There will be those that say that the president lost the turned. They now see that they are able to walk all over them. There is another way of looking at that. At the nine seats can use this to galvanize support from the europeans and other quarters around the world to show the International Community that iran is still aggressive. There are two interpretations that you offered us what what do you side with. Yit there is a bit of truth in both. The iranians right now may see this as a green light. The president may be forced to respond. And by the way it doesnt mean that he could not attack tomorrow. If he sees and opportunity. Even though he is going to come under fire. I do see an opportunity right now by not attacking we could still recruit others in this Important Campaign is working. They are in deep trouble right now. The currency is dropping unemployment is rising and they are potentially can a c and needed to come to the negotiating table. As i look at it. Its one of escalation here. They have done something on the oil terminals. They insist its in international waters. Its a calculated gamble that they cant escalate tensions in a way that will somehow get them off the hook on these sanctions. He it is been carrying out violence in the United States. The asymmetric attacks. This is an extension of what we had been seen by the iranians for quite some time. The question that i would ask relation. They dont shoot down unarmed American Drones drones every day in international waters. Ig they are also challenging the freedom of navigation. It is potentially Setting Oil Prices higher and making insurance more difficult to obtain they are trying to make it more difficult for the United States to obtain that. In the meantime threatening but certainly we can see the iranians push things further. I agree with you. That would be a really good outcome here. They are now going to meet at china. Soon to see if they can salvage the nuclear accord. Instead of moving it towards President Trump. They are trying to salvage what the president has already gotten out of. We actually saw the germans come out. And verify the u. S. Intelligence. We also had a summit next week between the National Security uniteds of russia states and israel where they will be talking about iran and what the next steps are. The broader challenge that p iran poses to the region. Do you see any challenge. Up and actually talk to renegotiate the terms of the nuclear deal. D its hard to imagine that they will and what the iranian said very clearly is that all of this rests on the Supreme Leader of iran. For all of the talk about moderates or some sort of import democracy. It all rests on the one man who is deeply ideological and anti american and has said he does not wish to engage with the United States after the unraveling of the joint comprehensive plan of action. So far he doesnt seem to have any intention of doing that. Thank you for being with us. When we come back amid rising global tensions President Trump makes his reelection bid. Will it be enough to win him a second term. Excuse me. Uh. Do you mind. Being a motour . What could be better than being a motour . The real question is. Do you mind not being a motour . I do. For those who were born to ride, theres progressive. I do. danny after a long day of hard work. You have to do more work . vo automatically sort your expenses and save over 40 hours a month. danny every day youre nearly fried to a crisp, professionally vo you earned it, were here to make sure you get it. Quickbooks. Backing you. Who used expedia to book the Vacation Rental that led to the ride which took them to the place where they discovered that sometimes a little down time can lift you right up. Flights, hotels, cars, activities, Vacation Rentals. Expedia. Everything you need to go. Expedia. Its tough to quit smoking cold turkey. So chantix can help you quit slow turkey. 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Only for a limited time. Paul i have news for democrats that want to return us to the bitter values of the past. We are not goingha back we are going to victory. He kicks off his campaign for a second term. The president leaning heavily. Will that be enough to return him to the white house in 2020. Lets bring in our panel. D and before we get to the reelection issue. Let me ask you about iran. What do you make of that president s stand out on the military strike. Its very strange i think in one respect. It is that is that where we are now with iran it was entirely predictable certainly after the United States moved the Aircraft Carrier grouplf into the gulf. On the basis of intelligence. It was possible it wouldha have wouldve escalated to this point. They wouldve had to start thinking about this and i think it was predictable after the president pulled out of the iran nuclear deal. This was going somewhere. In the iranians were to produce a strategy to try to get the u. S. To back down from that nuclear deal. I would subsume the pentagon has a idea of what they might do at this point in time. Me it depends a lot of how it plays out. If they decide to escalate in the interpret this as a sign of weakness then the president is gonna get forced down a road. Maybe even a bigger military caption. If they decide we will renegotiate. Then the it may look like a stdecision that is salvageable. That is a big deal. Turn to the reelection theme. What do you think his theme for reelection as. What is his argument. The argument is he is tryinged to run on the economy. I think its can good to be a problem. Thats usually not a winning issue. He will have to develop one to be able to move forward. He is not a policy walk. But he could put some proposals out there or talk about how he wants to expand health care. He could talk about how he wants to finalize the china deal if thats not done by then. They really struck me. He said to the voters. The democrats are to take you off the cliff. That you just cant afford to go there. Why the president is pitching it that way. The president can still talk about democrats are dangerous and unhinged. He said that a vote for any of these sites. As you say if he is the nominee that may work. If it some like joe biden may not. I think the president mentioned Hillary Clinton all the time. She is not to be on the ballot much to his intimate dismay. Lets give him the fact that 2016 was an extraordinary unpredictable victory. It was a big achievement for him. And he cherishes it. It is overwhelming. You cant win a president ial election with 43 percent of the vote. Who might be independent. He has to make an argument to peoplet merely to the in those rallies who put him across and 2016. One of the things that is interesting. Seen that the democrats are radical on that. Ul he did talk about the economy a lot. This is can be an electric election where they really come to the forefront. It wasnt just about the economy. Lets be honest. Shes can want to stress that again. The fundamental challenge in my mind is that you cant forget that they one. It doesnt have to do all of that at her. Over some of the state borders. Negative 13 in wisconsin. He has to t do that. When some of those suburban women back. A closer look at where he stands in the polls as he kicks off his reelection bid. With high protein and 1 gram sugar. Its a situp, banana bend at the waist im tryin keep it up. Youll get there. Whoahoahoa 30 grams of protein, and one gram of sugar. Ensure max protein. Iand i dont add up the years. But what i do count on. Is staying happy and healthy. So, i add protein, vitamins and minerals to my diet with boost®. Boost® high protein nutritional drink has 20 grams of protein, along with 26 essential vitamins and minerals your body needs. All with guaranteed great taste. And now try new boost® peaches and creme natural flavor. With 27 vitamins and minerals and 10 grams of protein. Boost®. Be up for life™. Our economy is the envy of the world perhaps the greatest economy we had have in the history of our country and then as we long as we keep this team in place the future has never that was President Trump on tuesday. He made his case for reelection. Lets ask republican pollster. Great to see you again. Lets just take a look at where you think the president is now. Tat is this you need for reelection. There is two types of models out there. One is an economic model. They are based more on pulling in other factor. I think right now its kind of too early to tell certainly the in rankings he gets from a variety of different voter groups. The majority of americans is very positive. You look at the disconnect its above 50 in the average one i see is 44 percent. How do you explain that disconnect. The unfavorable waiting. In the day he was sworn in. There is a group some of which like what he is doing policy wise particularly on the economy but dont like his personaha and then there is some that put a priorityik on that. They like what he is doing policy wise. Thats we get the split. What that suggest. It did not get the dominant issue. If it continues to be quite strong some of the character issues argument come to the floor the more he focuses on the economy and kind of moves away from the tweets of the day and some of the things he does on other issues. Not the Republican Base but the trump base. That was his advantage in 2016. They did not have intensity in their favorable base. At the end of the day and especially with the numbers that i look outhi very at very closely as the gender gap. You get very poor ratings. Where they give them a rating on the economy they are in the high 50s low 60s. They dont like his persona they do like his policies on the economy he needs to show that is the important part. I was looking at the wall street journal poll the president now has a 20point negative rating among College Educated white women. And that went against republicans in the swing district. They ask to asked to get some of those back. The bigger concern in the gender gap has always been more of a racial gap. Are they married or not married as opposed to a lot of those are single. Where we do sees concern. We only have a fourpoint lead. White women over all that we usually went between four and eight points. When an eightpoint deficit. At least in the numbers that im looking at. Those are both again if you take those two groups they give him over a 57 Approval Rating now only on the economy but on jobs. It is education and healthcare. He would do very well. Bringing those women back. I know its early. One of the themes that is emerging. Some of the states that they wanted comfortably in 2016 texas georgia. 2 they look to be and play at this time. Do you think thats realistic. As at something he has to Pay Attention to. Florida well certainly be in play. We have him behind in North Carolina and pennsylvania. He moved forward to a lead in all four of those states and as what brought him the presidency. Those are the states to really watch. Bi the polls our crazy they dont really model thus. The actual voters who will come out our bases can be mobilized and that will be the key to the race. Every time i hear some Campaign Advisor say ignore the polls they are just trying to distract from what the bad poll results. What would you watch trying to measure how will they are. They try to model of the sample based on what they think the electorate will be. W we watch very closely intensity. Both on our side in the trump base. But an equal intensity with the democratic side. The overall numbers at this point are not very good at predicting what is can happen the movement on intensity is. And as a thing to watch in the coming months. Thank you so much for coming in. See mac as the democratic president ial hopefuls prepare for the first debates next week joe biden is facing a backlash over his comments on working with segregation as senators. All of the latest from the campaign trail. This is a commercial about insurance and i know youre thinking. I dont want to hear about insurance. cause lets be honest. Nobody likes dealing with insurance. Right . See, esurance knows its expensive. I feel like im giving my money away. So theyre making it affordable. Thank you, dennis quaid. Youre welcome, guy in kitchen. I named my character walter. Thats great. Id tell you more but i only have thirty seconds so heres a dramatic shot of their tagline so youll remember it. When insurance is affordable, its surprisingly painless. Control your blood sugar around the clock. And with a 0 copay, lets groove tonight. Thats something to groove about. Toujeo is used to control high blood sugar in adults with diabetes. 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Great tasting, hearthealthy california walnuts. So simple, so good. Get the recipes at walnuts. Org. Too many people a restless nights sleep. Theres a better choice. Aleve pm. The only one to combine a safe sleep aid and the 12hour painrelieving strength of aleve. That dares to last into the morning. So you feel refreshed. Aleve pm. Theres a better choice. Paul as democrats gear up for their first debates next week, a series of recent as democrats gear up for their first debates next week a series is showing the massachusetts sender dash Mike Elizabeth warren on the rise. In leading and a s recent survey out of nevada a new National Poll shows her gaining on sanders as well. They face a backlash from his democratic competitors. He wants work with as an example of the ability to collaborate and build consensus during his years in the senate. Does he deserve this criticism from his democratic competitors . Some of the democrats in congress are standing up for him. Where would i be if in 1992 when i came to washington i refuse to work with my state senators. That is can hold a lot of weight. One of the huge advantages is he is pulling very well against black voters. It is understandable why democrats are going after him in this way. Im not sure that its going to work. He was in favor of segregation. Do you think that is unfair as well. Theyre also trying to make him apologize for every single thing. His argument is a lot of the public out there wants washington to come together and try to get something done. We dont do business with those who think those sort of things. It is the conservative movement in the eyes of liberals. They are morally reprehensible. Lets turn to elizabeth warren. Is it the real thing. And what is behind it. One of the narratives is that people that are bit scared off by bernie are moving as somebody who is just about as left as he is. What is interesting is who this helps if you looked at the poll numbers that you just showed up. He is at 32 and warn plus sanders is at 29 percent. What is the appeal of warren. I am a capitalist who wants to fix and save capitalism. They want to reenter engineer in the u. S. Economy. Break up tech companies. They also talk about stakeholders. They should be accountable to stakeholders. This would be a complete overhaul. They are now chartered at the state level. They need to answer to the stakeholders not to shareholders. That would be a really radical move. Does the fact that she doesnt call herself associate list is that reassuring to a lot of the democratic voters. M she may actually be might actually be a better candidate against trump. She is proposing like semi socialism. I think that speaks theth finding themselves as a socialist. That was a mistake. Much more like the obama economy. Heavy government involvement in the private sectors in corporations. Raising the question of whether the socalled new normal 2 growth. You can be mitigated by the rest of the program essentially. New entitlement programs. A huge wealth tax. To pay for programs that would make up for 2 growth. How does it square with that square with the fact that if you look at the polls. Most of them say we dont want a radical transformation up there. That is not return to normalcy. Some might be generational. Part of the reason that it may be rising. They want to see a woman in the white house. Aley dont want to see a mid 70s guy in the white house. And there may be some generational effects at work here too. S to dance point. I think its just more than a socialism label. When he was asked a couple months ago. Whether the Boston Marathon bomber that was convicted in jail should have the righ