Transcripts For CNBC Mad Money 20141001 : comparemela.com

Transcripts For CNBC Mad Money 20141001

Began ti gigantic sales of merchandise. It all gets thrown out at once. Thats what happened today with the dow plunging 328 points. I know the market took a hit today, but even after todays sale, you need to know that were down only able 3 from the highs and there could be further to fall because the market has run a great deal. And we only fell back to where we were mid august. Im concerned that many of the big industrials, when they report their earnings, will disappoint wall street. Some of these stocks have been going down for ages. Others are just beginning to roll over. As i see it you have two choices here. You can be like warren buffet, take the paint and all will be well because its a great country. Given the declines we experienced, you may want to stay the course on everything. Or you can acknowledge that were going to roll back a little more, a decent chunk of the gains for the year. And you could take some evasive action. Given the economies are gets worse off, not better, it may be in the cards for many of the companies. And stay where they are or go higher. Let me stel you about the process of a correction. Let me teach you how a correction works. In order to explain why it doesnt pay to get too negative, and it never pays to panic, even though panic seemed right today. I like to break stocks down. I think we should separate fact from fiction. Which countries are really being hurt by the slow down and which are just collateral damage. Which are in a position to benefit from the chaos. As all stocks go down at the same time because theyre part of the averages. First off you have to some of the stocks are what you consider to be at ground zero, theyre at the epicenter of the problems. All of these declines feed off of each other in a negative way. Europe put sanctions on russia and it shows business. It hurts u. S. Exporters as they make less on each sale overseas. Here is the bad news, we have not had the estimate cuts from these countries yet. That means when these Companies Report earnings, were going to hear about these cuts. Commodity producers will likely go down even more like ford did when it was already well off its highs. It is now dawning on many investors that the cuts are coming. Many fell a great deal in anticipation for it. Its case by case. While nearly all of the t industrial commodities will fall, some have farther to go than others. Companies might get dinged enough for it to matter in their stocks. They may get hurt because of currency debasement. Not to mention drug companies. Theyre going to sell a lot of goods but they will make less money on them. The dollar is so strong. Then there is banks. It makes them more attractive. Even with all of these wrong headed people calling for Interest Rates, our rates go lower. We know that lower Interest Rates are bad for the banks and theyre barely down for their highs. And like consumer goods they will suffer from earnings cuts when they report. They need higher rates and theyre not getting them, you can people what will happen. All of them have been holding up rather well until today. They cant any more because the estimates are too high which means their stocks are too high. Finally, the earnings where companies are being cut overall. This is where the opportunity lies for you when the selloff ends and they always do. Retailers, restaurants, the American Consumer can feel down in the dumps from all of the headlines out there. To the confusion coming from the white house and everything from intruders to aggressive foreign policies that dont have much to do to help business. Thats okay, theyre not meant to. In the end the profits might be better than people think. Why . Gasoline is going through 3 for much of the country. Thats better for a consumer than a 1,000 tax cut. We may not be hiring as quickly as we were, the consumer is losing is less fearful of losing her job than a year ago. Third, many businesses are what we call secular growers with more products that people like and use. Facebook with their new movies or apple with the phones and watch. These stocks will bounce back first. Their earnings will not be challenged. Defense stocks are also being put on sale here. Think lockheedmartin. The bioteches are on sale. Going back to a super store throwing a super sale, you have to consider the customer and how weak they are. You may have cash on hand, but i can tell you that a ton of new merchandise has been issued recently. Including alibaba. There is a lot of hedge funds leaning the wrong way. I interviews jack lou about fannie mae stock. Yesterday, a judge agreed that the stock got killed. Those owners are hurting and they could be selling to meet redemptions by the end of the year. Others remember octobers of recent past and they think this is a month where you could have horrendous stock selling. For some, they should not be sold but they will be sold nanny, and there is a third group that will fall because theyre about to have earnings short falls. I have been sounding alarms on these for weeks. I hope you will cut back, i dont want you to lose money. The stocks that dont deserve to go down but are going down anyway, theyre going to bottom fe first and they can be picked at. I think were getting close to the level at the end of the day where there are many stocks that could be bargains. We got this employment number on friday, i would like to see it. I think everything is going down for now. Now hurry. I sense there will be time to buy the good ones. So here is the bottom line. Dont panic in the face of this nasty correction. It is realistic to expect a further decline. Be prepared with your shopping and return list and well get through this just fine. Al in florida, al. Go ahead, al. Michael in california . Caller booyah, jim, thank you for taking my call. Of course. Caller my question is about the company bioscript. Its the Third Largest Infusion Company behind walgreens and cvs. They are favoring the home Health Sector and this stock has been depressed and there was rumors of a buyout by a private equity firm and what not. That will be affected by walgreens use that had will sell some of its infusion division. When we get these big corrections, i try to look at the Companies Making a lot of money, not the ones not making a lot of money. So lets hold off on that one. I need to go to brian in pennsylvania, please. Caller my 24yearold daughter let me manage her roth ira. I want to do a good job. I bought air lease. Do i sell, hold, or use this decline in price as a buying opportunity . The drop in oil price is good, the ebola virus, there is a panic attacking hold. I wont be able to stem that. That means that travel goes lower, boeing goes lower and air lease goes lower. It only has 8 of the year. I think you can return to the levels it was at before the most recent bounce and only when it hits 118 would i consider buying air lease, they trade together. Caller im in buffalo new york, ambarella. This is affiliated with go pro. I said if you have not taken any profits in go pro, youre being risky. I could not have been better on go pro at any point in my life. I think i have every right to say its okay to take profits in go pro. Take profits, also in ambarella. There is three that are in trouble for me. Companies that will dinged up and company thats are not likely to be cut at all but are going down too. On mad money tonight, 81 Million People a month look for a home on zillow. And is ford being left behind in the car market . The serious relationship that ebay and apple almost had. Today could be the day. The day we give you hope. Relief. A cure. Today, we believe every life deserves worldclass care. As one of the top four hospitals in the nation, over 100,000 people from around the world come to Cleveland Clinic for care each year. And were ready for you with a Second Opinion or a sameday appointment today today today and everyday. Call today, for an appointment today. It is about to get bigger with their aquisition. Monday we learned that news corp is required move, the owner of realtor. Com. It is really zillows last meaningful competitor. Will it matter . It will make up 61 of the online real estate listing market. Zillow latest outlooks are solid. Meanwhile the stock is up 36 . Now down 50 points from its high. Lets check in and get a better sense of where the company is going. Good to see you, have a seat. Rupert murdoch, he buys a competitor, what does it do for zillows margins . I think the Real Estate Industry will realize its rupert. Com, and that will make them want to partner with zillow. Com. We have a large audience. We have a Business Model which is listing agent friendly, broker friendly. And many people have partnered with zillow. I think the acquisition means that more people will realize it is just another portal and they should work with zillow. The numbers have come out, you are growing much faster. We are, we started this company nine years ago and we zoomed past the competition. Were gaining shares each and every quarter. Did you ever consider buying realtor. Com. You said you would not buy them, you would destroy trulia. We did consider buying them, yes. And the thing is, on the internet experience rules. If you build a great product, you get the audience lead, and if you have the lead, the audience follows. Its hard to return around a struggling brand online. Once the audience starts to buy, it is hard to turn around. Trulia and zillow have unique users. We separated ourselves quite a bit to that when we bought them the Exchange Ratio was off. It is about growing zillow bigger and we think it will be a great brand in the family. It will be a separate grand still, advertisers will buy from zillow and they will be on both sites. Our traffic has grown so quickly that we have lots of inventory and ads to tell. We had 15,000 agents spends about 240 a month saving. Now we have 60,000 agents spending over 300 a month. As you mentioned, the revenue per agent continues to grow as well. Stocks are down 50, so i try to figure out, some people think you paid too much or how about these, i spoke with a professor yesterday that said price of homes are peaks. We know that mortgage refi are big. Is it possible there is another slow down coming and people will not be looking as aggressively for homes. Im not worried about that. Whats happening is home values are increasing about 5 year over year. So home values are slowing, but the migration for shopping on to online and on to mobile, i think that swamps any potential real estate slow down. Were not forecasting a real significant slow down. Its kind of a choppy Real Estate Market. Some parts of the country still growing as quickly, others not. The Real Estate Market is growing more slowly. Your usage in san francisco, has it drop snd. No, not at all. You said once you would spend a lot of money on advertising. I watch a lot of nfl football. I mean is it working . You spend a lot of money on nfl football . We do advertise a lot, were spending about 75 million. Its working. You see it in the audience number and the traffic growth. It is the largest Real Estate Market out there. Talk about street easy. That looks like that was a good buy. New york center, new york was a market you werent doing well in. You had to do it, right . Zillow was the largest in every city but new york. So street easy is an incredible brand for new york. A year ago we bought it for 50 million, we took the zillow play book to new york which means focus on mobile. We launched a mobile website, and then i phone, i pad, and android ads. I could not be more excited about street easy in new york. Last question. Marisa meyer, from yahoo, just got 5. 8 million after tax. Im not a particular d is thee a price . This could be a good deal for you, you could start another company, you could stay with it, but this is how i would this is how i would turn my company around. Yeah. I dont know for us we feel like were still pretty early and with the tr urulia acquisition, dont think its the right time to sell. Thank you, thats what i wanted to know. Always great to have you. Thank you. Shares of ford are in reverse after big losses abroad. Is this a buying opportunity or are there more roadblocks ahead . Dont miss cramers take. Memo to every board of director out there, when Companies Take my advice stocks go higher, sometimes much higher. A few weeks ago i told you that angies list, a business that has been having troubles, was not worth owning. I also said they could be incredibly valuable to an inquirer. And that the right buyer could turn this business into a legitimate competitor. Angies list has hired Investment Bankers to explore options, including a sale. This stock last year that was going down sored right into the stratosphere. Looks like i was a little too harsh on the people running angies list. Listen for those of you who own angies list against my advice, i would use this rare moment of strength to ring the register and get out. It is sti it is simply too risky to own. Remember i never give you my blessing for takeover speculation in a situation where the fundamentals are in decline. If they are good, i will bless it. Angies list has serious structural problems. They require subscribers to pay a fee. That just doesnt fly. Also, angies has to spend an unholy amount of money on sales and marketing, about 84 of company revenues. As long as theyre charging people for content, it will not reach the level of people needed. Potential buyers, listen up. If you were to buy angies list, make it easy for your billion plus users to access the companys content, it could be a great acquisition. When the company floated the idea of a sale, its stock went through the roof. So for every our corporate director is listening, maybe the lunatic with the sound effects board, to think if only for the benefit of your long suffering shareholders. Here is another piece of management advice for all of you ceos out there, dont wait to look. Consider ebay. Earlier this year, noted activist carl icon got involved. Finally they announced theyre going to spin off paypal. Today they got hit with a slew of analyst downgrades. Theyre looking so bright with so many other companies rolling out mobile and online payments of their own. Ebay is not that strong either. Spinning off paypal would have been great a year or two ago. Now with apple pay, theyre just acting desperate. According to a story with bank innovation, they apparently made a really poorly timed deal with samsung that infuriated apple. The partnership was forced on by the ceo. The former president of paypal left and joined facebook over the summer. Im starting to wonder ifthey have caused problems for themselves at ebay. But now, apple has surrourounde nearly everyone in the industry that matters, including visa and masterca mastercard. These partnerships are everything. Even apple didnt try and go it alone. They teamed up with with the best chip makers and merchants. Paypal is their own mobile payments app to let you buy things in the store but only at participating retailers and theyre having trouble getting people to participate. I think theyre growth could be crimped by all of the problems in the mobile payment space. Listen up, ebay. Dont wait until youre backed into a corner to do something for your shareholders. By that point you may have waited too long. Sam. Caller im a first time caller, you mentioned that American Airlines is in the first place in the airline industry. Now youre saying American Airlines is even if American Airlines is 22 below their peak. And it is trickling down, how far may it go down. I rerank things because Companies Get better and worse. I reranked them. If i didnt then i might as well not have a show. Amr came down a great deal, the shards look horrible. People are worried about that and about ebola virus. I understand. I think that is overdone. If you apt star position here, thats fine, i expect the stock to trade lower, but i will bless it as a starting position. If you own a ton of it, its not necessarily going to rally here. Rodney in mississippi, please, rodney. Hey, jim, the longer i hold on to it the less i like it, should i cut her loose or keep her . What we did with dean foods, we recommended it and when we saw the quarter, we said that was a mistake, we devoted a full segment to saying we got it wrong. It didnt go down that much, but we said we got it wrong and moved on. I dont like dean foods. Its difficult to say listen, i blew it it, but when i do i own it and say it. Mike in california. Big time booyah from levi stadium. Hey, jim, i wanted to ask you a question. In todays stock that i have been watching and thinking about purchasing in, it was up 3 during the day and gave back most of it during this down day. I like the fundamentals of this company and the division. Youre dead right, they have good management. Theyre no longer under the thumb of sears. I think its a domestic play works. Not even needs to be thrown out. Some stocks, when all of the selling is done, are going to do okay. I like lands end. Memo to management. Well have more coming up on mad money. Plus, america found more oil than anyone thought possible. Instead of investing your dollars in a driller that may come up dry, buy the company that has to touch it before it gets used. I know i should be used to this by now, but it drives me crazy that so many people dont understand something so basic about the stock market. People on twitter dont believe that, or at least some of them. When you buy a stock, you dont want to have to change your mind or sell it for a loss. You buy is because it makes sense for the inputs. Youre buying that with a thesis in mind. But if the thesis changes, the inputs go wrong, you will have to change too. You will lose money, thats just what happens. We have to make decisions based on the knowledge we have and whether the stock and your bank account can withstand the pain. You cant invest like Warren Buffett because unlike him, you cant afford to wait forever. Being a billionaire has its perks, thats one of them. Ford motor told us for months that europe was looking better and south america was not a hardship case any more. Then ford took it back. Europe bad, south america terrible, and the United States worst than they thought as well. None of these were in the script a few months

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