it's "way too early" for this. i'm jonathan lemire on this tuesday, september 28th weechlt start with the news. house speaker nancy pelosi has changed course, telling democrats they will vote on the bipartisan infrastructure bill before reconciliation is done. in a democratic caucus meeting last night, pelosi announced the change in plans. she originally announced she would link two bills together, refusing to vote on the senate-passed infrastructure bill until the other bill was ready as well. according to an aide, speaker pelosi blamed it on the senate. she said, quote, i told all of you we wouldn't go on to the bipartisan infrastructure we had the reconciliation bill passed by the senate. we were right on schedule to do all of that until ten days ago, a week ago, when i heard the news that this number had to come down. they're reportedly hoping the president will publicly pressure members of congress to vote for the infrastructure bill. speaker pelosi is acknowledging she is still unsure what the final number will be. keep moderate senators joe manchin of west virginia and kerstin sinema of arizona have both publicly said they would not support the bill at its current price tag. the vote is expected this thursday. meanwhile senate republicans are making good on their promise not to raise the debt ceiling even if it leads to a government shutdown. every senate republican voted yesterday against a measure that would fund the government and make sure the country does not default on its debt. republicans argue that democrats should pass themselves through the reconciliation because the gop doesn't support future spending bills. they say it was passed by both parties and should be paid for by both parties. >> so let me make it abundantly clear one more time. we will support a clean continuing resolution. we will not provide republican votes for raising the debt limit. there's no chance republicans will help lift democrats' credit limit so they can immediately steamroll through a socialist binge that will hurt families and help. >> the republican party has now become the party of default, a party that says america doesn't pay its debts. keeping the government open and preventing a default is vital to our country's future, and we'll be taking further action to prevent this from happening this week. >> again, congress has until the end of the week to fund the government before shutdown begins and a few weeks to raise the debt ceiling before the country goes into default for the first time ever, mind you, during a pandemic. joining us now, mike memoli. thanks for getting us for us. your sources on the hill, in the white house, will progressives make good on their promise to vote against the infrastructure bill, potentially dooming a signature piece of legislation for this president? >> yeah. that's obviously the question that is raised by the speaker's decision last night. and i spoke with a number of members of congress after that caucus meeting. and as one of them put it, pelosi is putting all the rabbits in the hat so she can take them out of the hat. she's never lost a key vote. and what the takeaway from members seems to be is she was really starting the clock here last night. as the president described it on friday, it's something of a stalemate between the moderates and progressives in the caucus, and last night we also saw clearly the stalemate that involves republicans on the debt ceiling and now it's up to speaker pelosi to try to force a resolution here in that statemate among all sides. and part of the argument as i understand it to the caucus last night is because of the republicans' refusal to g along with any form of a debt cree ceiling increase t full faith and credit of the u.s. on the line, it's looking increasingly likely it's going to have to be part of the reconciliation deal. that's part of why pelosi will have to reverse her previous linking of the two because they need that time to find out what the number will be on the reconciliation bill but also potentially include a debt limit increase as part of that. so it's interesting the leverage that moderates have maintained throughout this process, and it was clear in the speaker's decision last night she has to, as she often has in the past, mind their concerns ultimately more than others at this point. those are the members who are concerned about the political fallout for all of this one way or the other, and so the speaker is calling the shots here, and now the question is, to use your show's framing, what the president will do to help see this through. they -- the other takeaway from members was the president does need to lean in here to make it clear to all side as what is on the line for them politically, to show whatever political capital he still has at this point and he's willing to use it to try to see this through. and there are a number of senior white house officials who have been on the hill, living on the hill, and the takeaway last night as well is they actually need to be a little more aggressive, to offer more sticks and less carrots as they're trying to see this through. >> certainly washington observers have gone broke. i do appreciate the question's framing there, mike. yeah, this is such a complicated stretch here in congress. it's going to be this week. likely going to extend beyond that. the key figure is someone who's just down pennsylvania avenue, and that's president biden. what are you hearing? we certainly heard from the white house the president will be involved in these negotiations. he's got a call seat. he might be hosting more members back to the west wing. how involved is president biden going to be? i've heard that some members want him to step up his outreach here, that he feels -- they feel like he's going to slowly and perhaps not grasping the urgency of the moment. what are you hearing? what is he going to do both in terms of the correctional package, but also the debt ceiling, the government funding? >> so ultimately one of the tools that the president has is coming up to the hill in person, and that's something we might want to keep an eye out for here in the days ahead. this president has a call sheet. obviously his aides put names in front of him who people as they're talking in real time could use a presidential phone call. sometimes the president himself is keeping an eye on the television. he sees lawmakers on the air, and he might give them a call himself. this is sort of the nature he likes to operate. sometimes he goes beyond what the staff is suggesting he make this personal outreach himself. we've only seen the president go up to a caucus meeting on the hill once this entire term, and that was one of the takeaways from members last night. maybe this is the time like the vice president did at key moments before the ultimate passage of the affordable care act is show up in person and make the sales pitch himself. we know the president is going to be traveling to chicago tomorrow, and the clock is ticking now ahead of that vote on thursday. so that is something, i think, i'm going to be keeping an eye on, is whether that empty schedule that we see again for the white house today might ultimately see him racing up to capitol hill himself >> i was in the press pool that day for the first trip. there's an excitement that greeted him. certainly i imagine that members there would appreciate another visit. i think you might be right on that. mike memoli, thank you, my friend. we'll see you again soon. president biden is emphasizing the importance of vaccines as he received his pfizer booster shot live on camera. he also called out the damage caused by americans who have yet to get even one shot. >> if you're fully vaccinated and you're highly protected now from severe illness even if you get covid-19. you're safe, and we're going to keep it that way with the boosters. about 23% haven't gotten any shots, and that distinct minority is causing an awful lot of us a lot of damage for the rest of the country. this is a pandemic of the unvaccinated. let me be clear. boosters are important. but the most important thing we need to do is get more people vaccinated. >> senate minority leader mitch mcconnell also received his booster shot yesterday. on the senate call he called his choice to get the third dose an easy decision and told his own personal story of survival. >> i'm a survive over childhood polio from before vaccines, before the vaccines eradicated that disease here in our country and around the world. so i've been a longtime champion of the vaccinations. they tell us the shots are strength, effective, and dramatically reduce the odds of severe disease or death from covid. as i've been saying for months, the safe and effective vaccines are a way to protect ourselves and defend our families from this dreadful virus. still ahead, r. kelly is accused of nine different offensings. and what the late president's daughter is saying about john hinckley. we'll be right back. about john hinckley. we'll be right back. bipolar depression. it made me feel like i was trapped in a fog. this is art inspired by real stories of people living with bipolar depression. i just couldn't find my way out of it. the lows of bipolar depression can take you to a dark place... ...and be hard to manage. latuda could make a real difference in your symptoms. latuda was proven to significantly reduce bipolar depression symptoms and in clinical studies, had no substantial impact on weight. this is where i want to be. latuda is not for everyone. call your doctor about unusual mood changes, behaviors, or suicidal thoughts. antidepressants can increase these in children, teens, and young adults. elderly dementia patients on latuda have an increased risk of death or stroke. call your doctor about fever, stiff muscles, and confusion, as these may be life threatening... ...or uncontrollable muscle movements, as these may be permanent. these are not all the serious side effects. now i'm back where i belong. ask your doctor about latuda and pay as little as $0 for your first prescription. 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(woman) yeah, y-you did. ♪ we are farmers. bum-pa-dum, bum-bum-bum-bum ♪ finally yasso! a ridiculously creamy, crunchy, chocolatey dipped ice cream experience with 25% less calories because it's made with greek yogurt. so, thanks for everything ice cream, but we'll take it from here. yasso audaciously delicious r&b singer r. kelly could face decades in prison. nbc news correspondent stephanie gosk has all the details. >> reporter: it's a verdict prosecutor says was nearly 30 years in the making. r. kelly accused of racketeering and sex trafficking. the grammy winner who wrote and sung "i believe i can fly" will spend decades in prison snoon r. kelly is a predator who used his fame and fortune to prey on the young, the vulnerable, and the voiceless. >> reporter: victims described being locked in rooms for days for not following kelly's rules like not asking for permission to go to the bathroom or making contact with other men. one was just 16 years old when she said she was abused by pop star. >> the breaking point for me was when rob slapped me and choked me. >> reporter: he allowed the government to introduce allegations outside the statute of limitations. at the center of the case, pop star aaliyah who died tragically in a plane crash. she walked in on kelly and the 13- or 14-year-old aaliyah engaged a sex yact. it was young black boys and girls at the time of the abuse. the district attorney who tried bill cosby believes this trial could be a turning point. >> this has been decades of tears. at least they're having an opportunity to be heard. they'rable to testify and be credibly believed. >> reporter: one in four black girls are sexually abused before age 18. few go to the authorities. the defense called them opportunists who wanted fame themselves. >> you saw witnesses after witnesses giving three, four, five versions as to what they said happen here. >> reporter: the jury wasn't swayed, deliberating less than nine hours total, guilty on all counts. >> to the victim in this case, your voices were heard and justice was finally heard. >> our thanks to nwc's stephanie gosk for that report. a man who tried to assassinate president ronald reagan years ago will be be free next year. as long as he remains mentally stable and continues to follow the rules imposed by the court. hinckley who is 66 years old was granted supervised release from a mental health facility in 2016. officials at the ronald reagan foundation and institute do not support the judge's position. the statement reads in part, the reagan foundation and institute is saddened to hear of the decision to unconditionally release john hinckley this year. contrariy to the judge's decision, we believe john hinckley is still a threat to others. in a new "washington post" opinion piece his daughter writes in part this. people's memories have faded. that burst of gunfire outside the washington hilton was a long time ago. i have friends who weren't even born then. for me, my family, jodie foster, the memory of that day will never fade. i will always pier my father being shoved into a limousine after he was shot in the lung and a bullet grazed his hart. you have to liv with the fear and the anger and the darkness that one person keeps bringing into your life. still ahead, why two-time super bowl champion eli manning is apologizing after "monday night football." he owes me an apology too. plus, a clearing of the benches in detroit. sports is next. detroit sports is next ntly, so you can focus on what matters most. whether it's ensuring food arrives as fresh as when it departs. being first on the scene, when every second counts. or teaching biology without a lab. we are the leader in 5g. #1 in customer satisfaction. and a partner who includes 5g in every plan, so you get it all. without trade-offs. unconventional thinking. it's better for business. this is... ♪♪ this is iowa. we just haven't been properly introduced. say hello to the place where rolling hills meets low bills. where our fields, inside and out, are always growing. and where the fun is just getting started. this is iowa. so, when are you coming to see us? ♪♪ i've been telling everyone... the secret to great teeth is having healthy gums.s? crest advanced gum restore. detoxifies below the gumline... and restores by helping heal gums in as little as 7 days. crest. the #1 toothpaste brand in america. i always wanted to know more about my grandfather. he...was a hardworking man who came to new york from puerto rico when he was 17. with ancestry, being able to put the pieces of the puzzle together... ...it's amazing. it's honestly amazing. (vo) singing, or speaking. being able to put the pieces of the puzzle together... reason, or fun. daring, or thoughtful. sensitive, or strong. progress isn't either or progress is everything. third down. you can bring him from wherever you want. third and one. dak will go for it. schultz. first down and more. schultz pumps it back in and into the end zone. touchdown, cowboys! >> that was quarterback dak prescott's third touchdown pass and second to tight end dalton schultz in his first home game since the ankle injury that ended his season last year. ezekiel elliott ran for two touchdowns. quarterback stefon diggs returns for a score, and the dallas cowboys blew out the philadelphia eagles, 41-21 on "monday night football." meanwhile the only birds flying last night was eli manning during last night's broadcast. >> when you're going to philly, you're giving a double bird to a 9-year-old kid. can you do that? i'm sure you can blur that out, right? double bird by a 9-year-old and they're saying things about my mom and peyton. i can't tell you what they said about mom. >> i'm not going to try that here. the eagles are, of course, an eagles rival who made the gesture while discussing his previous experience with philadelphia fans. manning soon after apologized. >> all right, all right, sorry. earlier i gave the double bird. i guess that's frowned upon. i apologize. that's what a 9-year-old did to me. i thought i could do it back. >> not even a single bird here. turning now to major league baseball, the american league baseball chase has largely been cad gorized as a three f team race between the red sox, yankees, and blue jays, but a fourth team is emerging as a real contender in the final week of the regular season. with a 13-4 win over the game last night, the mariners gained a lead over the red sox. seattle has two left to play against oakland before wrapping up the southeast d wrapping up the season with a series against the angels. meanwhile to detroit where things got testy between the white sox and tigers yesterday. jose abreu you had words for a detroit shortstop. prompting both benches to spew out onto the field and surround the fields. abreu had to be restrained. outside pushing and shoving, there was nothing else. white sox manager la russa said abreu had been intentionally hit with a pitch. chicago went on to beat detroit, 8-7. and in ohio, fans cheered let's go indians one more time. they become the guardians next year. cleveland gets the best of kansas city. and bradley zimmer got the best of his older brother kyle zimmer hitting a solo home run. a brother homering off a brother has only happened three other times since 1900. this did not, of course, all the time i went deep off my own brother in whiffle ball. time now for a check on the weather. let's go to meteorologist bill karins with the forecast. bill, what have we got today? >> we're not seeing whiffle ball weather in the mid-atlantic and northeast. not today. showers and storms heading through. it won't be horrible. we haven't had any umbrella days in the areas of the northeast or mid-atlantic. have a couple today. if we look at the radar, there's an area of showers, heavy rain and lightning south of pittsburgh, south of staid college. this will roll through for your morning commute. keep that in mind. three or four hours. so it will be the tail end of the morning commute there. as far as the severe weather threat goes, washington, d.c., baltimore, we're in a slight riske, wind gusts, 50, 60 miles an hour. it will not be a widespread event, but there will be isolated strong storms in that area. it includes southern new jersey, almost all of delaware and maryland. here ooh is the timing of this mess. by 11:00 a.m., providence through boston, connecticut, i-95, just about north of new york, there's one line of storms and downpours that will go through. later we'll see a second line of showers and storms around d.c. keep that in mind, especially d.c., baltimore, down to richmond. the forecast hot through the dakotas to texas. still in the 90s. rainy in the northwest. then tomorrow we clear it out in the northeast with a beautiful fall-like day with highs only in the 60s as wild-card baseball will continue as we go throughout the day. it should be fun, jonathan. >> fun is your word, bill. stressful is mineful bill karins, thanks so much for being here. still ahead, congress is poised for a chaotic week. it's only tuesdayful we'll break it all down. plus, who's to blame if the government shuts down at the end of the week? we have in polling on that. before we go to break, we want to know, why are you awake? email your answers to waytooearly@msnbc.com or text me @jonlemire. we'll read our favorite answers later in the show. swers later in the show. jen. this prebiotic oat formula moisturizes to help prevent dry skin. impressive! aveeno® healthy. it's our nature.™ try the body wash, too. paul loves food. but his diabetes made food a mystery. everything felt like a “no.” but then paul went from no to know. with freestyle libre 14 day, now he knows how food affects his glucose. and he knows when to make different choices. take the mystery out of your glucose levels - and lower your a1c. now you know. try it for free. visit freestylelibre.us ♪♪ is olay better than your clean beauty? try it for free. visit freestylelibre.us olay has 99% pure niacinamide. it's derm-tested. and now, it's cleanest formula with hydration that beats the $400 cream. tried. tested. never bested. shop at olay.com the best things america makes are the things america makes out here. the history she writes in her clear blue skies. the legends she births on home town fields. and the future she promises. when we made grand wagoneer, proudly assembled in america, we knew no object would ever rank with the best things in this country. but we believed we could make something worthy of their spirit. welcome back to "way too early." it's 5:30 on the east coast, 2:30 on the west. i'm jonathan lemire. with a shutdown looming in a week, they advanced a spending bill and it's make or break when it comes to infrastructure. nbc white house correspondent nancy ohhas more. >> what happened on the hill? >> reporter: first facing a deadline to keep the government open by this friday, republicans blocking a bill to fund the government and extend the country's good credit until december. so democrats will try again. this week, make-or-break decisions on the president's signature priorities, a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure plan and the massive climate and social program spending currently at $3.5 trillion. >> if we do that, the country will be in great shade. >> reporter: democrat joe manchin. while republicans claim it's too costly. >> it's paid for by putting debt on the next generation of americans. that's how it's paid for. new polling though shows the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill passed last month remains popular among many americans. according to a new pole, 56% say they support the bill while 27% oppose it. 42% say it's too much. 43% say it's the right amount. and 14% says it's too little. the same poll finds that 32% of americans would tend to blame the democratic party. 36% would blame both the democrats and republican parties equally, and 24% would blame just the gop. whelp it comes to the gop, 31% would blame the democratic party if the u.s. were to default. 39% blame both parties while 24% would blame just republicans. joining us now, an msnbc contributor, anna palmer. thanks for being here. the government shutdown that's looming at the end of the week, that would be catastrophic at any time but particularly during a global pandemic. what needs to happen for lawmakers to avoid that shutdown, to approve the government funding before friday? walk us through it, if you will. i think we're having a little trouble with her audio, but we will bring her back in just a minute. still ahead, the totally different reporter who crashed kevin durant's news conference at the media day. wait. now i'm told we may have her audio again. let's try that. >> good morning. >> hey, there you are. thank goodness you're here. i thought you lost your voice considering how busy your week is as you're probably screaming at lawmakers. >> i will say this. senate majority leader chuck schumer has a lot of different off-ramps. what is his potential strategy? he could take up the bill again, which is the government funding with the debt limit we know we're going to fail. we're hearing there's this option that would be having the government coincide with the debt limit in october. which would be a massive cliff. or he could have a bill in early december. we should. by all measure, assemble into a shutdown. as you know, we should because congress sometimes doesn't work the way the rest of the world seems to think it should. >> let's talk about speaker pelosi and a move to push a vote on the bipartisan infrastructure bill. is that going to work? how big of a gamble is this? >> it's a massive shift. you cannot underscore how she has for the last several weeks said, you know, they have to go with both of these bills twinned together. last night, the reality struck. she basically had a tough conversation with the democratic caucus saying reconciliation just isn't ready. we need to move forward with bipartisan infrastructure. the real question is what happens with progressives who have said they're not going to vote for the infrastructure package without reconciliation. this is going to be a true test of pelosi's power and ability to win votes because there are going to be a lot of unhappy progressives if and when she take this bill up without reconciliation. >> let's dive a little deep oren that, the split in the party. there's so many progressives who have been, frankly, privately and publicly angry at the attention manchin and sinema are receiving. it seemts like they're dictating the concerns of the country. what sort of role do you think president biden is going to play here, particularly as a closer? >> i think the real question is do they bind together and say, we're going to take this bill this week. i think ultimately we believe the infrastructure bill is going to move forward. it depends on a when. it would be a massive sign for the progressives if they take what is the legacy of joe biden. he need this victory. it's been a tough couple of weeks and months for president biden. this would be a real sense of victory for him, and the real question is going to be how effective is joe biden. he's had people over. he's able to do that sock diplomacy from the white house, but can he actually turn votes from some of these progressives? i think the jury's still out there. >> it's going to be quite the week. anna palmer, "punchbowl news." and thanks to everyone at home for bearing through our difficulties of life. still ahead, the different cast members joining "snl" just upstairs at 30 rock. "way too early" back in just a minute. arly" back in just a minute - your mom's got to go! - she's family. she's using my old spice moisturize with shea butter and she's wearing my robe. mom: ahem ahem ahem we're out. 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"way too early" is coming right back. "way too early" is coming right back ie before. (woman) you have? (burke) sure, this is the part where all is lost and the hero searches for hope. then, a mysterious figure reminds her that she has the farmers home policy perk, guaranteed replacement cost. and that her home will be rebuilt, regardless of her limits or if the cost of materials has gone up. (woman) that's really something. (burke) get a whole lot of something with farmers policy perks. wait, i didn't ruin the ending, did i? (woman) yeah, y-you did. ♪ we are farmers. bum-pa-dum, bum-bum-bum-bum ♪ this is... ♪♪ this is iowa. we just haven't been properly introduced. say hello to the place where rolling hills meets low bills. where our fields, inside and out, are always growing. and where the fun is just getting started. this is iowa. so, when are you coming to see us? ♪♪ in business, it's never just another day. it's the big sale, or the big presentation. so, when are you coming to see us? the day where everything goes right. or the one where nothing does. with comcast business you get the network that can deliver gig speeds to the most businesses and advanced cybersecurity to protect every device on it— all backed by a dedicated team, 24/7. every day in business is a big day. we'll keep you ready for what's next. comcast business powering possibilities. three top defense officials will testify before a senate committee today to discuss last month's chaotic u.s. withdrawal from afghanistan. joint chiefs chairman mark milley, defense saerk lloyd austin and commander mckenley will appear before the armed services committee today and the house armed services committee tomorrow. they're expected to answer tough questions regarding the end of being in afghanistan. milley is expected to be grilled particularly hard by republican lawmakers mark of whom have w.h.o. have called for his resignation after even a phone call he made to his chinese counterpart in january without the president's knowledge. coming up on "morning joe," we eek speak with one. ahead of today's hearing, we're hearing about a warning that mckenzie reportedly gave taliban leaders, which they ignored. in the finally days of the u.s. mission in afghanistan, mckenzie told them to keep their forces out of kabul until that with draw. if not, he said the group would be met with u.s. air strikes. the taliban ignored the roll and rolled into kabul the very next day. no military action was taken. dan, good morning. thanks so much for being here. let's start there. obviously a lot of eyes on the hearing today. why -- what have we heard? what do we know about why the military did not take action after the taliban ignored the u.s. warning? >> i think there are a lot of questions. exactly what was happened in the dep pratt kind of days and hoyer, what we know is general milley brought a meeting and maps and he was accompanied. it was quite an extraordinary meeting with this four-star general saying you're not to come into kabul until we can get all the americans and everyone out. he said stay about 20 kilometers outside the city. the taliban said we already have some forces inside and it's basically too late, and they offered a security liaison and cooperate and provided security around the airport. after that the military decided they would have to have this kind of unis bizarre arrangement with the taliban to try to get the americans out that they could in the final days, and as we all know, it did not go very well. the taliban did not allow a lot of people into their airport. i think carrying out air strikes would have been an extraordinary decision, high risks, and there were civilians sitting all around. we'll find out today u but apparently they decided it was too dangerous a decision to make. >> how long you do expect him to be? some suggest it was insub back court nation. >> you will hear a lot about this today. it will dominate the hearing in some respects, certainly from the republicans' side of the aisle. you've had republican lawmakers say he should resign, this was understand constitutional, what he did. he'll have to answer on that. his defenders are saying those conversations he had with his counterpart in china were completely routine. these are the kinds of conversations he has with military leaders all over the world, but according to bob woodward's book, he was extremely concerned right before the election and after the january 6th riot that president trump was volatile and unpredictable and he might stage some kind of military action and employee evoke something. he wanted them to listen. that's according to the book. we'll have to listen to what general milley said today about why he made those phone calls. t. >> what did you expect to hear about air strikes that meant to hit . . . ss isn't either or progress is everything. 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"morning joe" starts right now, i will see you over there. the late show is ready to protect that joe biden has won arizona and therefore, joseph r. biden is still president of the united states. we are going to live election headquarters to steve cornacki still standing by since last november, steve, what do you have for us? damn it. i told you. >> steve would have a beard and he would still be going. >> that's kind of rough. >> i love your khaki. >> that's a rough weekend. >> exactly. >> rough weekend for red sox fans

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