agreement between the two countries. britain has made a trade deal with fast—growing india one of its top post—brexit priorities. it wants more market access for british products — which currently face import tariffs of up to 150%. in return — india wants more opportunities for its people to live and work in the uk. let's speak to our india correspondent— nikhil inamdar. he's in the city of miraj in maharashtra. good to have you on the programme. let's start with these talks that are very important. how are they likely to go? this is the official beginning of the india uk fta and there is a lot on the agenda. the two sides will discuss things such as free trade as well as reducing tariff barriers and giving each other�*s economies more market access so as you pointed out the uk is keen for india to reduce tariffs on things such as imported scotch whiskey those tariffs are as high as 150%. they are also keen to have more access to the indian market sectors particularly in financial services and manufacturing. on the other hand india wants the uk to reciprocate with a more liberalised regime which would mean greater access to students and high skilled walkers to the uk. they also want to boost their exports by having greater access to sectors such as garments and textiles in the uk. so a lot of hectic negotiations between both sides today. negotiations between both sides toda . , ., ., ., today. there is a lot on the table there _ today. there is a lot on the table there but _ today. there is a lot on the table there but how - today. there is a lot on the - table there but how achievable is this do you think? where will ground be given? these talks do not _ will ground be given? these talks do not conclude - will ground be given? these i talks do not conclude overnight and certainly not within a year although we do here that the uk -- uk although we do here that the uk —— uk is keen to conclude them by the end of this year and there would be a signed fta if not by the end of this year they certainly hope that the two sides will conclude the talks before the general elections in 202a. but india is often accused of being protectionist, of not wanting to liberalise quickly given the multiple stakeholders it has to address. so there are many sticking points and a lot of ground to cover before they can make any headway. what i can tell you is that these talks have been reinvigorated after a long lull and ahead of it liz trust did say that she would be using this visit to drive forward an ambitious agenda that would represent the uk's indo pacific deal in action and thatis indo pacific deal in action and that is precisely what the uk has where it has been trying to ink independent ftas across the indo pacific with countries like japan and australia, for that matter.— that matter. but for british companies _ that matter. but for british companies that _ that matter. but for british companies that are - that matter. but for british i companies that are exporting that matter. but for british - companies that are exporting to india, if tariffs are removed, what is the potential? how big a market would this be for a british company? it a market would this be for a british company?— a market would this be for a british company? it could be a significant _ british company? it could be a significant market. _ british company? it could be a significant market. it - british company? it could be a significant market. it has - british company? it could be a i significant market. it has been called a golden opportunity by the trade secretary and i think there are some estimates that suggest that if tariffs were removed exports could rise by $7 billion and there is also a sense that even though the fta could be a more expansive agreement the two sides could reach something called an early harvest trade deal which would be a precursor both sides the prime minister �*s of india and the uk also launched an uk comprehensive trade partnership where the ambition really is two double trade at the end of this decade. so ambitious talks ahead, certainly. let's move to the us now — where the cost of living continues to soar. consumer prices rose in december at their fastest rate in four decades, pushing the annual inflation rate to 7%. the latest figures pile pressure on the us central bank — the federal reserve — to start raising interest rates soon — as michelle fleury reports from new york. a7% a 7% increase in prices is breathtaking. you have to understand that americans have not experienced anything like that sincejune 1982 not experienced anything like that since june 1982 was not beef prices are up 18%, exit 11% and it is notjust food. everything people by from housing to furniture is more expensive. even when you exclude the cost of food and petrol which tends to fluctuate a lot we are still talking about a 5.5% increase year over year. that is the fastest pace of core inflation since 1991. and the omicron variant is putting even more stress on the already fragile supply chain. one reason why economists now expect inflation to remain high in the coming months. so what this really means is that the inflation that was touted as temporary not that long ago has remained with us and the federal reserve is going to take action soon to try and squash these higher prices. in fact, jerome powell testified before congress yesterday at his nomination hearing and in some ways i think he may have scared investors a little bit by saying, hey, if we have to raise interest rates more we will. currently the us central bank is expected to hike rates three or four times this year. and it is this change, this tightening of monetary policy thatis tightening of monetary policy that is also speaking institutions like the international monetary fund. because while developing countries are affected by us inflation, the cure, in the shape of higher interest rates, that will also cause pain. pain that will also cause pain. pain that the fund warns could lead to social unrest.— to social unrest. that was michelle _ to social unrest. that was michelle outlining - to social unrest. that was michelle outlining the - to social unrest. that was - michelle outlining the issues. david madden is a market analyst at equiti capital here in london good morning david. that inflation number is 7% and it is high, the highest for many decades but it was not a surprise, was it? and that is what markets were in select and, won't they? it what markets were in select and, won't they?— what markets were in select and, won't they? it was bang in line with expectations - and, won't they? it was bang in line with expectations and - and, won't they? it was bang in line with expectations and did l line with expectations and did not send out a huge impact on the ten year yield. the all—important us government bond yield is often seen as a good predictor as to what the federal reserve are going to do with interest rates. earlier in the week the ten year yield was traded above 1.8% and that added, that really triggered the same pressure we saw in global stock markets recently. but it is a muted affair yesterday, almost as if a large amount, a lot of what we already know about high inflation has orally been factored in to the financial markets. that being said there is a clear trajectory here where it came in at 7% in line with expectations, the highest level in almost a0 years in the way things are going, i don't think there is going to be a tapering off any time soon. find tapering off any time soon. and what does _ tapering off any time soon. and what does this _ tapering off any time soon. and what does this mean for when rates will start to go up in the us? most people still thinking that will happen in march? , ., march? they do indeed. in december— march? they do indeed. in december the _ march? they do indeed. in december the federal - march? they do indeed. in - december the federal reserve gave an optimistic view of the us economy in terms of rebound but there is also caution about high levels of inflation and they could be looking at three interest rate hikes this year. there is increasing chatter that there will be one in march. the financial markets had an aggressive selling day on monday and we have cooled a little since then because it seems that to a certain extent the fear of higher interest rates is not as powerful as it once was. but it is almost as if we are expecting much to be a done deal and if you do have a done deal and if you do have a rate hike in march will we have ambition to this year or three hikes this year? given the elevated prices across energy and agricultural commodities, coffee and sugar and also things like lumber i think the inflation topic will be something with us for many months to come.— months to come. thank you, david. months to come. thank you, david- we — months to come. thank you, david. we appreciate - months to come. thank you, david. we appreciate that. david. we appreciate that analysis this morning. let's bring you now the latest on what is happening in australia. the draw has taken place for the australian open and know that djokovic, the world number one is to play in the first round, despite the uncertainty about whether his visa to in australia will actually be revoked. that is the norm. defending champions of the first on court on the centre court, as it were, when a tournament begins. so it is business as usual for now but of course the immigration minister, alex hawke, is currently deliberating on whether to cancel the visa based on various issues, character grounds but also what he said was his medical exemption is not actually a valid medical exemption. so thatis valid medical exemption. so that is the latest on that and we will bring you more details when we get them. now returning to business and we are on the subject of inflation. pret a manger has become the latest uk business to raise wages for thousands of staff to £10 an hour. it comes after supermarkets sainsbury�*s, aldi and morrison's all recently increased their minimum hourly pay to £10. a reportjust out from the uk recruitment industry shows a continued shortage ofjob candidates is pushing up starting salaries to record levels. neil carberry is chief executive of the recruitment & employment confederation here in the uk. good morning neal and it is good to see you. this is an issue in the uk, the fact that there is a shortage of those available to work, wages are going up and it is an issue in the us and other countries as well, isn't it? it the us and other countries as well, isn't it?— well, isn't it? it is a general trend we — well, isn't it? it is a general trend we have _ well, isn't it? it is a general trend we have seen - well, isn't it? it is a general trend we have seen across i well, isn't it? it is a general. trend we have seen across the western economies as we have opened up. companies moved back into the market heavily to hire into the market heavily to hire in the early autumn and we had record setting market growth numbers and temporaryjobs here in the uk and then we saw the similar, from our equivalents around the world. the rate of growth has slowed a little because you cannot grow at a record rate forever but demand is still very high and much of thatis is still very high and much of that is driven by the uk in many countries just having fewer people in their labour market right now. we see quite a lot of retirement from older workers, many older workers labour market now. younger workers stay in education a little longer as we go through the pandemic there is less global mobility and all these things are contributing to this. �* .., things are contributing to this. �* .. ., this. and the trend will can to new. it this. and the trend will can to new- it is _ this. and the trend will can to new. it is assumed _ this. and the trend will can to new. it is assumed that - new. it is assumed that starting salaries will go up and up in the short term at least? ., , ., 4' least? companies need to think hard about _ least? companies need to think hard about this _ least? companies need to think hard about this and _ least? companies need to think hard about this and it _ least? companies need to think hard about this and it is - hard about this and it is interesting. you identified you cannot keep raising stock and salaries by —— without doing something for the rest of your workforce such as settlements, the annual pay rise, and there is a lot of pressure on companies to raise wages more generally. companies need to be thinking about what other things they can do to attract and retain staff. i hear a lot of stories about people focusing more on conditions, what is it like to work in a company, what sort of flexibility can we offer as a way of attracting and retaining staff as well as pay because in a high inflation environment as she spoke about earlier, labour is only one cost for companies and i think we may see towards the end of the year quite a lot of companies thinking about, well, well what is a workforce plan for the next 23 or four years because the rising costs are not going away. bud years because the rising costs are not going away. and which sectors in _ are not going away. and which sectors in particular _ are not going away. and which sectors in particular are - sectors in particular are struggling to recruit at the moment? where is the talent missing? in the run—up to christmas it was all about hgv drivers. ~ ., ., ., drivers. where are we are now? the report _ drivers. where are we are now? the report today _ drivers. where are we are now? the report today shows - drivers. where are we are now? the report today shows amount | the report today shows amount growing in every sector of the economy so the difference is only going up a bit to going up a lot. higher labour intensity sectors, hospitality was very in demand in december and of course england kept its restaurant and hospitality venues open and we see labour shortages there. logistics, again, both blue—collar warehouse work and drivers are still very tight. social care has been tied for well over a year now and the areas where we have what is a fiercely a big shift in our economy so it skills, hugely in demand throughout the pandemic. labour market where there was not much of a recession from march 2020 on. we not much of a recession from march 2020 on.— not much of a recession from march 2020 on. we have to leave it there, march 2020 on. we have to leave it there. neil— march 2020 on. we have to leave it there, neil but _ march 2020 on. we have to leave it there, neil but thank _ march 2020 on. we have to leave it there, neil but thank you - it there, neil but thank you for that analysis. and still to come cashing out. how does the pandemic hasten the demise of notes and coins? this is bbc world news, the latest headlines: know that djokovic has been included in the draw for the australian open as the tennis star waits to find out if he will be deported ahead of the tournament. as more of our shopping has shifted online — the global supply chains we rely on for deliveries have become increasingly stretched. that means from the us to europe to asia — the world is running out of warehouse space. our asia business correspondent mariko oi has been investigating. three stories high and as big as seven football fields. this is the new hot property in real estate. we are inside the beating heart of one of singapore's biggest online grocers. tens of thousands of orders flow through this space every week which sits near the border with malaysia, one of the countries main suppliers. everything in this facility, more than 100,000 products at any one time is gone within three days. automation he does not mean that people have been replaced by robots. what it does mean, however, is that they can control the amount of products stored here as demand continues to grow. brute products stored here as demand continues to grow.— continues to grow. we built the warehouse _ continues to grow. we built the warehouse with _ continues to grow. we built the warehouse with the _ continues to grow. we built the warehouse with the future - continues to grow. we built the warehouse with the future in i warehouse with the future in mind. in the 12 months including the pandemic the online market grew by about 70% per year every year. twice the previous 12 months. so sharp acceleration in a short space of time. the warehouse here helped us to meet part of that demand overall from an automation point of view. warehouse rents have been rising over the last warehouse rents have been rising over the last decade along with the growth of online shopping, but like everything else, the pandemic made rents rise faster and the sector is now running out of space with countries like the us and the uk expecting the crunch to last for another 2— three years. the for another 2- three years. the current rate — for another 2- three years. the current rate is _ for another 2— three years. tia: current rate is around 3%. for another 2— three years. tt2 current rate is around 3%. it is an historical low. number one it is ashley coming from e—commerce. e—commerce continued to take the most spaces to cater for the demand for online shopping. the other is the ongoing supply chain disruptions and you see that as a result of the company wanted to hold the highest stock on hand.— stock on hand. logistics companies _ stock on hand. logistics companies are - stock on hand. logistics companies are now - stock on hand. logistics - companies are now building higher and relying on automation to maximise the spaces available but as supply chains adapt to rising demand, businesses need to find a way to scale up storage facilities or risk losing out of the competition. mariko oi, bbc news, singapore. challenging times. now we're going to look at the of cash. —— the decline of cash. here in the uk, just 30% of transactions are now done with notes and coins, with the shift to electronic payments accelerated by the pandemic. but could the end of cash be coming sooner than we think? in the us some businesses have been demanding electronic payment or exact change only because of a shortage of coins in circulation. officials estimate that much of america's $a8 billion worth of coins is �*sitting dormant�* in households because people are not using them. earlier on in the pandemic, the boss of paypal told the bbc the shift away from cash and towards digital payments had been accelerated by covid by as much as five years. the ways that people are paying now are digital payments, that is exploding. the world is changing and it is changing rapidly. the use of cash is falling dramatically and are so retail strategies at central banks used to have, the issuance of paper money, governments trying to issue stimulus checks to consumers and in many cases having to mail checks to people. think about that... think about the modernisation of the financial system infrastructure to assure that there is more inclusion, that there is more inclusion, that transactions sometimes take days to clear. that is crazy in a digital environment. they should instantaneously clear. , �* , they should instantaneously clear. , �*, ., ~ clear. interesting. let's talk this through. _ giles coghlan is chief currency analyst at hycm. good morning,. what you think about this debate that we will eventually become cashless and what that means for certain individuals who rely on cash still. ., ., , still. yeah, there has definitely _ still. yeah, there has definitely been - still. yeah, there has definitely been a - still. yeah, there has l definitely been a move still. yeah, there has - definitely been a move towards cash listeners around the world. countries like canada, hong kong, australia, uae, finland are ready to go cashless now. sweden have moved to a cashless state with shops not accepting rank notes and coins and in the uk for example a show by the financial conduct authority that digital payments have grown by a huge 86% since 2006 so i think it is right, we are seeing an acceleration of digitalisation brought on by covid but they will be some significant losers and i was looking at some research by the bank of england recently and they commissioned some research and what they found was that there is a core group of people that use cash, the suncorp group that use cash and they tend to be in an older generation and they tend to live in rural areas. so if you imagine someone who is still 75, 80 plus, a little bit nervous about technology, is relying on their local cash machine that is perhaps a free transaction that they have recognised they can get free trusts —— free cash transactions from if we start putting them out to the side we end up making some people very, very vulnerable.— very vulnerable. they are very vulnerable _ very vulnerable. they are very vulnerable but _ very vulnerable. they are very vulnerable but also _ very vulnerable. they are very| vulnerable but also businesses in those areas are also quite vulnerable, aren't they, because they cannot afford not to accept cash in the rural area. the corner shop. and yet for them it is a real logistical problem, isn't it, to have cash, when probably most of their would just be hovering a card over a machine. exactly as there are some incentives for shop owners not to have cash. your insurance premiums would be lower for instance if you don't have cash on—site and also you are less likely to have to deal with counterfeit currency, you are also going to have to spend less time balancing the tills at the end of the day, you don't have to worry about theft from employees because everything is done from a digital perspective and with insurance being lower, there are some incentives for shop owners to push out the use of cash. ., , ., ., ., cash. the others that have had to ada -t cash. the others that have had to adapt our— cash. the others that have had to adapt our charities, - cash. the others that have had to adapt our charities, of - to adapt our charities, of course, because they relied heavily on the shaking of buckets and tins outside various places and also people putting their spare coins or change in the charity part but they have adapted and developed, haven't they, there is lots of round—up technologies for people to still choose to donate when they buy things in stores. t they buy things in stores. i think that is a good move because i was looking at the charities aid foundation and some research that they put out in 2019. more than half of all uk charities donations are made in cash. of course, the little boxes just by the till and i think one of the sad thing is that i personally don't want to see go is you don't want to see that charity box disappearing from the till. remember the little children, you had little children that you met when you are young, your parents might give you some money to just pop in the box and it begins to have that connection between charity, physically handling money, seeing the connection from a very young age. i think one of the sad things is that if we do away with cash and some of that connection will be gone between young people, between charities and understanding what money is. if it is always digital and always donein it is always digital and always done in your parents' cards, then how do you understand the concept of money? and then that begins to worry about consumer spending, how does a credit card work? how does a debit card work? how does a debit card work? how does a debit card work? that is a difficult concept to teach to a child, much easier if you have a physical coin. t much easier if you have a physical coin.— much easier if you have a physical coin. i tend to feel the pain — physical coin. i tend to feel the pain more _ physical coin. i tend to feel the pain more if— physical coin. i tend to feel the pain more if i'm - physical coin. i tend to feell the pain more if i'm handing over the notes and the coins as opposed to hovering a card. i'm going to have to go, giles, but we appreciate your thoughts on that, really, really interesting. tell us what you think as well. if you want to get involved in the chat, i'm @sallybundockbbc on twitter. are you ready for a cashless society? when did you last use cash? coins, even. thanks for your company. i will see you soon but you are now up—to—date. hello there. it's been an unsettled start to 2022, hasn't it? but wednesday changed all that for many across england and wales. after a frosty and foggy start, we had pictures like this — a beautiful scene in wrexham, hardly a cloud in the sky. it was chilly with it, but further north, we had more cloud. however, it was scotland and northern ireland that had the milder weather, with temperatures topping out at 12 or 13 degrees across eastern scotland and north—east england. now, this was the situation on wednesday, and it's a fairly similar story to close out the working week. high pressure's still with us, a south—westerly feeding cloud and a little bit of patchy drizzle across the far north and west. but under those clearer skies and with very light winds, we will see frost and fog forming once again. so, temperatures potentially down as low as —3 in a few rural parts, the exception, the far north of scotland. yes, it will be frosty, but also, it will be foggy, particularly for parts of england and wales. some of the fog dense in places, and it may well take most of the morning before it slowly lifts into low cloud and hopefully disperses. so, a pretty miserable start, but hopefully improving later on. the cloud, that south—westerly breeze again thick enough for a spot or two of drizzle, but we could see double figures across the far north of scotland, despite the winds gusting in excess of a0—50 miles per hour across the northern isles. so, a blustery afternoon here, light winds, not shifting that fog some time soon. so, temperatures will struggle just a touch — 6—8 degrees across england and wales. as we move out of thursday into friday, the high pressure not moving very far very fast, which basically means we will continue to see a good deal of quiet weather. this weather front again increasing the risk of tonight, patchy rain, nothing particularly significant. fog could be more extensive on friday, and as a result, it could be slow to clear. if that happens, one or two places might not see temperatures climbing out of freezing, but if we get the sunshine coming through again, we're looking at 5—7 to the south, maximum of 10 or 11 degrees across the far north. now, as we move towards the weekend, that quieter theme will stay with us. a good deal of dry weather. the question is just how much sunshine we will see. good morning, welcome to breakfast with naga munchetty and charlie stayt. our headlines today. an apology from boris johnson about the downing street party — but will it be enough to save the prime minister's job? cabinet colleagues rally round but senior backbenchers are calling for him to resign — and his behaviour has angered relatives of people who died during the pandemic. it wasn't an apology. he didn't say sorry. he basically gaslit the entire nation. the lawyer representing virginia giuffre in her civil case alleging sexual assault by prince andrew says she's not interested in a purely financial settlement. the rising cost of the weekly shop. fresh food inflation hits 3%, the highest level in a decade —

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