O. J. Simpson process of white celebrity know the defendants trial with the nation in the 19th and much of the world. The i been fizzling. Welcome. The president of the United States dro bite and has bound to defend the philippines and japan, offering his staunch support to his pacific allies. Hes posted the 1st try latrell summit in washington. China is going military assertiveness in asia top. The agenda of corresponded james jacob reports the Prime Minister of japan in washington. This week, a rupture as reception for the us is in the pacific allies, japanese Prime Minister, feed me, in case you to became only his country. Secondly, thats a form of the address. The us congress issuing stone warnings about the threats posed by bay. James in china is current external stance and military actions present. Im press the dentist and the greatest strategic challenge to shoot. This remarks came amid a flurry of diplomatic activity, reclaimed, galvanizing washingtons asian allies shortly off to a historic, 1st of a tri last rule summits between the leaders of the us, japan and the philippines. But the focus of that me thing, growing concerns in manila and so po, about maritime disputes with beijing, china, in recent months, the steps of progression against the philippine vessels in the south trying to seek out the summits, washingtons message to its to mutual defense treaty allies we will stand by our promises. I want to be clear, the United States, United States defense commitments to japan. And to the philippines, our iron clad or our class china has set the meeting, starts block confrontation, as in it was being smooth and attacked. Maybe the us depend, relationship should not harm other countrys interest not undermine Regional Peace and stability. Back in washington beneath the diplomatic sensor, a sense of urgency. The question mark sent over the coming us selection. And whats the victory for former President Trump would mean for hes countries commitments overseas . Japans lead a ones of washingtons waning support, the ukraine, and its implications for asia. The leadership of the United States is indispensable. We have the presence of the United States. How long before the the in the pacific woods phase even has shown veritas. In his address, casey, the set of wells, was a historic turning. In the face of such challenges, these really distorts the cost of vision of unity. One that will ensure the in the pacific security for us to come. Its the last james change of what this i inquired. Commitment means well, president binding made it very clear that these mutual defense treaties that exist. For example, with the philippines does extend to the types of maritime vessels, which weve seen china targeting in the South China Sea over recent months. Now this is nothing new position for washington. This is a position thats been house for a long time now. But what we can tell from the reiteration, the very strong reiteration that we saw from President Biden is the importance really that there attaching to this issue. Its important to point out that these mutual defense treaties that exist with the us and the philippines in the us and japan. They operate on a bilateral level. This is nelson asian style. Nice. So that we seeing come into fruition here. But what washington really is trying to do, especially with this child actual some, this is bring this highlights in the region even close it together. And were seeing that especially in, in the form of the relationship between folks here in manila. Currently, negotiating well could be a reciprocal access agreement, submitted trees, then ministries to be stationed on each of these territory. Okay, so close the size, but what about bolstering defenses against a potential chinese occasion . Besides those bases, you mentioned as well as upon them as the pains of course, been taking their own measures themselves upon as im taking a drastic over the whole of its defense spending freeze on point in the case of taiwan issuing and deploying more military units to southwest and orleans much closer to the time when these main non just a few 100 kilometers away. Weve also seen, for example, between the us and the philippines. And the us negotiating access to more military bases. Especially again in not northern province of the philippines. Very close to taiwan, but also with very important strategic implications for the philippines concerns in the South China Sea to other concerns that bidens promises could disappear under a trump presidency. For example, this one, this is the question, thats where the hanging of the old need is. In the, in the pacific of this year. And i think what we saw in the summit here really wasnt assets on the hoffman. All these need is to institutionalize to deepen these connections in these partnerships, to a level that, that makes it difficult. Should president s former President Trump come into the office again to undo some of our progress. We saw this really future heavily in keisha to speech, to the congress, appealing to both sides of the aisle in the us establishment, for example, saying that the us was critical to global security. Whether thats in europe, whether thats in the middle east or whether the us in the, in the pacific. But crucial, he also said, quote that the us should not be expected to do it tool, unaided and on your own. Of course, this is something that former President Trump has spoken about frequently, that the us as allies havent been doing enough to guarantee that own security. And so what we saw here from cation to really wasnt efforts to appeal to both sides of the aisle, and to ensure that goodwill that currently exists between all 3 of these countries will last be on november, the election, a, some security alliances, and the u. S. And china, james, thanks for the analysis of the drive that would save. And maggie or professor of politics and global studies at the International Christian university of tokyo, how much support is there in the region for granted us presence . First of all, thanks been for having me by large, what we see is that whether to solve these days of the create of south korea or other parts of the in the pacific, there is a large degree of support for more Us Engagement within the region. At the security level, diplomatic level, at economic level. In fact, most of the partners within the region would like to see the United States return to the c t p to anchor them in the region, but also develop more of a diplomatic resource to the region to deal with some of the challenges that the regions facing, but its not going to go as far as becoming an asian style nato was. Some people have been calling it know the regions to heterogeneous to establish the asians dont need to learn what were seeing in view of an asian. So nato is a series of mini lateral relationships, the problem solving ad hoc relationships that deal with specific issues within the region. Weve seen this with the philippines, australia, japan, and the United States in terms of the Maritime Cooperative Activities initiative. And well do which has in the South China Sea, but we saved all. Weve also seen this with the cab david principles between south korea, japan and United States to deal with issues in the korean peninsula. Its a mini lateral approach to problem solving within the region thats going to move forward. Rather, the natal is stephen, is that because everyones tip toeing around china, which is actually painting this is provocative as well. I think most of the countries within the region do see china as a revision has power that its a sort of in the South China Sea, across the timeless trace on the east, tennessee. But the same time their biggest trading partner is china. So how do they balance this important economic relationship that is the lifeline to the regions economy. And frankly, the gloves economy with its a sort of behavior thats highly disruptive and as time is kasheila said in a speech to the congress, as a fundamental is it successfully . Prosecuting is strategic in the interest within the region or fundamentally disrupt the regions, piece, instability. But the economic lead china is becoming less and less dependent on its neighbors and the rest of the world and is managing to do things on its own and lead the way where, where do you see all this then lead to what the state is trying to steal the center of the Global Production network. Uh for it. And its biggest trading partners are within the region, just with southeast asia. It has one trillion us dollars a trade which at about 390000000000. 00 of trade is the biggest trading part of south korea. In australia. Its still a critical part of the readings, the economy, and even as it tries to recalibrate and re send her to economy away from these economies. So its more diversified, its still dependent on these economies for uh, for, for consumption, for export. And i think importantly for technologies, and this is not going to change in the short term of 51020 years that the Chinese Government policies are successful. Maybe it will be able to recalibrate this. But at this stage, i think most analysts like myself believe that the coupling by china or the company from china is really not likely or possible. So in the short term, does china need containing . I think thats an interesting question. I think what china does need to do is, is work with partners within the region and really work within the current rules based order. Or if it wants to read a go straight that rules based or work with countries through a consultative mechanism that creates new rules that are mutually agreed upon within the region. And at this stage, we havent seen that with regards to the on costs agreement. Thats the United Nations closet sees in the South China Sea, rather than a bang this. The agreement that china assigned its ignored it and its continued to expand its presence in the South China Sea, threatening to philippines and vietnam, and other claimants within the region. This has consequences, the South China Sea represents about 5. 00 trillion us dollars of trade. Any kind of kinetic conflict within the region, which obviously disrupt not on the regions economy, but the global economy. I talking to steve and steve negatives, national question, universe, they talk to you. Thank you. Now to be involved with the military, john to has withdrawn from a busy trading have on the board with thailand. Its the latest set back for the regime which is facing growing up position from level forces and a shop dropping support among the civilian population. As as the tie border arrivals from me in march or up by almost 50 percent from you here across the over from the town of my wadi, after fighting between the military and armed groups or villages afraid of the situation. These people felt terrified, so they moved to me sort of scared. Yes, i do. Theres no fighting at the moment. Yes. Not in near what he told me. This time warner check is a short ride from where me a mars military government has been pushed back by rebels. Theyve been clashing near, constantly since october, when the rebels got together and a union of fighters to form a larger opposition for us. Its a sign of the moving on post road in power and popularity. They are also at odds with civilians for the posing the amaris democratically elected government run by on some sushi. Moving to in 2021 to be here in the holland. But as the displacement in conflict had been widespread since the drawn criticism, but its from the un, the democratically alexis, a 2800000 people have now been displaced, 90 percent of them since the military takeover. Many of these people require urgent access to food, shelter, and safety, the who to risk losing additional credibility for a strategic loss of my wadi, a Major Trading point that links myanmar to bangkok by highway rebel attacks on the military and civilians are on the rise. And type forces to no longer rely on the home to, to secure them in more side of the board. Lets take a look at some of the other stories making news. The day of the suspending old political activity. Mollys ruling winter has banned the media from reporting on activities of Political Parties and associations. Is not clear how the band will be enforced, but its already been rejected by the group that represents the journalist, symbolic, and september, the 1 to cancel the election scheduled for february this year in different have like the Ukrainian Parliament has passed a controversial to boost army con scripts, the new badges requirement to update the draft on to boost payments to volunteers, and allow some convicts to stuff and hit the vote in general, toll theyll make is the Russian Forces out number keeps troops up to 10 times on the eastern front. The italian co sconces, its rescue 59 migrants and recovered the bodies. 9 offers in the mediterranean and 2 separate incidents 1st and both this month was boat that had capsized in a storm. Just south of the island of band producer, a 2nd corporation was launched when a small wooden boat was spotted in trouble. South west of the extreme weather is sweeping over several parts of africa. Just this week, temperatures hit 48 and a half degrees celsius. Molly, which is africas hottest f a day recorded in the month of april. The heat wave has killed more than a 100 people over in the horn of africa as being heavy rain. And one incidents in northern kenya, a bus with more than 50 passengers, was swept away in front boards. All of those on board managed to escape to safety. But further south it sounded the lowry and bump way. Theyve all declared a state of disaster rains there. Having failed its routes as destroyed the harvest and agencies, same 24000000 people in the region, face hunger and mount nutrition. Scientists say these a bands are influenced by human made Climate Change, but also by natural way. The patents, like a video drought is a fact of life for many people in southern and eastern africa. But el nino events like the current one can make the problem much worse. Heres why. Although it occurs in the Pacific El Nino effects the weather right across our planet. Usually see winds push warm water from the west coast of south america across the ocean towards asia. But in el nino years, the waters off the coast of south america and the california heat up more than usual, that causes many rain clouds to form over this part of the ocean. Normally the strong winds along the equator would push the warm surface water to the west, feeding rainfall in asia and africa. But in the fall and winter of el nino years, these winds are weaker than usual and often blowing the wrong direction towards the east. That pushes the clouds inland, where they dump their rain in north, central and south america. This has knock on effect and the rest of the world, including africa, causing droughts and floods because of the changing rain patterns. This. And lets talk about these with patrons for software, from our environment to bump that beatrice. Tell us more about el nino and Climate Change. So scientists are still researching and discussing if there is a connection between the video and Climate Change. And theres no consensus yet, but there are some studies that suggest that Climate Change trippy making all new events stronger already and that they will become Even Stronger in the future. And thats because when we burn fossil fuels, that really says Greenhouse Gases into the atlas here and that heaps the out in this year. The warm air holds more moisture. So when we have an opening event, which is already kind of dropping rain in places there, there are usually drive. There was even more, there could be even more rain following because of Climate Change. That doesnt mean that everyone, the new event is influenced by Climate Change, but it makes a place like africa particularly vulnerable if they could be intensified. Why is that . Why africa . There are 2 reasons. First of all, Climate Change and doesnt affect all the world equally. And thats because Climate Change doesnt make extreme, it doesnt directly cause extreme weather, but it makes events a would have happened any way more common and more severe. So then is that a place where theres already drought, where there is already high temperatures, where theres already storms kind of change. Its just likely making the blakely or, and making them stronger. And then the other aspect with many african countries, was that, and its a place where there is a lot of weather related activities, economically speaking. So for example, a lot of it, you know, the vast majority of rain for agriculture in the world is in sub saharan africa. And then there is also, you know, phishing hurting. And that means that when Natural Disaster strikes it, you know, many communities are taking a massive financial hit if theyre not losing dark, all of their livelihood. So i completely, so whats africa is going to do . I mean, a big tub that is saying african. But whats the concept go to doing this and for the science of substance speaking of a 3 pronged approach. So there is a adaptation which for example, if we look at a place like somebody were now which is going through drought, we can look at drug resistant crops or fixing leaks and water pipes t