This is bbc news with the latest headlines for viewers in the uk and around the world. A senior government minister warns the second coronavirus lockdown in england could last more than a month and says any decision would depend on how much the restrictions brought down levels of infection. We need to recognise that we do need to get the infection rate, the r rate, below one. We believe on the basis of the evidence that we have that we will be able to do so. The uk Opposition Leader welcomes the new measures, but calls on the government to use the time to ramp up test and trace. The government has to keep its side of the bargain here because if they dont use this time to fix test, trace and isolate, then i think the
2nd of december will be a review date, not an end date. The most powerful storm of the year, typhoon goni strikes the philippines, bringing wind speeds of up to 225 kilometres an hour. Rescued after thirty three hours search teams in the turkish city of izmir pull a man from under the rubble of a building that collapsed in fridays earthquake. 51 people are known to have died. Donald trump and joe biden each make a last bid for votes in swing states that could be key to winning the white house. And spain braces itself for a long winter a week after its goverment announced a six month state of emergency. Hello, and welcome if youre watching in the uk or around the world and stay with us for the latest news and analysis from here and across the globe. Iam shaun i am shaun ley. The senior british cabinet minister, michael gove, has said englands new coronavirus lockdown could be extended beyond the planned four weeks. The new restrictions will come into force on thursday, but unlike in the spring, schools and universities will remain open. Mr gove said any decision would depend on how much the restrictions brought down the levels of infection, as our political correspondent, helen catt, explains. We know we are going into this on thursday, but how long are we going to stay in it is the question we have heard being asked around the regional lockdowns, for example, that there were towns and cities that went into these much more stricter measures several months ago. Not quite lockdown level, but stricter measures and they are still in them, so there have been these ongoing questions about, well, what actually means you can lift stricter restrictions . And of course when you are
talking about a national lockdown, that becomes even more acute, shall we say . Yeah. So this morning, michael gove, the Cabinet Office minister, who is one of the most senior ministers here in the uk, has been out talking to broadcasters. Borisjohnson had said yesterday that this is in place until december 2nd, so it was put to michael gove, is december 2nd an absolute date and we will lift restrictions then . What we need to do is to recognise and im sure we will go into the reasons why these measures are appropriate but we do need to recognise that we do need to get the infection rate, the r rate, below one. We believe on the basis of the evidence that we have that we will be able to do so and that from the 2nd of december, we will be able to move back to a fully regional approach, a tiered approach, but obviously we will be guided by the facts and given, of course, the way in which the virus has shown a particular malignancy a particular malignancy in the course of the last two weeks
we do need to be vigilant, but our assumption on the basis of everything we know is that we will be able to exit these National Restrictions on the 2nd of december. So there is clearly a debate going on in government and indeed within the conservative party. You have talked already to us this morning about the unease among some conservative backbenchers about this approach. What are the opposition going to do . Is the Labour Party Going to swing in behind Boris Johnson on this . Yes, insofar as the labour party were proposing a two week circuit breaker, as they called it, a similar national lockdown, a couple weeks ago. They wanted it to start last week, so as far as they are concerned this is too late and in wales, which is labour run, they are in the middle of a circuit breaker, which actually they will come out of on the 9th of november as england goes in, it is all quite confusing. So in principle they are absolutely backing this, even though they think it has come too late. On that idea of, well, should it be a finite four week timetable . Well, again there is room for manoeuvre on that. Interestingly, the one thing the labour leader did swing behind borisjohnson on this morning was this idea that schools
should stay open. This is the major difference between the lockdown we saw in the spring and what england will be going into on thursday, is that schools and colleges and universities will be staying open. Some of the teaching unions have been saying, well, schools need to be made safer if this is going to be the outcome of this. So sir keir starmer, the leader of the labour party, though, said he did believe that schools needed to stay open and on that issue of would we be able to come out after four weeks . Here is what he had to say. The government has to keep its side of the bargain here because if they dont use this time to fix test, trace and isolate, then i think the 2nd of december will be a review date, will be a review date, not an end because for months and months and months they have promised a world beating test, trace and isolate system, which is vital. If you dont test you cant trace, if you dont trace you cant isolate. It has been busted for months. Use the time to fix it because otherwise we are going to be back in the cycle for months and months and months. Which, of course, is also the fear
for some conservative mps, that they want to see a clear strategy, an end game for getting out of these restrictions, which they didnt really want to see imposed in the first place and i think we will hear a lot more of that debate over the next few days when it comes up in parliament for a vote on wednesday. Helen catt. We can speak now to the epidemiologist, professor tim spector, from Kings College london, whos developed the covid Symptom Tracker app, which tracks over 4 Million People in the uk. Thank you very much for being with us on thank you very much for being with us on bbc news this lunchtime. First of all, can i ask you what your data from your sample, which presumably isa from your sample, which presumably is a sample of people you choose to register on the app and get updates on how they are feeling and whether they subsequently get a test and so on. What is your data show . Yeah, oui on. What is your data show . Yeah, our data, which is, as you said, from millions of app users, it is slightly different to the other surveys being done. And it is
showing similar levels of infection that the government ons survey is showing, which is when they are getting a swab, people in their homes, whereas ours is swabbing people, testing people who are symptomatic every day and giving a similar number of positive swab tests. Our data tends to be more up to date, about a week ahead of the ons survey and what we are showing is that the rates of change in our data showing is that the rates of change in ourdata are showing is that the rates of change in our data are slower than ones we heard on the media yesterday. Our r values are around 1. 1 and have slowed down from about a month ago, and several regions like the north west, scotland, the midlands because if they are plateauing and they arent going to increase further. We are also seeing that it hasnt really exploded yet into the over 60s, most of the infection seem
to be people between 20 60. So it is a different picture, it is not totally reassuring, but it is suggesting that we were already. It was taking its course and may be some of these measures that the government have taken in the north we re government have taken in the north were starting to pay off already. That is the main finding from our data. Well, presumably the future is a lwa ys data. Well, presumably the future is always the less predictable bit. Is your data are consistent with the trends that were being described yesterday in some of the modelling work or does it suggest that perhaps there may be an alternative route opening up in terms of the speed of increase in the number of cases and whether there is not only the plateau, but the beginning of a potential decline . S, and if you look at our rates in scotland they look at our rates in scotland they look as if they are already declining, and. The model reported
yesterday seem to be reporting a more pessimistic view of r values of between 1. 4 and more pessimistic view of r values of betweeni. 1i and 2, more pessimistic view of r values of between 1. 4 and 2, which would suggest that we would be doubling rates from one to two weeks, whereas oui rates from one to two weeks, whereas our data is showing doubling around a month. So our data is showing we do have more time than the other data is suggesting, and it would seem slightly unfair to penalise the areas in the south that have low levels at the moment, if it is already peaking in the north anyway. So this is why one size fits all advice, in my opinion, isnt appropriate now and that we will have a problem when we try and come out of lockdown because we mayjust end up with another cycle, another peak in january, but these end up with another cycle, another peak injanuary, but these are very
difficult decisions, so i am not necessarily critical of the government, ijust think necessarily critical of the government, i just think that, necessarily critical of the government, ijust think that, you know, there is a lot of politics as well as science going on here, but i am conscious that the effects of lockdown that has on mental health, general health. We all get fatter as a country during lockdown, all kinds of extra things happen and, you know, i think we could wait a bit longer to see what is going on. There we go, that is a different perspective, but importantly based on the data you have gathered with over 4 Million People registered to provide data to your app, processor tim spector, in the department of twin research and genetic epidemiology at Kings College london, thank you very much. Pleasure. More on the lockdown in england shortly. But first, at least four people are reported to have died as the strongest typhoon so far this year hammers the philippines. Typhoon goni made landfall before dawn with what the authorities called catastrophic winds of more than 225 kilometres
an hour, and intense rain. Our correspondent in manila, howard johnson, sent this report. The most powerful storm on earth is here it hit the small island of catanduanes just before 5am this morning. Hours later, it made its second landfall, tearing through the popular tourist province of albay. Famous for its picturesque mayon volcano, today goni turned the region into a watery mess. Strong winds whipped and lashed trees and electricity lines. Flash floods inundated rivers and roads. People clambered onto roofs of their homes to stay above the water line. The United Nations fear that more than 20 Million People are in the path of the typhoon. The philippine authorities have urged them to take refuge. Translation i evacuated because its better to be safe. Since i cant walk,
i would have to crawl to get out when the winds get stronger. But if i can walk, i would prefer to stay in our place. Translation im afraid because my mothers house is already weak and about to get crushed. Goni is now heading to the philippine capital, metro manila. You can see the bands of thick clouds over here on the outer reaches of the weather system. 13 Million People live in the city, but its unusually quiet today as people begin hunkering down for the night. But the biggest concern remains for the town of virac on catanduanes. It was the first urban area to be hit by the storm, and Communications Remain down. The municipality is believed to be home to more than 70,000 people. Howard johnson, bbc news, manila. A major search and rescue effort is now into its third day in the turkish coastal town of izmir, following a major earthquake that
hit the aegean coast on friday, killing at least 50 people. The bbcs international correspondent, orla guerin, reports from the scene of one of the collapsed buildings in izmir, where a search operation is continuing. Well, the rubble here is several storeys high. This is what remains of an apartment block called the riza bey. It was mainly flats, but there were offices on the ground floor. And this building was eight floors high. Looking at all of this crushed concrete, it is hard to imagine that anyone else could be brought out alive. But another survivor was found here overnight. A man in his 70s. Now, rescue teams are still working. They are on top of the rubble. They are searching by hand, but also with dogs. They have been using heavy machinery to pull away huge slabs of concrete. And as they are doing all of that, a short distance away relatives are maintaining a vigil. Many have been here since the moment of the earthquake that was 2 51pm on friday afternoon, local time. We have spoken to one man whose sister is missing. She is a woman of 24 and she was working in the Dentists Office here at the bottom of the building. Now, since the quake happened, more than 100 people have been brought out alive, but local sources are telling us that as many as 100 are still unaccounted for. And with every hour that passes, the death toll is continuing to rise. All are going reporting for from izmir. Our reporter reporting from izmir. More on the lockdown now and the impact on the economy. Lets speak to Emma Mcclarkin chief executive of the british beer pub association. Your reaction to the governments
announcement . This of course is devastating news for the beer and pub sector. We were already struggling with the new restrictions that had been introduced to see a way we could continue trading and they have resulted in fact actually in an enhanced package from the chancellor only last week, but now we find ourselves in a situation where we are having to close the doors again and very fearful for the future. The experience i suppose from the last few months has been that it from the last few months has been thatitis from the last few months has been that it is possible in limited circumstances to provide the sort of ta keaway circumstances to provide the sort of Takeaway Services and things that could be allowed and will be allowed this time, but all of that comes at a cost in the business itself, presumably . Well, of course some other businesses were able to adapt to provide take a ways and deliveries, but that did include actually alcohol and it is one of the things we are asking the government for urgently, is that they had actually included or actually not included the sale of alcohol in that takeaway and delivery, and that is a huge loss
for the businesses that have established the trade under the last lockdown and particularly brewers, who need as much support as they can possibly get if they are going to survive this pandemic. What, then, are the options that you would like ministers to consider to ease the pain, if you like, where it is possible to do that . Isnt clearly going to be possible to address all of the concerns of every individual business, but presumably there are some common factors for the different kinds of businesses you represent, whether it is bars, pubs, whether it is those are supplying the raw materials, ultimately, that end up in the glasses . Yeah, we need a full support package to make sure that our pubs and breweries can see their way through this crisis and closure. That goes all the way through the supply chain. They may have been deeply unsupported to date and so if we want that Great British points to be in the Great British pub after this, we need that package
of economic support, but of course we are hopefully closing now for only 28 days, but of course we have already heard that they be extended and we are very worried about making sure 110w and we are very worried about making sure now that there is a full recovery package put in place, that there is an economic stimulus package that is ready for next spring on the other side of this, and needs to be far longer than four weeks that we are going to need support from the government. Can i ask you finally, just a very straightforward figure that you might not have to hand, but do have any idea of what of british pubs shut have not reopened when they had the opportunity to reopen . In other words, the number of businesses that have actually gone under by now . Yeah, we anticipate that 5 of pubs had already closed their doors. 5 . 596 had already closed their doors. 5 . 5 of pubs have already closed their doors for good. We are seeing different restrictions of course across all of the United Kingdom and it has been incredibly difficult to runa it has been incredibly difficult to run a business in this environment, particularly with the level of restrictions we are seeing, the cu rfew
restrictions we are seeing, the curfew enormously damaging for all pubs in every single tier. The rule of six, of course, but it is mixed household is not being able to meet with a colleague you are working with, but in a pub environment it is really neutering the business model. As many as 12,000 pubs might be lost by this time next year. That is research we have done with Oxford Economics and we are desperately trying to avoid that situation and we hope that with Government Support we hope that with Government Support we will be able to get through this pandemic and build into a stronger recovery. Emma mcclarkin, of the british beer pub association, thank you very much. It is 12 18pm. The headlines on bbc news a senior government minister warns the Second National lockdown in england could last more than a month amid fears that the rise in coronavirus cases could overwhelm hospitals. The most powerful storm of the year typhoon goni strikes the philippines, bringing wind
speeds of up to 225 kilometres an hour. Rescued after thirty three hours search teams in the turkish city of izmir pull a man from under the rubble of a building that collapsed in fridays earthquake. 51 people are known to have died. The leaders of the Catholic Church in england and wales have asked the government to provide evidence to justify why places of worship should close in the second lockdown, beginning on thursday. Cardinal Vincent Nichols and archbishop Malcolm Mcmahon have issued a statement, calling into question why churches will have to close, saying communal acts of worship were a common good for all. Places of worship also closed during the first lockdown and they are currently closed in wales during that nations so called firebreak. Our correspondent, john mcmanus, is with me. Ifind your name
i find your name easier to say correctly there mcmahon. My apologies to the archbishop for that. What lies behind this statement now . Because in a sense, places of worship have already established through the experience of that last lockdown what the rules are. Why are they kicking against at this time, what they think is different . It was controversial last time, but churchmen and church women mostly held their peace about it and decided to go along with it, they thought that was the best thing to do. This time around an England Church buildings will be accessible to people who want to go in and pray privately, but there will be no communal Worship Services and, as you say, the leader of the Catholic Church in england wales, cardinal Vincent Nichols and archbishop Malcolm Mcmahon have come out against this and the timing of it, the very Quick Response following Boris Johnsons Statement Last night, indicates to me that they have probably been worried about this for some time. What would happen if there were a second lockdown . Their statement was issued
very quickly in terms of how quickly the Catholic Church usually responds publicly to these things, so i think they had been prepared to a certain extent and had got their ducks in a row, and amongst those ducks, for example, they say, they want the government to produce the evidence that justifies the fact of government to produce the evidence thatjustifies the fact of public worship cant continue. They say not doing so risks eroding the unity of the country needs as it enters a most difficult period. They say that banning communal worship, they dont think, is a productive part of combating the virus, so some pretty strong comments by them. Yeah, and i suppose in practical terms it is difficult to see the government altering now from this lockdown beginning only in four days time, but do you think theres an element here of them starting to push because of the anxiety about christmas, the idea that if this lockdown were to be extended we would be getting perilously close to such an important time in the christian calendar . Absolutely, and i think what annoyed many clergy last time round and worshippers, of course, was that they missed the
major christian festival, easter. All the churches were closed and in terms of the church of england, thered clergy were told they couldnt even go into their own buildings to worship alone. That was an order that was highly controversial and it was retracted by the archbishop of canterbury on the Andrew Marr Show after there was an outcry by his own clergy. He said it was guidance, rather than instruction, but it had made very many people unhappy. One of the good thing that did come out of lockdown is that places of worship have adapted, mosques, synagogues and churches all began streaming the Services Online and making them downloadable and many of them have told me they attracted new members of the congregation, some of them from thousands of miles away, so we will properly see more of that happening over the next few weeks and months, but yes there is a worry about christmas, what will happen about christmas, what will happen about Carol Services . Is it safe for choirs to sing . And going back to wales, where churches have closed
during the firebreak, a group of clergymen there have written to the cardiff government saying they are going to take legal action if lockdown continues for churches there. An interesting battle ahead, john mcmanus, thank you very much. With two days to go until the us president ial election, 91 million americans have already cast their ballot. Thats two thirds of the total number of people that voted in 2016 and puts this years election on course for a record turnout. Our north america correspondent, peter bowes, reports. A star powered rally forjoe biden in Americas Industrial heartland, detroit also home to motown. People, keep on learning. Stevie wonder performed at the drive in event, while barack obama launched another scathing attack on Donald Trumps record. I understand this is a president who wants full credit for the economy he inherited and gets zero blame for the pandemic he ignored, but thejob doesnt work that way. Tweeting at the tv doesnt fix things. Making stuff up doesnt make peoples lives better. Youve got to have a plan. Mr obama said his former deputy would take the job seriously. Joe biden criticised President Trump over the amount he paid in taxes during his first year in office. 750 7 my lord. And remember when he was asked about why he only paid that much . Its because im smart. He knew how to game the system. Well, guess what, mr president , im coming for you President Trump has been campaigning in pennsylvania, where he held four events in one day. He won here in 2016, butjoe biden is ahead in the polls. Hello, pennsylvania. Lets go, pennsylvania. Cheering weve got to do the same thing we did four years ago and i have a feeling, look at this, i have a feeling were going to do it. Mr trump told the crowd he would eradicate the coronavirus and get americans back to work. We want normal, we want normal, we want normal. Lets go back, go back seven months. Hello, how are you doing . But with record numbers of new coronavirus cases in the us over the past week, theres no sign of this country getting back to normal anytime soon. Peter bowes. 32 people have been arrested by Spanish Police following anti lockdown protests. Demonstrations against strict new social distancing measures took place for the second consecutive night in cities across the country, with looting and vandalism breaking out on the fringes of some of the protests. 12 people were injured following the clashes with police last night, including three officers. Prime minister Pedro Sanchez condemned the unrest which he described as violent and irrational behaviour by minority groups. Portugal has announced a new partial lockdown
from wednesday. People will be required to stay at home, except for work, school, or essential errands. The restrictions will affect about 70 of portugals population. These measures, announced by Prime Minister antonio costa, will be reviewed in two weeks. Youre watching bbc news. Now its time for a look at the weather with matt. Hello. Some rough seas in Western Areas later, another day in which the winds will strengthen across the country. Especially across parts of north and west scotland and west wales. For all of us, more rain around, some more than others. We have one approaching weather system which will affect us later, all linking into this area of low pressure, which brought rain through the night. Remnants of hurricane zeta between us and ireland, pushing by the north west of scotland with strengthening winds through the afternoon. A little bit of sunshine here and there, especially across central and eastern areas but flooding over in the west, but clouding over in the west, Northern Ireland, southern scotland, north and west wales will see
the most persistent rain to end the day, the risk of minor flooding. Mild to the south, 18 degrees possible, cooler day in scotland and Northern Ireland. Some of the strongest winds, 70 80 mph to finish the day in the north west highlands, could see 65 mph across parts of west wales and those strong winds transfer into parts of Northern England tonight. Tonight, some rain through the central swathe of the country, clearer skies to the north, pushing south, chillier conditions, temperatures well into single figures across parts of scotland and Northern Ireland by early tomorrow, a mild night in the south and east, could be one of the warmest november nights on record, but colder air will win as we go through monday, pushing after this weather front clears through the morning. That will produce outbreaks of rain across parts of east anglia and the south east first thing. Sunshine coming out, the rest of the day largely dry, but for most of you, a story of sunshine and scattered showers, some of those heavy with hail and thunder, most frequent in southern scotland, Northern England, Northern Ireland, north and west wales. Wherever you are, it will be colder than at the weekend, 8 or 9 degrees at the highest in scotland and Northern Ireland, 13 in the south east corner, windiest conditions tomorrow, southernmost counties of england and wales, especially earlier in the day, 40 or 50 mph hour gusts. If not a bit more. A sign of something quieter on the horizon, showers through tuesday and wednesday, but towards the end of the week High Pressure builds in, we have not seen that for some time, and it flips around to the other side of autumn, the mellower side, more in the way of dry weather, winds not so strong, but it does mean we will see sunshine by day, cold nights, with some overnight frost and fog. Bye for now. Hello, this is bbc news with me, shaun ley. The headlines a senior government minister warns the Second National lockdown in england could last more than a month, amid fears that the rise in coronavirus cases could overwhelm hospitals. From thursday non essential shops, restaurants, pubs, gyms and hair and beauty salons will be forced to close. The uk Opposition Leader has welcomed the new measures, but is calling on the government to use the time to ramp up test and trace. Typhoon goni has made landfall in the philippines with sustained winds of 225 km h. The most powerful storm this year has caused the evacuation of over 200,000 people. Rescued after 33 hours, search teams in the turkish city of izmir pull a man from under
the rubble of a building that