good evening. on the eve of a crucial vote for the prime minister on his plan to send illegal migrants to rwanda — various factions of conservative mps have been meeting and giving their opinions on whether the plan will work — and by extension whether they are likely to vote for it. and in an indication of how divided the party is over the issue, the opinions vary widely. some have given it their backing as long as it doesn't change — others say it has to change — or be junked altogether. others say it has to change — or be junked altogether. our political editor chris mason is in westminster. this plan is something that rishi sunak has made central to his premiership but he's struggling to get his party to back it. he really is. that's the reality tonight. there are few more awkward places for a prime minister to find themselves than one where they are transparently and very publicly at the mercy of their own mps. clumps of conservatives who have been meeting throughout the day and into this evening to decide the fate of this evening to decide the fate of this bill and decide precisely how they might vote or whether they will vote come tomorrow night. the prime minister and his senior team try to do a huge persuasionjob. the prime minister making calls this evening. he will host a breakfast in downing street. conservative mps in the hope that, i don't know, a bacon sandwich might make the difference. everything possible is being used. all of this for rishi sunak on today of all days, a day, as we will find out in a bit more detail in a moment, where he will face our and our of scrutiny at the covid inquiry. what a day. —— hour after hour of scrutiny. the prime minister under oath three and a half miles away as his party plots here in westminster. remember this guy? a self—styled warrior of the brexit battles is back. the bill overall provides a partial and incomplete solution. the feeling very much in the meeting is that the government will be best advised to pull the bill, and to come up with a revised version that works better than this one, which has so many holes in it. those who see themselves as moderates in the conservative party met tonight and said they will back the government tomorrow but note their caveat. we the government tomorrow but note their caveat-— their caveat. we said you've gone within an inch _ their caveat. we said you've gone within an inch of— their caveat. we said you've gone within an inch of what we - their caveat. we said you've gone within an inch of what we can - within an inch of what we can stomach. if you go any further we won't stomach it. we will go for a second reading. we thick it is important for the stability of the government we do that. we aren't going to support anything in the future that threatens our international obligations. the government _ international obligations. the government still _ international obligations. the government still has plenty of persuading to do. it has published its legal advice which acknowledges people could still take it to court. the bill does allow for an exception every —— and exceptionally narrow route. here at the home office there are two new ministers after the resignation of the immigration minister last week. one of the newbies is trying to turn on charm towards tory mps, see if you can keep count of how many times he says encourage. tomorrow i am going to be encouraging each and every one of my colleagues to vote with the government. i am going to encourage them to listen. i have been engaging as you would expect with colleagues notjust over the weekend, notjust over the last weeks but over the last weeks and months and i would encourage colleagues to listen, i would encourage colleagues on both side of the house to listen to the debate, to have a robust exchange and make up their own minds but i will be encouraging them to support the government tomorrow. the rwanda plan has cost £21i0 million so far, with a further 50 million set aside as well. and this afternoon the top civil servant at the home office said... we do not have the evidence that there is a deterrent effect yet and think it would be surprising if we did, given it is not yet operational. the faces and voices of the brexit arguments are back today notjust opposing the government but supporting it too. the government must have a bit of the collie wobbles if they have asked you to come and back then. laughter hardly that. i volunteered myself over the weekend. i5 hardly that. i volunteered myself over the weekend.— hardly that. i volunteered myself over the weekend. is your message to colleagues. — over the weekend. is your message to colleagues, look, _ over the weekend. is your message to colleagues, look, this _ over the weekend. is your message to colleagues, look, this is _ over the weekend. is your message to colleagues, look, this is as _ over the weekend. is your message to colleagues, look, this is as good - over the weekend. is your message to colleagues, look, this is as good as i colleagues, look, this is as good as it is going to get? it is colleagues, look, this is as good as it is going to get?— it is going to get? it is more than a ridae. it is going to get? it is more than a ridge- if — it is going to get? it is more than a ridge- if we _ it is going to get? it is more than a ridge- if we go _ it is going to get? it is more than a ridge. if we go left _ it is going to get? it is more than a ridge. if we go left it _ it is going to get? it is more than a ridge. if we go left it is - it is going to get? it is more than a ridge. if we go left it is too - a ridge. if we go left it is too hard and it will collapse. if we go right it is too soft and it'll collapsed because of that. brexit was an existential— collapsed because of that. brexit was an existential question. - collapsed because of that. brexit was an existential question. this i collapsed because of that. brexit l was an existential question. this is a very— was an existential question. this is a very serious policy issue for the conservative government but it isn't an issue _ conservative government but it isn't an issue of the government will felt _ dominic casciani is our home and legal correspondent. we have the extraordinary situation to that, different groupings of conservative mps all trying to work out whether legally the rwanda bill will work. the government says it will. how clear can we be tonight? we can't be. it is as simple as that. the real mystery is at the heart of the government document today, this legal positional legal advice. if this really advice why has it not explained on the front page of the bill government law compels ministers to say that the package is more likely than not to stay a legal challenge. we do not know the percentages. it could be very close. but the fact is that risk is there. the bill declares rwanda is safe and the court must treat it as so. critics say that is a legal depiction and they are already thinking of arguments to knock that out. notwithstanding anything in this bill. another example, the supreme court says, could say, rather, that the bill clash with human rights principles. that set up a constitutional clash. —— that could set up. it is a complicated picture. the document feels in some respects in a —— as a best case scenario. problem is when lawyers give a standard legal opinion to their client, they always warn them about the risks of what they could lose and mp5 voting tomorrow simply don't know what those risks are going to be. thank ou, those risks are going to be. thank you. dominic _ meanwhile, as we've been hearing, the prime minister was giving evidence at the covid inquiry today. he defended the eat out to help out scheme that he championed, saying it was designed to save pubs and restaurants from "devastating" job losses. but the government's medical and scientific advisors believed it could increase the spread of covid. here's our health correspondentjim reed. is this crunch week foryou, prime minister? he was the 76th and final witness in the crucial second stage of this inquiry. rishi sunak began today with an apology. i just wanted to start by saying how deeply sorry i am to all of those who lost loved ones, family members... in the early exchanges, the prime minister couldn't seem to remember some key events. yeah, i can't specifically recall. i did not say those words, i don't recollect anyone saying those words. but it was his flagship policy which came under the most intense scrutiny. eat out to help out proved popular in summer 2020, but scientists have said they were not asked about it in advance. the scheme had already been announced. mr sunak said those advisers had ample opportunity to raise concerns. but why would i raise it as a risk when i didn't believe that it was, because it was designed in the context of a safer reopening? the onus is surely on the people who now believe that it was a risk to have raised it at the time when something could have been done about it if they felt strongly. some analysis suggests the benefit to companies was short lived, but people speaking for the industry say it protected jobs. i think it is highly likely that without eat out to help out you would have seen tens of thousands of businesses fail, millions ofjobs at risk across the sector. we lost 10% of hospitality businesses that year, even with all that support measures. but today wasn't just about the eat out to help out scheme. as chancellor, rishi sunak was at the centre of the key balancing act of the pandemic. on the one hand, officials were trying to contain the virus, on the other, they were trying to protect the economy as much as possible. later, rishi sunak denied a suggestion heard earlier in this inquiry that the treasury was nicknamed the pro death squad by other officials for that reason. were you aware that the treasury was being referred to in those terms? i wasn't, and i do not think it is a fair characterisation on the incredibly hard—working people that i was lucky to be supported by in the treasury. it will now be up to this inquiry to decide if the government got the balance right. its final recommendations are unlikely to be published before this time next year, at the earliest. let's return to chris in westminster. the prime minister has had a heck of day — and he's got a big vote tomorrow. how much of a test of his authority is that vote, and how likely is he to get it through? it's a huge test. this is what is known as the second reading of a piece of legislation. the first time it is substantially debated and voted upon on the floor of the house of commons. you have to go back decades for a government to be beaten at second reading. it's a big moment. defeat for government is always a big moment. those in and around the prime minister acknowledged that the numbers are tight. that said they say they are confident they can win and they are definitively think tonight that they are not going to pull the vote. you will have heard the research from the european research group saying it ought to be pulled. —— heard the advice. that would be an admitted defeat. but maybe the government is expecting a less bad option rather than having a defeat inflicted upon them. if, though, they can manage to win, well, that is better than defeat but it would mean that the debate would ramble on in the new year with a very narrow path for the government to try and make this law. they make the argument that it's the only way you can possibly get anyone only way you can possibly get anyone on a plane to rwanda before the election. the stakes are huge. the prime minister emerge a few minutes ago persuading people at breakfast time tomorrow and will continue to do throughout the day. —— with the prime minister emerged a few minutes ago, and he will be persuading people at breakfast time tomorrow. thanks, chris. a night of frantic negotiations is ahead at the cop28 climate summit in dubai after some nations have reacted with fury to a draft agreement — due to be signed tomorrow morning. it includes a range of actions countries could take to reduce emissions, but makes no direct reference to �*phasing out�* fossilfuels — which had been in an earlier draft. the eu is threatening to walk out, a representative of small island states says it would be like signing their death certificate. our climate editorjustin rowlatt has the latest. when the new draft was released, there was confusion. negotiators and journalists scrolled through the pages. the realisation slowly dawning that the agreement had changed. a landmark deal to get rid of the fossil fuel responsible for climate change had seemed within reach. now it appeared to be being snatched away. eamon ryan is one of the eu's lead climate negotiators. if the text doesn't change, will you walk away from the deal? this text will not be acceptable. would you walk away? if this doesn't change, it will not be accepted as a text. so what went wrong? a group of oil producing nations led by saudi arabia had openly opposed the deal. they said there wasn't enough to compensate for the losses they feared they could face. you need me to change? i am ready to change. where is your support? please, we are bored of talking. we are victims. if you want me to change, you should support. we have been walking around this vast site speaking to different country groups, and it seems quite a few developing countries felt there wasn't enough in this deal for them. not enough cash to help with the switch to clean energy, for example, not enough to adapt their countries to the climate change they know is coming. the process isn't over yet. the negotiations continue here in dubai, but the un will be anxious. if we don't get a commitment to phase out fossil fuels in this deal, does that mean this cop conference has been a failure? —— deal, does that mean this cop conference has been a failure? a central aspect, in my opinion, of the success of the cop, would be for the cop to reach a consensus on the need to phase out fossil fuels, in line with a time frame that is in line with the 1.5 degrees limit. we certainly don't have that at the moment. how is it going? is it going through the night? not much sleep for the president of cop28, then. and after almost 30 years of these summits, it appears the world is still a long way off a final deal on phasing out fossilfuels. justin rowlatt, bbc news, dubai. intense fighting continues in gaza, with the battles most intense in three places — injabaliya and shejaiya in the north, and khan younis, gaza's second—largest city, to the south. today, israel's prime minister benjamin netanyahu described the moment as the beginning of the end for hamas — designated a terror organisation by the uk government. our international editor jeremy bowen assesses what israel's strategy may be, and its chances of success. siren wails. taking cover on the road to tel aviv from rockets out of gaza. air raid sirens and the activation of israel's iron dome antimissile system. most of the time, life looks pretty normal here in central israel, but everything changed with the 7th october attacks. their fear shows the depth of the collective trauma hamas inflicted on israelis. iron dome took care of most of the rockets, but one man nearby was hurt. the fact that hamas can still attack means that it is not beaten. we were going to tel aviv to see the man on the left, amos yadlin, a veteran fighter pilot, air force general and former head of israeli military intelligence who still advises his successors. he insists israel doesn't kill palestinians indiscriminately, and says the us and uk killed more civilians in iraq and syria. israel is having a better ratio of terrorists to collateral damage than the americans and the brits had in mosul and raqqa. what about the civilians? so, when i say collateral damage, i'm speaking about the civilians. there are more civilians for terrorists killed in mosul and raqqa then in gaza. please go and check the numbers. why is it that the americans, your most significant ally, are saying that israel is killing too many palestinian civilians? they want it to be done without any collateral damage, without any humanitarian crisis. if they have the formula how to do it, please, help us to have it. this formula does not exist. will this lead to a lengthy israeli occupation of gaza? no, we don't want to occupy gaza. we don't want hamas to be in gaza. we don't want to occupy gaza, one reservation — there will not be a military power that can repeat the 7th october attack on israel. and the future for wounded civilians in gaza's last few overcrowded hospitals may be amputations or death, as they're not getting the follow—up treatment they need. rafiq, aged iii, thought he'd died when he was hit in an air strike in a district that israel said was safe. he has shrapnel in his body and he can't get life—saving stomach surgery here. rafiq often vomits, and he can't feel his legs. the love of his family might not be enough to save him. this girl has just been wounded for the second time. she says, "they cut my hand. "my grandpa was killed, my dad was shot, and my brother is dead." she's asked what she wants. "a new hand." jeremy bowen, bbc news, jerusalem. ukraine's president zelensky is in the us today, making a plea for crucial financial support in his country's battle against the ongoing russian invasion. funding worth billions of dollars is being held up by a political row in congress, with republicans demanding concessions on domestic issues first. jessica parker has the story. he's here on a rescue mission to liberate billions of dollars in defence aid for ukraine, money that's become ensnared in arguments amongst us lawmakers. if there is anyone inspired by unresolved issues on capitol hill, it's just putin and his sick clique. overnight, a fresh wave of russian missile strikes crushed buildings in kyiv and blew craters in the earth. ukraine's war is with russia, but officials must battle sceptics in the west who ask, "what's the endgame?", after ukraine's faltering counteroffensive. it is widely seen to have not delivered hoped—for gains. what in your view went wrong? translation: indeed, for us it is very difficult today, but it doesn't mean that victory won't be on our side. in may, everyone in our country wanted the war to end quickly. there were hopes, but they didn't come true. but it's not a tragedy. there is now a big question of what next, even with ukraine's obvious will to endure. but days aren't without joy, even for the sons of soldiers. this boy's dad's away fighting. his mother has this plea. the russians are too much and they do have a lot of weapons, so we need more and more and more. without the support of the united states, i don't know what would happen here. people here aren't talking about giving up hope, or indeed the frontline fight, but those firm promises from some western leaders that they've been with ukraine for the long haul suddenly feel far more fragile. a commanderfrom russia's red army is sawn down from public view. also in peril this week are hopes forfresh eu economic aid and progressing membership talks, as ukraine tries to forge a path to europe by severing the past. jessica parker, bbc news, in kyiv. two women and a man have been found guilty of murdering a vulnerable woman from west london who they tortured, starved and battered to death. a jury at the old bailey heard that shakira spencer died after suffering cruelty and humiliation and being "treated like a slave." june kelly's report contains some very distressing details. i have two lipsticks. shakira spencer with her online make—up lessons. i'll go a bit peachy today. she was a healthy young woman with a partner and two children. she became an emaciated wreck after she was controlled completely by people she regarded as friends. she was starved, fed only sachets of ketchup and treated like a slave. and this was the evil trio responsible — the leader, ashana studholme, herfriend lisa richardson and her one—time boyfriend, sean pendlebury. ashana studholme had befriended shakira, introducing her to drugs, then dominating her and isolating her from the life she had established. in september last year, shakira, by now a frail figure because of all the beatings she'd taken, was captured on doorbell footage at studholme's flat in harrow in north—west london. this was the weekend of the final attacks which would prove fatal. boiling water was used to injure shakira. a kind of makeshift flame—thrower with a can of aerosol was used to burn her. and then beatings around the head with what's been described as a kind of heavy massager. ashana studholme and sean pendlebury then bundled a dying shakira into a car boot and drove her back to her own flat in ealing in west london. they locked her in a cupboard in the hall. they later returned and moved her to a bottom bunk bed. it's not known whether at this point, she was alive or dead. they left her body to rot and decompose. two weeks later, neighbours saw maggots crawling out from under her front door and called the police. ijust hope, or i would want them to know, the gravity of what they've done. i just hope that every day is worse than their last. that picture i have seen, it is shakira physically, but it's not shakira, my sister that i have known all my life bar those last couple of years. they're not the same person. ealing council says it's carrying out a safeguarding adult review into the case of shakira spencer. june kelly, bbc news. ajudge has ordered prince harry to pay almost £50,000 to the publisher of the mail on sunday by the end of this month as part of a long running high court battle over libel. the dispute relates to an article about prince harry's security arrangements. all i want for christmas is — a card that arrives before the big day, and not five months later. that was the experience of one family in south east london last year — a bit extreme, perhaps, but many people in the area received their christmas cards weeks, sometimes months after they were sent. and it's notjust south east london where there have been been problems. here's zoe conway. on upland road in south london, they've got a bit of a downer on the postal service. are you going to stick those christmas cards in the postbox? no, i'm going down to the post office. why? well, because i'm just more sure that they're going to get there before christmas. people have had appointments which they've missed because the letters have not arrived in time. residents here take great delight in christmas, but their festive spirit is being sorely tested. as you can see in my house, there are no christmas cards up. i haven't received one christmas card yet. we have a competition on the road about who gets the last christmas card. and i think last year, it was five months after the occasion, and one of our neighbours bakes a cake. that's the prize for getting the last christmas card. people were saying that they simply weren't getting mail. and as a joke, someone went out of the house just from the whatsapp group, went out, opened the bins, and amazingly and surprisingly, there was a wad of post in one of the bins. this is about a week ago. a survey by the watchdog ofcom published this month shows that complaints are up 26% to two million in the last financial year, and compensation for lost or missing mail is up 46% to £26 million, while 51% of those surveyed said they experienced problems with their post. royal mail points to the fact, though, that 80% expressed satisfaction overall with the service. dozens of you have been contacting the bbc about your experiences with the post, including current and former postal workers, and they claim that parcels are being prioritised over letters. one told me that letters are routinely sitting in the delivery office for days on end. but royal mail insists this is not happening. we are not prioritising parcels over letters. clearly, in terms of investment, letters are decreasing worldwide every year. parcels are increasing really rapidly. so a big focus on making sure we can cope with that growth in parcels we have across the network. people might be sending fewer letters and cards than ever, but to the person receiving them, they can really matter. zoe conway, bbc news. two movies went head to head in the summer — so perhaps it's no suprise that barbie and oppenheimer lead the nominations at the golden globe awards. the globes have attracted controversy in recent years, due to allegations of corruption and a lack of diversity within its membership. will this year buck the trend? david sillito reports. welcome to the golden globe awards! the golden globes, the funnier, more unruly cousin to the oscars, is at the moment trying to reinvent itself after a scandal over a lack of diversity. there's also another problem for awards shows — a lack of viewers. in recent years, as the gap between critical acclaim and box office success has grown, tv audiences have turned off. however, this year, something's changed. hi, barbie! hi, ken! barbie, the story of a plastic doll�*s existential crisis, has come to the rescue of another institution with its own existential crisis. along with another huge success... oppenheimer. barbie. oppenheimer, the third biggest movie in the world, is onlyjust behind the number one box office hits on the list of nominations, meaning that most people in the tv audience will have at least heard of the frontrunners. and with new owners of the globes who have links to the hollywood reporter newspaper, the message is that after lockdown and actors' strikes... hollywood is back. that's the big news today. it feels like being here for the golden globe announcements, after our strike, after everything that the town has been through this year, is that hollywood is back. they're all counting on us. there's also a new category, honouring achievement at the box office. so even a film like super marios brothers, which was not met with universal critical acclaim, has been invited to the golden globes party. how's that for diversity? david sillito — bbc news. time for a look at the weather. here's tomasz schafernaker. quite a dramatic clown vista behind me. this is what we can expect tomorrow. there will be sunny spells, but also some big shower clouds, so a good chance of catching one or two downpours, may be a crack of thunder. but it's not going to be cold, actually relatively mild from the morning onwards. this was what we had today, a window of sunshine, but that clear sky is now giving way to this area of low pressure which is moving across ireland, the centre just approaching the coast there. rain for a just approaching the coast there. rainfora time just approaching the coast there. rain for a time for some of us overnight, certainly in northern ireland, northern england and southern parts of scotland. a few showers elsewhere, but also one or two clear spells, and mild. a bit colder in the north. wet across northern and eastern areas tomorrow rishi sunak�*s premiership.

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