Transcripts For ALJAZ Inside Story 20220820 : comparemela.co

Transcripts For ALJAZ Inside Story 20220820



discussed the risks to europe's largest nuclear power plant and sap maricia or the plant has been under russian control since march, the facilities operated though by ukrainian staff and guarded by russian forces. it's come under repeated shelling and their fees if a major disaster, if critical infrastructure is hit. what is to is that if you didn't get that ice as we pull the clamps, the problem will be solved. and obviously the electricity from zip codes you use ukrainian direct 322 and 3. it's necessary, especially during the winter ford of ukrainian people. and these people must be fully respected place in nicaragua, have arrested a catholic bishop known for his criticism of president. daniel ortega ortiz accused rolando virus, of inciting violence president or take a recently launched a crackdown on descent within the churches and its charities. mexico's former attorney general. yes. murillo has been arrested on charges of forced disappearance, torture and obstruction of justice, relating to the disappearance of $43.00 students in 2014 were low lead. the highly criticized original investigation on friday. the government called it a cover up at least 15 people, including 5 children, had been killed in a rocket attack on a market northern syria barriers under the control of turkey backed opposition fighters. syrian government forces accused of carrying out friday's attack and retaliation for recent rained follow as the iraqi shia leader mac title. a solder have held protests in bagdad green zone on to friday. pres, haven't done demonstrating outside parliament for 3 weeks now. 10 months after general election, iraq still has no government because of disagreements on forming a coalition. apple says it's discovered a major security floor and it's software and has issued an emergency update for all uses. and tech john says the floor could allow hackers to seize full control of its phones, tablets, and computers. those the headlines in 5 stories next. ah, the wine is running dry. dropping water levels in germany's crucial river are threatening its shipping industry. so what will that mean for europe's largest economy? it's been struggling and recent months. this is inside school. ah . hello and welcome to the program. i'm how much am john? many countries are in the grips of intense summer heat waves that are causing some of the world's crucial rivers to dry up in parts of europe, waterways have dropped to near record levels, halting marine traffic and disrupting factories and industries. now germany is facing a crisis. as the ryan river, it's most important. shipping route becomes difficult for ships to navigate. that's not only affecting freight supplies and costs, but the energy sector to the disruption presents another challenge for europe's largest economy. at a time of high inflation, global supply chain problems and a natural gas crisis, economists are now warning this will have an effect on the regions economic growth will bring in our guests in a moment. first, algebras dominic cane has more from cologne. it could almost be a picture postcard of the rhine goods barges chug up and down the river, while children explore the pebbles on the bank. and yet a closer look shows something else. for in most summers, much of this area would be submerged. but months of high temperatures and little or no rainfall have changed things, or we see right now with a low or water levels in reverse is the new normal or it's even worse of the new normal will be even more extreme. we have seen a global temperature increase of 1.2 degrees on global average right now seen from overhead. the situation is clear, this satellite image of nearby dusseldorf shows the river. now, this one, how it was in the same place, 12 months ago, if the science of what's happening is clear, the practical application of it is causing problems for many different companies. the shipping ones in particular because they look at the rhine as it is now and have real concerns about how deep it is and how easily they can navigators. and crucially how much each of their vessels can carry. for women or 3rd, one ships bringing salt here from high up on usually carry almost 2200 tons. now they're arriving with $600.00 tons and that shows the less water, the less cargo on the ships. and in this year of war in ukraine, there is another drawback with russian coal now embargoed across the e. u. many companies have paid to ship a non russian alternative via the rhine instead. but as the demand has risen, so the water levels to allow it to be delivered have dwindled. right now, most shipping companies are concentrating on the near future with autumn just weeks away. they expect its cooler, wetter weather to replenish the fine. but some scientists say that too could bring danger if it starts to rain on touchstone. dr. saws, the water can not infiltrate into the soil. and sir, we directly gets off his run off into the water. it runs out of the system of catchment and produces such restaurants as we know from, from california. for example, the rhine has run dryer in summer before, but not often. it will have to rain a lot to return the river to its more normal state dominant cane al jazeera cologne . all right, let's take a closer look at the river rhyme. it's one of the most important european rivers flowing through 6 countries, including switzerland, germany, and france. about $300000000.00 tons of goods and products move through it each year. the ryan is germany's most important shipping route accounting for 80 percent of its water freight. but visual, se, barges are now carrying only one quarter to half of their usual capacity. an economist say the disruption could slow europe's largest economy. all right, let's go ahead and bring in our guests in berlin or rick brooklyn, professor of political science at stanford university in berlin. in the hungarian city of vesper, m. nick sitter, professor of public policy at central european university and b. i norwegian, business school. and in cologne, who bear to us bart managing director and head of research at the german economic institute. a warm welcome to you all and thanks so much for joining us on inside story today. all right, let me start with you. if the rhine becomes too difficult to navigate, how big of an impact is that end up having in germany both politically and economically? what we are doing now is delayed. no one will have. the one thing is you don't know what the weather will be, and the other thing is we never know what social development we're up to. it can be very calm when people understand those criticize the government are minority and support of the government. but these are the crucial factor. what we can expect from the government is you can also expect that our corporations will understand how serious the situation is. but when i don't know what we can do from climate change on the difference between whether the climate change and we never know. ready what is the turning point is in which people get upset, but the government coalition in german hubert is let me ask you how much will shipping disruptions impact germany's economy her things. but what is happening at the run over but now is the major problem. it certainly want to be run your search moments and mom's for capacities on the right on the floor ships must be slow on to be totally still the same is true our capacities with my daughter in my recent month, unless we have had that before, we are for 4 years before the couple of weeks are fine, companies can give this more along with some developments. but what's closer right now is that we need more codes because we need additional code to replace russian gas. we don't have a capacity in the industry for example, we don't, we don't have to carry it up right away. so we need to become to read. this is nick. you heard to hubert, is there just talk about the issue of coal and how the flow of coal right now is in jeopardy? as i understand it, you know, that means that there could be shortages at coal fired power plants in the next couple of months. what kind of impact would a coal shortage have now for germany, especially as germany is attempting to lessen its dependence on russian gas? i think what we're going to see here is that what we thought are asked processing energy as your environment lists. you really has a broader strategic issue. so i think despite all the uncertainty a coal shortage, what will clearly have an effect on energy prices, not just in germany, but in all of europe. and if there's a shortage of energy and what we're really looking at is possibility of rationing. and we're certainly looking at the possibility of a decline of german economy have an enormous effect on all the central european countries. well, what i would add to what we've heard is that the danger of what you might call a political effect of populace protest on the left and the right against politically higher energy prices, which made to stabilize governments. which in a very, very good example of that and it lead. oh rick, you heard doug huberts is there talked about the fact that what's happening with the rhine right now has happened before the last time was as he said in 2018. and you know, german industry last billions of dollars, then as, as a result, is the government going to have to come up with some kind of a plan to better deal with this going forward? can they but it is not just one factor, then we have to focus on this and we move out of the pendency or stabilize the situation over the beginning of the war until today. they have so many factors that affected your channel. we expect that if we have the shortage on the cross and then it turned out that they don't have enough water will them out and they needed support from other countries. we needed your solution for. ready how do we practically enforce in case one of your members is getting in trouble. but this is just a framework and we don't know yet at what point is having problems based on what kinds of shortage is such a sensitive, unstable librium at the moment that it's too early to tell what is the violence, whether it be and other charges and even the hours to tack on one of the gas torches. and that's will have a major effect on. and as far as it's not really on gas, nick, i want to take a step back for a moment and look up a wider issue here. one of the reasons that people are so concerned about all this right now is because of russia cutting energy supplies to the european union. from your perspective is the you coming up with an effective strategy for gradually reducing its dependency on russian gas? oh yeah, i think it very much is, i mean, already the spring march night, we saw the beginnings of an outline of a plan which involves replacing some rushes pipeline gas with gas from other countries through pipeline. that means norway, that means as a john africa, a 2nd element of it is replacing pipeline gas with liquefied natural gas. shipping by boat on the 3rd element is more use of other energy sources that's called me plants, alternative energy. a 4th of course is energy savings, which was the number of european countries in practice already with guidelines about how far you can pull up a billing to summer and heat them in the winter. so i think there's already a plan coming together here where i think the tension is going to be is 2 things. one is the cost. how do we just be the cost a higher energy and quickly, how are you push it onto the consumer? each of in countries come up to different model. and the 2nd, yes, you have so dirty. where for example, countries like spain are asking why they should contribute solidarity to what is in their view, the consequence. germans relying on cheap russian gas, which had a security problem element, which wasn't recognized until now. who birth is it look to me like you were nodding along to some of what nick was saying there? did you want to jump in? but i think indeed it's a big project for europe, and germany is definitely to review the content energy from ross. we got about of code from russ on your phone. not that has already been done. we are getting a real limiting to 0 going on in the gap in that means that we need a different and we need to different because it's not about the amount of and the result of the author, the propensity one of the, one of the bottlenecks we have to cross the t's that underway on an on the railway that that's the problem in the moment. that's a difficult, difficult, but at that moment the fact that we can use the run around about one foot compressor can make that for her neck hurts for another company. and these can definitely right? yes. who versus when it comes to this bottleneck? when it comes to talking again about the rhine river, i mean from your perspective, are there concrete measures that could be taken to ensure that the ryan can still be used by ships even during times of droughts? let's say this. no. so or you can do, but we're discussing about the name of the ryan river, at least in part of the raw drivers are going and then to launch some project that is being discussed now. and then the government wants to start the project. you ready? own it? so in just higher, but when you're talking about climate change and about a less rain in some more series of water levers more to the river, that's one of the adaptation measures which is necessary to process their presence metro speak to them. oh rick, i, i know you talked earlier about how difficult it is to predict what's going to happen going forward. i mean, there is no crystal ball. you can gaze into to see what is going to happen. but, but let me ask you about the mood of the german people right now. are they largely supportive of the government's policies thus far or, or is, you know, real concerned growing where our government just came our year ago has very, very a change. and the change was about lead sky to germany, our base cost economy. so the general sentiment is they are doing the right thing and they want not only to get some reports from russia, they want to relaunch the term the economy based on so from that perspective is a lot of acceptance. that one could expect unless the major problems in the way it is managed and that remains to be seen if there were often. but i think germany isn't under performer in terms of. ready sodium, if you just see what happens when they learn what the situation is about 5030, the right eyebrow, and then they activated. ready and the from russia like this and even italy, that is not no one with the order of long seas to prepare for what if they manage much faster than germany to move out. and so the storage is in a situation that wasn't easy as of other driving government. and germany right now is more improvising. they communicate pretty well. when it comes to the entertainment of several noticed people, whether he will be able to do this over a whole course, rita, that remains nick. i saw you reacting there to what the little rick was saying and it looked like you wanted to contribute to it. to go ahead please. yes, i think this is, i think this is a very, very important point. but the real test ahead is the coming 4 to 8 months. it's the winter. i mean, what we're looking at here is the situation to put it into a political perspective where i think put in is trying to create, encourage, exploit as much edition as she can in europe. not mean jessica window of opportunity over the winter when europe is really, really ball interval. and that's why i think this kind of communication that we're getting from germany minister saying we need to get through the winter. it is tremendously important. and i think these examples of, of italy in finland moving to get things into place to cope with a winter is important. the reason i'm saying that is, i think we often underestimate the 8 a symmetry in the relationship to in the even russia years. almost like vulnerable and the coming site for 12 months. but after that, it's russia that's horrible because the gas it used to sell to the market has nowhere else to go. so, but your face is short term sheet. but if we get through that, i think the real problem is russia's and nick, just to follow up with you. i mean, how likely is it from your perspective that we're going to see germany and the you as you know, the other countries as well relying on energy rationing going forward. i think it's a very, very real possibility. i think that all trying to avoid it as much as possible. but i think what we see, particularly in germany and austria, is that the government is preparing the ground for some rushing to hit industry. i think what we're, that's at least possible. what we're already seeing is that governments across europe are instructing public bill. people in charge of public buildings to not cool them beyond $26.00 degrees in the summer. not heat them beyond 18 or 20 in the winter. that's already rushed. hubert, they could be wrong, looked like you had a point you wanted to make one of the main, the main point here is wrestling of mr. guy not, not so much. i mean, we have to bit electricity production has to get that organized. we have to talk with high prices or the significance of the social problems, but never talk about reckoning. it's the metro get threatened, resume for a company. and then very much depends on a briefing. believe get those 20 percent from russia to be get right now. second, how good are they doing? gas and then reusing consumption and the estimated one half of my rent. no, not too much. do you think it would be much better if it would be very code rate again. lizzie, my higher the risk of buy office cost if you had some guess significant, significant. oh rick, i saw you reacting just now to what to say did you want to jump in? now these are the necessary preconditions, but the government manage just as well and that it communicated well, storage as well. and that everyone is bored and that the social costs for a particular group that was addressed by what the government could do to help them . but these are all the necessary. it could always be that someone catch the potential for social unless it's not a matter of fact the criteria and still can get out of it. if we don't prepare, well, we'll get out of control. but there is no such thing. like if we on the least 80 percent of storage or on good. and we will be fine because it depends so many hours because it's in the nature of your system and everyone can every time criticize everything. and you never know what was up to something that becomes the serious thought them off the government, which is a major difference not as receiving a richer kind of price of people who barrett as you know you have at the moment war and ukraine. you have a pandemic, you have drought, you have supply chain issues, you have all these factors that are in play right now. how much concern is there right now? the europe largest economy is on the brink of recession and how likely is a recession already started to already stop the recovery process austin, to have a year ago, 7 months ago. expectations of a growth rates are sent in. now expectations are one and a half in efforts for the whole year. already has had a 2nd quarter property. it is a very low point of growth in the next 2 quarter of the main issue here. right now is the high energy prices. so yes, i think recession in christ for and especially manufacturing sexual services are still fine. and so with our growing and that's a lot of the problems regarding the manufacturing industries in a nick, i know that we've, we've touched on this a bit in other answers in this conversation today, but i do want to take it back real quick to the issues that are affecting the rhine right now. if water levels on the rhine continue to sink me, what other alternatives will companies have when it comes to sending freight up and down the waterway? and beyond that, if they're not able to do that, if the companies are scrambling to carry freight in other ways, what are the other ways they can do this? it seems like it would take much more effort, far more trucks, for example, to carry freight than it would with a barge. yes, i mean it's, it's on the details on it, but it's clear that if you start looking at french by truck or rail, you're looking at a much, much, much lesser volumes, much, much, much higher prices. i think i'd like to go back to the point about this being an enormous bottleneck. that's really the, the kind of problem that we have. and in way this is about spare capacity. but of course, difficult to have very much a city waterways. so i have friends that leads us rather in a bind and, and it just very quickly, we only have about a minute and a half left. from your perspective, are there any concrete steps that could be taken right away that would reduce this bottleneck? and no, but we really need to, i think that i think the problem is that we need to really look at using less of the good stuff, being transported by water. i just don't think the alternatives are strong enough. have the capacity to this enough and the extra point i sort of want to get in the end here is to not to maintain, but this will have them central europe on the countries, they're dependent on the economy. all right, well we have run out of times we're going to have to leave the conversation there. thanks so much. all of our guests or rec, bruckner nick center and who bear to sparked and thank you for watching. you can see the program again any time visiting our website of 0 dot com. and for further discussion, go to our facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside story. you can also join the conversation on twitter handle is at e. j inside story. from him, how much i'm going the whole team here, bye for now. ah the world cup is coming to catch up in just 3 months as the main event gets closer, we hear every step of the way. hello, i'm john. i guess you're also with updates from teams and fans across the glove, i seems. can expect some strong support here in customer with the spotlight now on europe. can france claim back to back? well, comp victories. the all wheel poacher, golds christiano. rinaldo finally get his hands on the trophy. the well kept count on al jazeera. 5 years ago, me and mazama force his commenced a scorched earth campaign against the ro hinge minority, leaving a trail of death and destruction. hundreds of thousands were forced into exile in neighboring bangladesh. in a special report, we look at the plight of the ro hangup today on out to 0. 2 years held captive by i so a life altering experience for any victim more so when 2 years is half of your life time a 4 year old yazzy, the boys struggles to recover from the trauma of abuse and the witnessing of unspeakable atrocities. i meds, childhood a witness documentary on a just either ah, i'm harry davis and kimberly in western australia were indigenous communities attaining with scientists to create a new approach to marine conservation with approving you learn, we even got this via a normal, blah, blah, blah. i'm not going to do any reporting from brazil this year, run to tribe, protecting biodiversity co defending themselves against feel ego invaders, both bride. oh no. is there a ah, which is where ever you oh, i money inside in doha. here top stories on al jazeera, extreme weather is crating a crisis and.

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