governments have lost their ability to borrow. When they lose their ability to borrow and yet have to borrow to fund, they literally have to balance the budget overnight. You get all this tax revenue in every day. You have to make choices where that money is going to go, right . And what has historically always been the case all over the world, you pay. Interest on the debt because gosh, you dont want invest ares to think youre not going to pay it because you need them to start giving you money. You pay the military and you pay Social Security the elderly. Treasury so far has refused to say that would be the priorities. Theyre saying we dont have the ability to do that. All or nothing for them. They almost suggest its technical. This is a government that can read every email, follow every phone call, look at every social interaction but it cant pay u. S. Debt before Everything Else . Nobodys going to believe it. You see teeny little movements in shortterm rates but not even an eighth of a point, 005 on a onemonth bill . I mean, its hardly catastrop c catastrophic. I would like it if the bond market would move because everybody would finally come to the table. You dont know whats going to to happen. It would bring everyone to the table. What im surprised about, theyve used look, weve been through this so many times. The white house always says the consequences are dire. Usually what they threaten is Social Security. This time theyve tried to work the bond market and wall street that hasnt been very eb because they dont believe it. If you theyre then Social Security, then everybody starts calling in, right . Every member of congress is flooded with phone calls. Thats what gets people back to the table. So a short. I dont think that would be true either. I do think perhaps catastrophic is overstated unless it progresses. Thats fair, right . For a long period of time. But possible a sharp recession, yes. Catastrophic looking into the abyss, no. My lord. We bring all points of view. Michelle carusocabrerra, thank you. Come back. Coming up, states from lds to florida are on alert for Tropical Storm karen as it turns into the gulf coast. Well go live to pensacola, next. At a ford dealer with a little q and a for fiona. Tell me fiona, whos having a big tire event . Your ford dealer. Who has 11 major brands to choose from . Your ford dealer. Whos offering a rebate . Your ford dealer. Who has the low price tire guarantee, affording peace of mind to anyone who might be in the market for a new set of tires . Your ford dealer. Im beginning to sense a pattern. Get up to 140 in mailin rebates when you buy four select tires with the Ford Service Credit card. Whered you get that sweater vest . Your ford dealer. I got this. [thinking] is it that time . The son picks up the check . [thinking] im still working. Hes retired. I hope hes saving. I hope he saved enough. Who matters most to you says the most about you. At massmutual were owned by our policyowners, and they matter most to us. Whether youre just starting your 401 k or you are ready for retirement, well help you get there. Maestro of project management. Baron of the buildout. You need a permit. To be this awesome. And you. Rent from national. Because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle. And go. You can even take a fullsize or above, and still pay the midsize price. aaron purrrfect. vo meeeow, business pro. Meeeow. Go national. Go like a pro. Beautiful. He sa cola. For the first time this hurricane season, the gulf coast, the northern gulf coast on alert because Tropical Storm karen is churning in the gulf. Col strepgen into a hurricane. Id give it maybe a 30 chance of doing it right before landfall. Preps are under way from louisiana south near the mouth of mississippi through the florida panhandle. Pensaco pensacola, jim cantore is located right about in here. As far as pensacola goes, you could be on the right side of where it makes landfall. What are your concerns . Yeah, bill. I mean, you know, right now as long as the storm stays separated, in other words the center is here and about 100 miles east we have thunderstorms. We anticipate a storm that will strengthen further. Our big concerns are with the water and sought so much the water you see behind me coming in under the peer but the water from the sky. If we get 6 to 10 inches of rain, that adds onto the foot surplice weve had. That is the biggest concern. Now, regardless of what the storm looks like this morning, everybody is taking this serious. Especially yesterday when it was forecast to become a minimal hurricane, taking the lifeguard stands off the beaches. Theyve even moved these back here on the pensacola beach. So you know, this is an area thats been accustomed to storms and theyre going to take this very, very seriously regardless if it comes in as a wimpy Tropical Storm or something that may approach even a minimal hurricane. Jim, youve been doing this for years. If i was to tell you we would have a storm that develops just off the yucatan heading just off the gulf the first of october, it would be worse than this. Amazing its not going to be another bad storm. This is the anniversary of opal, 1995, it destroyed this peer behind me. A concrete peer now and made it through ivan. The waves were over the top of it during ivan. Youre right. A storm in october in the gulf is a dangerous thing. Right now though, karen is just kind cuff wimping along. Jim cantore there live in pensacola. Well stay with the storm in case it does anything over the weekend. Stay tuned. More coming up on morning joe. [ bird chirping ] [ male announcer ] build anything with the new toyota tundra. Toyota. Lets go places. You have to let me know [ female announcer ] when sweet and salty come together, the taste is irresistible. Sweet and salty nut bars by nature valley. Nature at its most delicious. Vietnam in 1972. [ all ] fort benning, georgia in 1999. [ male announcer ] usaa Auto Insurance is often handed down from generation to generation. Because it offers a superior level of protection and because usaas commitment to serve military members, veterans, and their families is without equal. Begin your legacy, get an Auto Insurance quote. Usaa. We know what it means to serve. Consider that just a couple weeks ago, apple rolled out a new mobile operating system, and within days they found a glitch so they fixed it. I dont remember anybody suggesting that apple should stop selling is iphones or ipads or threatening to shut down the country if they didnt. Thats not how we do thingsings in america. We dont root for failure. We get to work. We make things happen. We make them better. We keep going. Very easy. Barnicle you went back on. Yes. And . I had to wait about ten minutes before it bumped me to the enrollment page. Once i got on the enrollment page, maybe it was because of the hour of the day, it went very smoothly and i was able to go right through it. Were talking about getting on health. Gov and signing up for the Affordable Care act. Which reports were there were so many glitches, oh, my lord in the roll out. Mike is saying joining us from the white house, david sea mus, the deputy Senior Advisor for communications and strategy. Good to have you on the show. Good an morning. We saw the headlines about day one with crashes and glitches and all of that. Although barnicle is saying it took him how long . The second time i tried it, i had to wait for about ten minutes before it bumped me to the enrollment page. Once i got on the page, it went very smoothly even for someone as illiterate as i am on the computer. It was very easy. Youre not illiterate. The david, how is it going . Heres what we know after 72 hours, weve had over 7 million unique visitors, including Mike Barnicle come through. It is a volume that no one, no one anticipated. Just for perspective is, Southwest Airlines in an entire month has 6. 4 million unique visitors. Nbc in an entire month has 12 million. We had 7 million. So the overwhelming volume has really caused us to more servers, more engineers, tackle the problem. Identify the issues, fix them so today is going to be better than yesterday was, and you know, heres another piece of this. Weve essentially done 1. 5 of the enrollment period. Weve got another 178 days left to go. So i feel pretty good about where we are. Gene . David, when are you going to have some numbers about how many people have actually enrolled for insurance besides barnicle . So, you know, Mike Barnicle is a good validation point any day. Id like to rest on that, but heres what were going to do. Were going to spend the next few weeks accumulating data, probably do monthly reports like we do with other programs, you know, with medicaid, medicare, and others and then use that time also. I think this is an important piece, especially for me. To learn whats working in some places and what isnt in other places. And use the data to really drive our response, not only in terms of the experience for folks, but the on the ground activity so we can learn from this initial stage. Mike barnicle. David, in terms of the server when youre bumped to a spec state that has their own setup, has that caused a snag or any mechanical difficulties there . So look, this is, as you saw, mike, this is a threestep process. Where the holdup has been has been at the initial sage when people try to create the account. Once you create the account, as you saw, you go into the application and the plan compare and its easy, and its intuitive and makes a lot of sense. So what were doing right now, this initial account creation stage, i mean, thats the piece that were really layering on. And we believe within a couple of days, the wait time is going to be significantly, significantly reduced as we saw from yesterday and the day before. David, wed love to have you back as this progresses to get more numbers on how this is going. Hope you can do that. I can do that anytime. If they need someone to work on tech support, mikes got a lot of time. In addition to. Hes wellknown to be a master in java script and c plus plus programming language. I also bought a 1956 packard. David, thank you very much. Can you draw a picture . David, last word. Now that barnicle has got his affordable coverage, we can all sit down and enjoy jon lester tonight as red sox nation rises. There you go, man come on. Like this guy. All right. Thank you so much, david. Saved simus from westerly, massachusetts. Huge red sox guy coming up. Oh, really . There he is. Star of the new sitcom welcome to the family. Well sit down with mike omalley. Looks good in that hat. In the nation, we know how you feel about your car. So when coverage really counts, count on nationwide insurance. Because whats precious to you is precious to us. Love, love is strange just another way we put members first. Because we dont have shareholders. Join the nation. Baby. Nationwide is on your side and youre not very proud of that. But tonight he made pizza. With johnsonville italian sausage. And everybody loved it. And youre definitely proud of that. Johnsonville. Served with pride since 1945. Make my mark i wawith pride. Ork. Create moments of value. Build character through quality. And earn the right to be called a classic. The lands end no iron dress shirt. Starting at 49 dollars. I want peacocks. Peacocks . Walking the grounds. In tuscany. [ man ] her parents didnt expect her dreams to be so ambitious. Italy . Oh, thats not good. [ man ] by exploring their options, they learned that instead of going to italy, they could use a Home Equity Loan to renovate their yard and have a beautiful wedding right here while possibly increasing the value of their home. You and roger could get married in our backyard. Its robert, dad. [ female announcer ] come in to find the right credit options for your needs. Because when people talk, great things happen. Youre pregnant . Pregnant is a word that currently describes you . Wow. For your first time sharing, you really nailed it. We are really happy about this. As long as jr. Is happy. Have you thought about this . What this means . We talked about it today. Did you talk about how the worlds most irresponsible person is going to be a parent. A pizza, a half dozen iphone and things i am naming. Things i drove off and left on the car. And now we are having a baby . The costar of the new comedy, welcome to the family. Please watch welcome to the family. I want to talk about when i was living out in california i had a very long commute from venice all the way to studio city. I was doing a show called yet yes, dear. It would take an hour and i had to start making use of my time. I started to get books on tape. It was a great way. I listened to steven ambroses story about the transcontinental reporter and it was awesome. I felt like i was learning something. I saw an interview by jack welsh. I got his unabridged auto biography as read by Mike Barnacle. I listened to Mike Barnacle about 54 hours. Wow. I could not believe thats a punishment. He did an amazing job. I did then, i was asked to do a biography of sydney sheldon. It was his auto biography and he created i dream of jeannie and other things. I thought this is so great. Its horrible. Its the longest most horrible thing to do. All right. Its a close second. And third is from venice. Beverly hills, thats a sin. Its horrible. Mike is also a hand model. The problem is when you are doing a book on tape, you have to all of a sudden do the characters in the story. You have to do some characters in that story. The problem is you think you will never do it again because you lose your voice after three days and you are so sick of it. I know you are a success. Why didnt you write a short story. Why didnt he do it . Its his life story. Woe love jack. He emails every three minutes. I thought he did a great job, mike. That was great. Last night, i liked that. I never watch tv. Youre funny. Thank you very much. Its a show i think a lot of people can relate to. Its a family that becomes a blended family. Some families shouldnt be blended. Some things mix that shouldnt happen. I play a guy who is 46 who has an 18yearold daughter who i am happy is going to college. Just made it. I dont want her to leave . Get out of the house. I have this renaissance and i top the enjoy time with my wife and my wife is excited to sleep with me because she took a vow. We are hanging out and im very excited because we had sex at a rate of twice in two days. Wow. Fiction . Its all very exciting and then boom. My daughter is home and shes pregnant. I didnt even know she had a boyfriend let alone she was active in that way. She is hanging out with a guy from stanford who didnt know enough about Birth Control that he got into stanford and im going to be a grandfather at 46. Im excited. Welcome to the family. I like the title when it comes up on the screen. Its a wttf. It looks like something else. It does. When you say blended family, what do you mean by blended . What we mean is sometimes you should not be mixed up with another family. When your sons and daughters go out there in the world, they fall in love with people who are going to be inlaws with people you shouldnt be with. And dont like. People understand that. The show is for anybody who is in a family who may not like someone in their family. That are pretty much covers everybody. All right. You are also in glee. I am. Back in the days when we used to watch television, actionors and actresses would be on one show. Now it seems like you see the same actors popping up on three or four parts that are on network tv at the same time . It is. I wouldnt say its weird. I think its wonderful. I am all for doing books on tape. We are trying to do a wonderful, more, trying to expand our business. On glee im just a supporting cast member. I play the father of chriss character and im really only there once every fee weeks. All right. Thats amazing. Thats work. Welcome to the family airs on nbc on thursdays at 8 30, 7 30 central. Its very good. Others should try it. And something else. Up next i dont do that. Ambien is not for your use. Really . These things happen. You know that. Tell people you are going t work. We are not on yet. This was just rehearsal. Its like it seems on television. You guys just chilling and hanging out. Thats awesome. We just dont care. John boehner wants his House Republican ona hot mike moment between Mitch Mcconnell and rand paul reveal how they will handle the shut down. Which will the people rally mind . Thats next on morning joe. My customers can shop around see who does good work and compare costs. It doesnt usually work that way with health care. But with unitedhealthcare, i get information on quality rated doctors, Treatment Options and estimates for how much ill pay. That helps me, and my guys, make better decisions. I dont like guesses with my business, and definitely not with our health. Innovations that work for you. Thats health in numbers. Unitedhealthcare. [ babies crying ] surprise your house was built on an ancient burial ground. [ ghosts moaning ] surprise your car needs a new transmission. [ coyote howls ] how about no more surprises . Now you can get all the online Trading Tools you need without any surprise fees. Its not rocket science. Its just common sense. From td ameritrade. Guys, you took tums® a couple hours ago. Why keep taking it if you know your heartburn keeps coming back . Thats how it works. You take some tums®. If heartburn comes back, you take some more. That doesnt make any sense. It makes plenty of sense if you dont think about it really, honey, why cant you just deal with it like everybody else . Because i took a pepcid®. Fine. Debbie, youre my new favorite. [ male announcer ] break with tradition, take pepcid® complete. It works fast and lasts. Get relief from your heartburn relief with pepcid® complete. Youre not linda. Im filling in for officer owens. She used double miles from her capital one venture card to take an early vacation. Buckle up. Lets go do cop stuff. [ siren chirps ] license and venture card, maam. Was i going too fast . Oh, youd be going twice as fast if you had double miles. [ male announcer ] get away fast with unlimited double miles from the capital one venture card. Freeze dont touch the face can i drive . Absolutely not. Whats in your wallet . Good morning. Its 8 00 on the east coast. 5 00 on the west coast. If you take a live look at new york city. Wake up, everybody. Its going to be a beautiful day. We have john heilman, harold ford, jr. And in washington, sam stein. We will get to the latest on the government shut down in just a moment, but first the dramatic scene on capitol hill yesterday where a woman is suspected of trying to run down a white house barricade was eventually shot and killed yesterday afternoon with reports of shots fired. The capitol went on lockdown. Legislators and staff were told to take shelter. When the dust settled, Law Enforcement said a woman named Miriam Carrey tried to ram her car through a barricade and took off at 1350espeeds reaching 80 per hour. Capitol police surrounded her and she backed off and took off again, hitting an officer. She was later killed in a hail of gunfire, unarmed, despite early reports she may have fired a gun. The police fountain 18monthold girl believed to be her daughter in the car. Thankfully the girl was unharmed. It turned now to why carrey acted the way she did. She was a dental hygienist living in stanford, connecticut. She was recently let go by her employer who said she suffered a fall in january 2012. When she came back, she was pregnant and never the same. She was fired last august after complaints from patients that she seemed too rough with them. Police searched her home, even deploying bomb robots, but its not clear what she was doing in washington. Nbcs capitol hill correspondent was in his office during the incident and heard shots fired. Luke russert . A harrowing scene yesterday. 2 20 p. M. I was in my office that overlooks the west front of the capitol. I heard four loud pops. It made me stand up and i looked outside the window. Capitol police had their guns drawn, running towards the noise. They had a few dozen of them get down on their stomach and evacuated them to independence avenue. Within about 20 minutes, a helicopter landed on the mall, a capitol hill Police Officer was medivaced away from the scene. Perhaps what was most ironic about that is you had a capitol hill Police Officer who was hurt in the line of duty yesterday who will not be paid due to the government shut down. They will not be paid or collect a check until after this is over. Its something that is important to remember. These guys put themselves in harms way even when they get no paycheck. Guys . Each passing day, congress is unable to fund the federal government makes it likely that final compromise will include a solution on the debt ceiling. House Speaker John Boehner will not allow the government to default even if it means relying on democratic votes. Meanwhile the president canceled his trip to Southeast Asia to focus on the shut down. He upped the pressure on boehner during an event in maryland. He said its in the speakers hands. There enough republicans and democrats in the house of representatives that if the speaker of the house john boehner let the bill get on the floor for an up or down vote, every congressman could vote their conscious, the shut down would end today. The only thing preventing all of that from happening today, in the next five minutes, is that Speaker John Boehner wont even let the bill get a yes or no vote. Because he doesnt want to anger the extremists in his party. The president later tweeted Tea Party Extremists caused the boehner shut down and quickly drew the ire of conservatives including a congressman who retweeted saying way to uphold the dignity of the office. Here we go. Interesting timing with john boehner. Way to go, john. He said i am not going to let the country default and told all the extremist who is wanted to let it default, no. Its weird that the president decided to target john boehner yesterday after boehner did what i thought was a courageous thing to do. Keeping pressure on. That was odd. I was actually talking to Senior Administration officials yesterday. It was somewhat different tone in that they said they were standing firm, but leaving john boehner out of this. Thats still basically the way. That tweet doesnt first of all, a president tweeting. Secondly talking about extrem t extremists and third, calling it the boehner shut down. I think we all know its not the boehner shut down. Boehner doesnt want the shut down. Anyway. I think if you keep that all together yesterday, it was not great news for federal employees because its going to last a while. Better news for the full faith and credit of the country because it counts like if you put it all together, you can find a way to get out. Obviously a lot of the Business Leaders of the country were relieved that boehner turned to 20, 30 people and said listen, you guys are not going to screw with the full faith and credit of the United States of america. It showed courage for the speaker. It was just how i think the president what he was trying to say given the benefit of the doubt and i agree with, but it doesnt help boehner to have the president claim that he is being held hostage, even if its partial low true. Right. At the same time have the speaker say im responsible and mature enough to know there certain things we cannot do. You would hope the bigger, smarter heads can come together. The thing during the speech you want to hold you are dealing with another side that is unstable at times. Unstable at times. When you have a stable element there, i think you want to listen, i dont want to push you, but do we have to have them go through hostage negotiation training . I agree with the concept of try not to poke someone when they are showing signs of intelligence, but at the same time the speaker imitated the president and that was incredibly disrespectful. We could go on and on about that, but we will just move on. One side waits for the other to blink. Heilman is here. I gave the car people the wrong address for the key. There was a lot of that. Dont mind me. We thought you meant the other one. There was a lot of them. I get confused where to pick me up. Wow. Wow. Okay. As one side waits for the other to blink in the shut down, it was caught with live mikes discussing strategy. Im all wired up here. I go over and over here we are willing to compromise and willing to negotiate. You wont negotiate and its awful. I stated that over and over again. I did too and i came back after two hours and it was the same view privately. We keep saying we wanted to defund it and now we are willing to compromise . I know we dont want to be here. What do you think about that . Its awesome that he said im wiring up here and then talked anyway. He took him off course on that. Whenever he wants to talk to anybody, he takes his mike off and puts it in his pocket. Once your mike is in the pocket you talk. Every microphone is always live. If its near your mouth, its live. We are all wired up here, guys. So we are going to win this. The republicans are saying we are going to win this and it doesnt look that way to most people. We havent heard from you. Why . Because the country is against them. The country is against them and all of the reasons, its weird that they dont seem to get the calend calendar. When they fought this battle the last time in 2011, they were fighting against a president who was in the position of vulnerability. He had to run for election in 2012 and the threats they were able to bring against him put him in a position where if he pushed them to the limit would hurt him in reelection. The president is not running for reelection in 2016. Its a Congressional Election in 2014. The Public Opinions are pretty clear. He is winning the battle right now. Show the first one about people supporting the shut down am how many support the shut down. Dee dee meyers yesterday gave something about when the republicans do this, they lost one president ial race and another race and senate races. All the polls are against them. By the way, keep that up for a second. I said this from the very beginning as the wall street journal and the litany of conservatives that agree with me. This is not about ideology. We are with ya. Also, i dont like cancer. Right . Me going up and banging my head against the wall is not going to end cancer. Its irrational. Forget about that. Some were appropriate and some were not. They are playing a losing hand and i pplaying it badly. For may be to ensure that rand paul and connell get reelected and remain the minority in the senate. The House Republicans are in there safe seats. They are not in that much danger. A few might be, but by and large, they are okay. The Republican Party could have taken the senate next year. So lets get other perspective on this. Think about the backdrop of this argument, that open mike moment you heard. The arguing over the tweets. This picture is the Capitol Hill Police working for no money and putting their lives on the line and many others who are dealing with the shut down in a very real way. Its taking a roll right now because obviously you see republicans going through this piece meal approach and recognize that the cut has a human cost. They are trying to change the Politics Around this discussion and saying we are willing to fund nih and we want to do this for the Capitol Hill Police. The president is saying no. We need a full approach. We cant piece meal fund the government. I think the republicans recognize that there is a damage being done and we need to change the topic away from obama care and say we are for opening parts of the government. The president is not. Thats pretty interesting change in the tone of this debate. I dont know how much of an effect its going to have because the president is adamant he is not going to sign a bill on the full government. Thats how he indicated it. This is the ted cruz strategy. I am kind of tired of people in the Mainstream Media telling me that ted cruz, you know it may be bad for the party, but great for ted. No, its not. This guy is isolated on capitol hill. May i remind americans to think this is great because there is a flash. There is a shiny flash, it must be great. That shiny flash will remind everybody that Michele Bachmann won the iowa straw poll. I remind everybody here that sarah palin was in first place for a very long time and herman cain was in first place and then donald trump was in first place for several weeks. You can go down the list. Newt gingrich. Whats your point . All those people were in first place and who is our new president . My point is this sort of activity is a great starter. It is a great starter, but a terrible photocopier. Mi people respect mike lee and think this is all about mike lee running for president. Listen, republicans gave up their best negotiating position with the debt limit because of this terrible strategy. Everybody warned republicans against it except ted cruz, marco rubio, mike lee and 30 or so people in the house. What you are saying is paying off or not paying off for republicans because increasingly Republican Fundraisers are feeling pressure from most of their zoners to really stop. Because of the politics behind the shut down. The major donors have deep reservations and have stopped giving all together because of the growing tea party influence and what they see as the impasse on handling the shut down. Donor said republicans misread the mood of the country going into the shut down, adding we are finding a marvelous way to grab defeat from the jaws of victory. Another donor who had fundraisers for paul ryan, tom cotton said he is done giving money to the national Congressional Committee saying when you have a segment who dictated the rest of the country, the result is what we have seen in the last few days. This is about winning. These people are angry for the same reason i have been angry. Not because of ideology, but stupidity. They want to win. Boy, this is not helping our chances. This is two conversations. You are having a conversation about national perspectives. Watching mcconnell and rand paul talk, they are talking about parochial races. Rand paul is as important as any know to make sure mcconnell succeeds. He is likeable and anything that would say that hurts him in the senate would help mcconnell. You are spot on about that. You have been spot on for several m several months. Twitter announces its plans to go public. Can it avoid the same disappointment as facebook . Wendy davis officially launches a bid for governor of texas. Can she harness her National Popularity into a real change with texas voters . Thats next in the political playbook. First a check on the forecast. Bill . All eyes on the gulf of mexico. So far, so good. The warm water is trying to strengthen. It has strong winds and dry air. Hurricanes dont like that at all. Thats why it locks so pathetic. Dont give up on it until it makes landfall. Then we are done about it. As far as the path in the hurricane, they think it can increase up to a hurricane in the interior and crossing near mobile bay or pensacola on sunday morning. Close to hurricane strength and Something Like that you expect problems with rainfall and a little a little bit of issues. Not a lot. As far as snow, what an impressive snowstorm in wyoming. Its piling up. Look at the snow on the ground there in casper and thunder snow. Roads will be impassable. The other things we need to do. Isolated tornados in iowa and friends in southern california, you also have the threat of santa ana winds over the next three days and we are hoping no fires form. If they do, they spread rapidly and that would be a big story in itself. We leave you with one location we are watching closely. Pensacola, florida. Right now it locks to be weak. Stay tuned. Lyrics take on me. take me home. ill be gone. in a day or. man twooooooooooooooooo is that me, was i singing . Vo not paying for scheduled maintenance feels pretty good. Nocharge scheduled maintenance now on every new volkswagen. Thats the power of german engineering time to take a look at the morning papers from our parade of papers. The Washington Post, up to 500 migrants battling in africa caught fire and sanction off the coast of italy killing at least 114 people. Rescuers managed to save 150 of the migrants, but over 100 are still unaccounted for. The oregonian, the Police Released a video of the deadly traffic shootout from august. The driver walked over to the police car and just started firing away. He called and returns to his vehicle. The veteran sped away with his three children inside. He was later found dead in his car shot in the chest. The officer was also wounded, but has since recovered. Usa today, twitters ipo filing revealed they are growing quickly, but spending a lot of money. They spent nearly 80 million last year. They are expected to start trading by november and plans to raising 1 billion. My goodness. And the Seattle Times, steve bullner only wived 59 , reporting weak sales for windows 8 software and tablets. Other top executives received 100 or more of target bonuses. They are searching for the next ceo and his plans to retire. L. A. Times, instagram will feature advertisements while the Company Announced plans to ease into the roll out and effectually users will see photos and contents from brands they do not follow. Users will be able to close the ads about why they did not like it. From the sacramento bee, jerry brown signed into lou allowing undocumented citizens to get drivers licenses. This comes years after the former governor repealed the governor after it took effect. 1. 4 million undocumented immigrants are going to seek their drivers licenses over the next three years. In this weekends parade, an exclusive excerpt from an auto biography, i am malala from the day she was shot from the taliban. Incredible story. Incredible girl. Lets go to the politico playbook. Lets do politico. John harris. Texas state senator wendy davis made it official and announced she was running for governor in 2014. Davis gained fame for her nearly 11hour filibuster against the Abortion Clinic in texas. Yesterday she focused on bringing the Lone Star State together. Texans do not want to watch austin turn into washington, d. C. The state leaders that are currently in power are forcing people to opposite corners to prepare for a fight instead of coming together to get things done. Im asking you to dream of all that we can accomplish together. Im asking you to believe that the best of texas is yet to come. A recent poll shows davis trailing the Presumptive Republican nominee greg abbott by points. What chance does she have, do you think . You know, her message was bringing texas together, but in order to have viability i think at least nationally what she is going to do is Something Like what elizabeth warnen did in massachusetts and make herself a symbol for the willingness to be tough and fight for values. Its always going to be something in texas that is changing a little bit overtime with the hispanic vote. Its a conservative state and this is a tough uphill climb for her this tms of the polls and financial low. The way she will compete is not running the texas race, but to get money from around the country to help her candidacy. That will inspire by her filibuster against abortion restrictions, it made her a national figure. She talks about washington and the divisions in washington. Right now there is a lot of bad blood between party leaders. There is a great story on our site if you like personal views and bitterness and family bickering. The present story is catnip. This is not an ideological foit and policy fight and fiscal fight. Its all those things. It makes clear on capitol hill as a personal fight. Boehner and reid cant stand each other and staffs cant stand each other. Speaking of democratic colleagues, reid said boehner is a coward. Virtually shouting. Boehners staff uses a they wrote it in politico and i dont think i can say it on air in morning joe, but they used choice words of reid for leaking private emails. Politicos john harris, thank you very much. Ahead, practical tips to make sure your career doesnt go bust. You might to want tune in here. Dont tune out, okay . You tune me out all the time. Try not to. Author michael ryan is here with his the boom boom book. It may save my job. Up next, reverend tim. His answer to complex questions. If god is the god of love, why does he allow suffering . That and much more when we come back. Customer erin swenson ordered shoes from us online but they didnt fit. Customers not happy, im not happy. Sales go down, im not happy. Merch comes back, im not happy. Use ups. They make returns easy. Unhappy customer becomes happy customer. Then, repeat customer. Easy returns, im happy. Repeat customers, im happy. Sales go up, im happy. I ordered another pair. Im happy. both im happy. Im happy. Happy. Happy. Happy. Happy. Happy happy. I love logistics. Hey lady noooo no [ tires screech ] nooo nooo nooo hey lady, thats diesel i know. At any minute. You could be a victim of fraud. Most people dont even know it. Fraud could mean lower credit scores, higher loan rates. And maybe not getting the car you want. Its a problem waiting to happen. Check your credit score, check your credit report, at experian. Com americas number one provider of online credit reports and scores. Dont take chances. Go to experian. Com. 35 past the hour. Welcome back to morning joe. We have Senior Pastor from new york citys mega church. The best selling author tim keller who is out with a now book, walking with god through pain and suffering. Wonderful to have you. What is the definition of a mega church . Well, if it just means a church with more than 2,000 people, yes. Guilty as charged. We will take that. If its an ambiance and a state of mind, its more traditional than that. A lot more understated than that. You have written another box that will be a bestseller. Walking with god through pain and suffering. The timing of this as to be especially personal with you, with your mother. Yes. My dad died in february and my mother died monday. So i would have to say they were getting close to 90 and its almost its very hard of course. Everybody goes through it. Unless your parents outlive you in which case thats even worse. Essentially if you have a family around a table and everybody is eating around the table, heres a kind thought. At some point one person will see everyone else dead. Its inevitable. I had no idea. I had no idea. Very uplifting. Its inevitable. And pain and suffering also inevitable to everybody. How do you walk through life with pain and suffering . Well, im a Christian Minster so what i liked about the bible was the amazing balance. On the hand you have joe. Hes crying out and praying and complaining to good and questioning god and at the end of the book god shows up and said you honored me because even though you were complaining and crying out, you prayed and stuck with me. On hand this dream in the bible said its good to be honest and lament and cry. There is a call to in the end trust and dont walk away from god. In the end, dont freak out and melt down. I like the fact that its got this, its not too stoic, but on the other hand saying dont give up either. Its great. There is a value in faith and pain head on . Pain will make you better or worse. It will make you stronger or weaker. Its not going to loaf you as you are. Some people say i lost faith because of suffering and some say i found god because of suffering. Its not the suffering, its how you respond to it. Its not the suffering itself. Obviously learning to process it moans everything. Some people have a harder time getting over it than other people. There is an acute space when somebody dies. I think most people get into a sort of life goes on mode just the same, but some people dont. They dont. They have profound problems. How do you deal with that . I think at the humanistic level, you have a choice to get selfabsorb and stay that way. Suffering always makes you not care about anybody but yourself at the moment. Ittic mas you think about yourself. You can hardly worry about anybody else. You have no margins and you can get stuck there. You can feel noble and feel like nobody suffered like me. You can get stuck in that or say im going to serve other people and care about other people and im going to think of somebody but myself. Obviously at a more theological level, you will look to god and yourself. If you love god and your neighbor despite your pain, you dont get stuck. You lost your father in february . In february and my mom. This week. This is incredibly common. Other people louz one parent and another parent shortly there after. Did you counsel your mother on how to deal with the grief of having lost your father in that interval . No, but my father was much more coherent than my mother. She was not. My sister and i are the only ones from my parents. I did try to prepare her and myself because im a pastor. I have been through this a lot. I hardly ever see older people outlive each other more than a few months. Hardly ever. We just show how important love s. Its the main tie keeping each other going. When is going, the other goes. If my mother died first, i dont think my father would have lived long. Extraordinary thing that works so frequently about the age. It shows the importance of the bond. This book is not you dont put a smiley face on it. Its not an im okay, youre okay. Its a black topper. Advertising pain and suffering. No matter what precautions we take, no matter how well you put together a good life, something will inevitably ruin it. Human is fragile and subject to forces beyond our power to manage. Life is fragile. It is. Yeah and the other thing is the reason we ought to read stuff like that, we had an article in the New York Times called the value of suffering. He has a japanese and lives in japan though he was born and raised in britain. He said when the tsunami hit where thousands of people died, he said there was more panic in california than in japan. His point was that western people are the worst people in the history of the world at handling suffering. Our culture here. Its another reason why we need to come to grips with it. My oldest son who went to work in el salvador in the horrible flooding in america said the thing he came back with was that they are happy. They are so happy. Everything washed away on monday and they are smiling and picking you up on tuesday, wednesday, thursday. It was stunning to me. It sounds like it echoes here. Yeah. Reverend tim keller, the book is walking with god through pain and suffering. Thank you. Always great to have you here. Our next guest will tell us how to make sure your career doesnt go bust. I knew that. Michael ryan joins us with tips that include why bosses apparently are human too. What . Hes going to need to come in here and explain that. Well be right back. Dad dad katy perry is coming to town. Can we get tickets, pleeeeease . . . Tickets . Hmm, sure. How many . Well, theres hannah, maddie, jen, sara m. , sara b. , sa whoa, whoa. Hold on. under his breath here it comes. We cant forget about your older sister thank you, thank you, thank you seriously . What . I get 2x the thankyou points on each ticket. Can i come . Yep. The Citi Thankyou preferred card. Now earn 2x the points on entertainment and dining out, with no annual fee. To apply, go to citi. Com thankyoucards mom swaps one of my snacks for a yoplait. I dont mind, i mean its orange creme. And when mom said bobby was too edgy. sup girl. I just swapped him out for tyler. sup girl. Mom never questioned bobby again. Two can play at this game. [ female announcer ] swap one snack a week for a yoplait. And everybody wins. Yoplait. It is so good. I want peacocks. Peacocks . Walking the grounds. In tuscany. [ man ] her parents didnt expect her dreams to be so ambitious. Italy . Oh, thats not good. [ man ] by exploring their options, they learned that instead of going to italy, they could use a Home Equity Loan to renovate their yard and have a beautiful wedding right here while possibly increasing the value of their home. You and roger could get married in our backyard. Its robert, dad. [ female announcer ] come in to find the right credit options for your needs. Because when people talk, great things happen. Humans. Even when we cross our ts and dot our is, we still run into problems. Namely, other humans. Which is why at Liberty Mutual insurance, auto policies come with new car replacement and accident forgiveness if you qualify. See what else comes standard at libertymutual. Com. Liberty mutual insurance. Responsibility. Whats your policy . Something a little different for business before the bell this morning. Former Vice President of the arizona republic, michael ryan. Hes the author of the boom boom book. Practical tips to make sure your career doesnt go bust. How do you save my job . You are doing well. I think when i first mentioned pensacola back in 1994, he was running for congress. It came into the newspaper for another Board Meeting against these other four prominent republicans. Hes a nice guy and he doesnt stand a chance. Little did i know, you go on and win the nomination. What was it about him that made him overcome that . He was in this and i talk about it in the book, but having that desire. So often people are influenced by what others say. If this is what you want to do, go for it and dont let others dissuade you. When joe got to congress, you think he is rough now, he is mild. He wanted to close the governmental agencies and unlike the governor from texas, he could remember which government want departments he wanted. Thats right. A problem there. Red hot and smart. Lets see. We have tips. The person you have to keep happy in your life is you. What . Exactly. Too often people are trying to do stuff that others want them to do. The only way you are going to succeed in is making sure you do things you want to do. They may be in a job they dont like, but find an outlet that inspires you. Dont put all your eggs in your career. You say that all the time to young women. I do. Thats the issue because i saw a lot of people in my own company who were invested in their career, but all of a sudden bad things can happen to good people and they are out. Especially if you hang out with john heilman. If they remember, bosses are human too. We are skeptical. I tell you why. Heres the deal. Bosses are as human as you are. If you give them positive feedback when they help you on something, they will be more inclined to help you going on. I remember in pensacola when i was managing editor when joe was at pensacola. A reporter was reading a self evaluation and wrote how much she appreciated when i talked to her. Who do you think i spent time with some i spent time with her. Too often people with bosses sit back and think things are going to happen. I say you need to be in the droifrs se drivers seat and what you want. We like our bosses. We do. You never let them tell you what you want. We will have to work with ow that. We will advocate for you. Be more direct. You are going to do it. Be more direct. It is great to see you again and thank you very much for coming on. The book is the boom boom book. Practical tips to make sure your career doesnt go bust. Back in a minute. Before they sat down, one more time, just for themselves. Before the last grandchild. Before the first grandchild. Smile. Before katie, debbie, kevin and brad. There was a connection that started it all and made the future the wonderful thing it turned out to be. At bank of america, we know were not the center of your life, but well do our best to help you connect to what is. But it doesnt usually work that way with health care. With unitedhealthcare, i get information on quality rated doctors, Treatment Options and cost estimates, so we can make Better Health decisions. Thats health in numbers. Unitedhealthcare. If yand youre talking toevere rheuyour rheumatologistike me, about trying or adding a biologic. This is humira, adalimumab. This is humira working to help relieve my pain. This is humira helping me through the twists and turns. This is humira helping to protect my joints from further damage. Doctors have been prescribing humira for over ten years. Humira works by targeting and helping to block a specific source of inflammation that contributes to ra symptoms. For many adults, humira is proven to help relieve pain and stop further joint damage. Humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. Serious, sometimes fatal events, such as infections, lymphoma, or other types of cancer, have happened. Blood, liver and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening Heart Failure have occurred. Before starting humira , your doctor should test you for tb. Ask your doctor if you live in or have been to a region where certain fungal infections are common. Tell your doctor if you have had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have symptoms such as fever, fatigue, cough, or sores. You should not start humira if you have any kind of infection. Ask your doctor if humira can work for you. This is humira at work. At a ford dealer with a little q and a for fiona. Tell me fiona, whos having a big tire event . Your ford dealer. Who has 11 major brands to choose from . Your ford dealer. Whos offering a rebate . Your ford dealer. Who has the low price tire guarantee, affording peace of mind to anyone who might be in the market for a new set of tires . Your ford dealer. Im beginning to sense a pattern. Get up to 140 in mailin rebates when you buy four select tires with the Ford Service Credit card. Whered you get that sweater vest . Your ford dealer. Im sorry they feel this way. How do you lock at the family . How do you deny them access . It should be difficult. It is difficult. Im sorry, sir. The park service should be a shamed of themselves. Im not ashamed. You should be. This woman is doing her job. Im a 30year federal veteran and im out of work. Its because the government wants to pass a budget. Why do they keep going down there . Brian shackman, why do they keep going down there . Its stupid. Michele bachmann and others. Stay away unless you want to open it up. They throw out generalizations and get a citizen who knows what they are talking about and they throw it back in their faces. Yeah. All right. Stay away. Up next stay home. Wow. [ male announcer ] when we built the cadillac ats from the ground up to be the worlds best sport sedan. People noticed. The cadillac ats 2013 north american car of the year. Lease this cadillac ats for around 299 per month with premium Care Maintenance included. At any minute. You could be a victim of fraud. Most people dont even know it. Fraud could mean lower credit scores, higher loan rates. And maybe not getting the car you want. Its a problem waiting to happen. Check your credit score, check your credit report, at experian. Com americas number one provider of online credit reports and scores. Dont take chances. Go to experian. Com. Maestro of project management. Baron of the buildout. You need a permit. To be this awesome. And you. Rent from national. Because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle. And go. You can even take a fullsize or above, and still pay the midsize price. aaron purrrfect. vo meeeow, business pro. Meeeow. Go national. Go like a pro. To some of us, doing the right thing in congress is not about helping a political party. Its about trying to help the people that elected us. Its about trying to do whats right for the whole country. And if your heart doesnt break when you read these stories and when you take the phone calls and if your heart doesnt that is compelling stuff. Look at the graphics and look at films. Close day four. Mika, what did you learn . There a lot of people working hard. They are not getting paid and they should get the respect they deserve from members of congress who are hired to serve this country. And the senate. Four baseball games in one day. It only happens about once a year when you get playoff games in day. Thats the day. Its great. Kwanzaa and hanukkah all wrapped up into one. I learned the republicans think they are winning this. Heres a fascinating thing. How would we react differently if we knew a woman was armed with a baby in the back with the debt ceiling if the fear of what happened could go on in the next two weeks. No doubt about it. Did you